Iga Swiatek and Anna Kalinskaya will play each other in the quarter of the Cincinnati Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on P&G CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.138
Anna Kalinskaya -> 5.75

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Anna Kalinskaya

This will be the 2^nd time that Iga Swiatek and Anna Kalinskaya clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kalinskaya (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Kalinskaya won 6-4 6-4 in the semifinal in Dubai back in 2024.

Highlights Anna Kalinskaya vs Iga Swiatek – Dubai 23-February-2024

Iga Swiatek

Ranked no. 3, the Pole got to the quarter after defeating Anastasia Potapova 6-1 6-4, Marta Kostyuk w/o and Sorana Cirstea 6-4 6-3.

In the 4^th round, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Cirstea (6-4 6-3). During the match, Swiatek scored 63 points vs Cirstea’s 55. The Pole was extremely aggressive to blast 16 winners.

Talking about the service games, Swiatek scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Swiatek put 50% of her first serves in, winning 62% (16/26) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the 2nd serve. Iga broke Cirstea 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Iga hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points she played.

Swiatek has a terrific win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (395-88). 25-7 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Swiatek has a composed 187-49 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title at the Wimbledon where she beat Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0.

The Pole has an overall 46-12 win-loss record in 2025, 25-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Anna Kalinskaya

Ranked no. 34, Kalinskaya reached the quarter after defeating Peyton Stearns 7-6(4) 4-6 6-1, Amanda Anisimova 7-5 6-4 and Ekaterina Alexandrova 3-6 7-6(5) 6-1.

In the 4^th round against Alexandrova, Kalinskaya recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-6⁵ 6-1). During the match Kalinskaya scored 105 points vs Alexandrova’s 101. Kalinskaya was extremely aggressive to blast 47 winners.

About the serving games, Kalinskaya fired 5 aces and she was not very solid on her 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Anna Kalinskaya lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kalinskaya put 61% of her first serves in, winning 75% (47/63) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (20/40) on the 2nd serve. Kalinskaya broke Alexandrova 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Anna has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

Anna’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Washington.

Kalinskaya has an overall 19-15 win-loss record in 2025, 10-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2022 and 2024. See her history

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Swiatek	Kalinskaya
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	4	8
Tot Games	36	81
Pts	124-91	286-261
Total Points	215	547
Winners	44	118
%Winners	35%	41%

Swiatek played 2 matches while Kalinskaya competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Anna Kalinskaya surrendered 2 sets while Iga Swiatek hasn’t dropped a set so far. Swiatek has played 4 set(s) less than Kalinskaya (4 vs 8). Therefore, Swiatek played 45 games less than Kalinskaya. The Pole scored 44 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian struck 118 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Swiatek	Kalinskaya
Aces	5	13
Avg per match	2.5	4.3
1st in	57/104	166/270
%1st in	55%	61%
1st pts	44/57	118/166
%1st pts	77%	71%
2nd pts	24/47	57/104
%2nd pts	51%	55%

Swiatek fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Kalinskaya recorded 13 aces (4.3 per match). Swiatek won 77% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Kalinskaya won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Swiatek	Kalinskaya
Won	9	10
Converted	9/15	10/27
% Converted	60%	37%
Conceded	7	19
Saved	4	14
% Saved	57%	74%
Times Broken	3	5

The Pole broke her opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. Iga surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Kalinskaya broke her opponents 10 times with a 37% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
	R2 Potapova	R3 Kostyuk	R4 Cirstea	Total
Score	6-1 6-4	w/o	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	–	2	4
Tot Games	17	–	19	36
pts	61-36	–	63-55	124-91
Total points	97	–	118	215
Winners	28	–	16	44
%Winners	46%	–	25%	35%
SERVE
Aces	4	–	1	5
Double Faults	4	–	2	6
1st in	31/52	–	26/52	57/104
% 1st in	60%	–	50%	55%
1st pts	28/31	–	16/26	44/57
% 1st pts	90%	–	62%	77%
2nd pts	9/21	–	15/26	24/47
% 2nd pts	43%	–	58%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	–	5	9
Converted	4/5	–	5/10	9/15
Converted %	80%	–	50%	60%
Conceded	5	–	2	7
Saved	4/5	–	0/2	4
Saved %	80%	–	0%	27%
Times Broken	1	–	2	3

Kalinskaya
	R2 Stearns	R3 Anisimova	R4 Alexandrova	Total
Score	7-64 4-6 6-1	7-5 6-4	3-6 7-65 6-1
Tot Set	3	2	3	8
Tot Games	30	22	29	81
pts	107-97	74-63	105-101	286-261
Total points	204	137	206	547
Winners	38	33	47	118
%Winners	36%	45%	45%	41%
SERVE
Aces	7	1	5	13
Double Faults	9	5	10	24
1st in	54/91	49/76	63/103	166/270
% 1st in	59%	64%	61%	61%
1st pts	38/54	33/49	47/63	118/166
% 1st pts	70%	67%	75%	71%
2nd pts	22/37	15/27	20/40	57/104
% 2nd pts	59%	56%	50%	55%
Breaks
Won	3	4	3	10
Converted	3/9	4/8	3/10	10/27
Converted %	33%	50%	30%	37%
Conceded	4	9	6	19
Saved	2/4	7/9	5/6	14
Saved %	50%	78%	83%	70%
Times Broken	2	2	1	5

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

• Gabriela Dabrowski/Erin RoutliffeDabrowski/Erin Routliffe – Caty Mcnally/Linda NoskovaMcnally/Linda Noskova (6-2 7-6³) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sumit NagalNagal – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (7-5 7-6²) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Federico GaioGaio – Manuel GuinardGuinard (6-1 2-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Mohamed SafwatSafwat (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Elias YmerYmer – Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans (7-6⁵ 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Magda LinetteLinette (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elena RybakinaRybakina (7-4) – H2H and prediction
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Cori GauffGauff (2-2) – H2H and prediction