Cori Gauff and Jasmine Paolini will face off in the quarter of the Cincinnati Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 8:30 pm on P&G CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cori Gauff is the pick to win this match.
Cori Gauff -> 1.44
Jasmine Paolini -> 2.79
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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Jasmine Paolini
This will be the 5th time that Cori Gauff and Jasmine Paolini fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Paolini won 6-4 6-2 in the final in Rome back in May 2025.
Highlights Jasmine Paolini vs Cori Gauff – Rome 17-May-2025
Cori Gauff
35 - 11win/loss
3
2
LWLWWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-16 | 29-9 | 18-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-18 | 31-10 | 14-5 | 4-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Cori reached the quarter after defeating Xinyu Wang 6-3 6-2, Dayana Yastremska w/o and Lucia Bronzetti 6-2 6-4.
In the 4th round, Cori had a good straight sets win against Bronzetti (6-2 6-4). During the match, Gauff scored 65 points vs Bronzetti’s 48. Gauff was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gauff bagged 6 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 67% of her first serves in, winning 63% (24/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Bronzetti 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gauff hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points she played.
Gauff has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 70% of her matches (264-111). 17-6 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Gauff has a composed147-64 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the French Open where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-7(5) 6-2 6-4.
Gauff has a compiled 35-11 win-loss record in 2025, 17-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Jasmine Paolini
31 - 13win/loss
8
4
LLLLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46-21 | 27-12 | 13-3 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Paolini reached the quarter after beating Maria Sakkari 7-6(2) 7-6(5), Ashlyn Krueger 7-6(2) 6-1 and Barbora Krejcikova 6-1 6-2.
In the 4th round, Jasmine had a good straight sets win against Krejcikova (6-1 6-2). During the match Paolini scored 59 points vs Krejcikova’s 36. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Paolini scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jasmine Paolini was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 80% (24/30) of her 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Krejcikova 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Rome where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-4 6-2.
Paolini has an overall 31-13 win-loss record in 2025, 15-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gauff | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 61 |
| Pts | 125-92 | 223-178 |
| Total Points | 217 | 401 |
| Winners | 50 | 91 |
| %Winners | 40% | 41% |
Gauff played 2 matches while Paolini competed in 3 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Gauff has played 2 set(s) less than Paolini (4 vs 6). Therefore, Gauff played 26 games less than Paolini. Cori scored 50 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Jasmine managed to score 91 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gauff | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st in | 73/117 | 128/198 |
| %1st in | 62% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 50/73 | 91/128 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 22/44 | 41/70 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 59% |
Gauff bagged 11 aces (5.5 per match). Paolini fired 7 aces (2.3 per match). Gauff won 68% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gauff | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 10 |
| Converted | 10/12 | 10/28 |
| % Converted | 83% | 36% |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 |
| Saved | 8 | 8 |
| % Saved | 67% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
The American broke her opponents 10 times with a 83% conversion rate. Gauff surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The Italian broke her opponents 10 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gauff | |||||
| R2 Wang |
R3 Yastremska |
R4 Bronzetti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | w/o | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | – | 18 | 35 | |
| pts | 60-44 | – | 65-48 | 125-92 | |
| Total points | 104 | – | 113 | 217 | |
| Winners | 26 | – | 24 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 43% | – | 37% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | – | 6 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | – | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 35/60 | – | 38/57 | 73/117 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | – | 67% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | – | 24/38 | 50/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | – | 63% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/25 | – | 11/19 | 22/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | – | 58% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | – | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/5 | – | 5/7 | 10/12 | |
| Converted % | 100% | – | 71% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 7 | – | 5 | 12 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | – | 3/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 71% | – | 60% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | – | 2 | 4 | |
| Paolini | |||||
| R2 Sakkari |
R3 Krueger |
R4 Krejcikova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 7-65 | 7-62 6-1 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 20 | 15 | 61 | |
| pts | 91-87 | 73-55 | 59-36 | 223-178 | |
| Total points | 178 | 128 | 95 | 401 | |
| Winners | 40 | 27 | 24 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 37% | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 59/91 | 39/62 | 30/45 | 128/198 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 63% | 67% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 40/59 | 27/39 | 24/30 | 91/128 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 69% | 80% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/32 | 14/23 | 9/15 | 41/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 61% | 60% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 2/10 | 4/10 | 4/8 | 10/28 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 40% | 50% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 | 0 | 12 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 50% | – | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWWLW
LLLLWWLWWW Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Gabriela Dabrowski/Erin RoutliffeDabrowski/Erin Routliffe – Caty Mcnally/Linda NoskovaMcnally/Linda Noskova (6-2 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Federico GaioGaio – Manuel GuinardGuinard (6-1 2-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Mohamed SafwatSafwat (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elias YmerYmer – Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans (7-65 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sumit NagalNagal – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (7-5 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Magda LinetteLinette (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elena RybakinaRybakina (7-4) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Cori GauffGauff (2-2) – H2H and prediction
