Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Valentin Vacherot will square off in the quarter of the Todi Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on GRAND STAND. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Valentin Vacherot who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Valentin Vacherot is the pick to win this match.
Valentin Vacherot -> 1.75
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer -> 1.99

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Valentin Vacherot

There is no head to head record between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Valentin Vacherot since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Ranked no. 163 (career-high), Nicolai reached the quarter after beating Juan Bautista Torres 6-2 4-6 7-6(5) and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 7-6(2) 3-0 ret..

In the 2^nd round against Pucinelli De Almeida, Budkov Kjaer had a free pass after Pucinelli De Almeida retired on a 7-6² 3-0 . scoreline.

Budkov Kjaer has a solid record in the last 3 years having won 66% of his matches (61-31). 15-9 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Budkov Kjaer has an aggregate34-16 record in the last 3 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Glasgow Challenger where he defeated Viktor Durasovic in the final 6-4 6-3 and the Tampere Challenger where he overcame Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the final 7-6(5) 6-7(2) 6-2 and the Astana Challenger where he overcame Alexandr Binda in the final 6-4 6-3.

The Norwegian has an aggregate 35-18 win-loss record in 2025, 15-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Todi Challenger

Budkov Kjaer has never competed in this tournament before.

Valentin Vacherot

Ranked no. 246, Valentin reached the quarter after beating Maxim Mrva 6-2 6-1 and Francesco Forti 6-4 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Vacherot had a good straight sets win against Forti (6-4 6-2). During the match Vacherot scored 66 points vs Forti’s 43. The Monegasque was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Vacherot blasted 5 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Valentin Vacherot was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (30/38) of his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Monegasque broke Forti 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Vacherot hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 61% of the points he played.

Vacherot’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Francavilla Challenger.

The Monegasque has an aggregate 29-18 win-loss record in 2025, 23-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Budkov Kjaer	Vacherot
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	6	4
Tot Games	47	33
Pts	165-152	125-80
Total Points	317	205
Winners	64	53
%Winners	39%	42%

Both Budkov Kjaer and Vacherot played 2 matches. At the moment, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer dropped 1 set while Valentin Vacherot hasn’t dropped a set so far. Budkov Kjaer has played 2 sets more than Vacherot (6 vs 4). Therefore, Budkov Kjaer played 14 games more than Vacherot. The Norwegian scored 64 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Vacherot made 53 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Budkov Kjaer	Vacherot
Aces	6	12
Avg per match	3	6
1st in	102/151	71/105
%1st in	68%	68%
1st pts	64/102	53/71
%1st pts	63%	75%
2nd pts	28/49	19/34
%2nd pts	57%	56%

Budkov Kjaer bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Vacherot struck 12 aces (6 per match). Budkov Kjaer won 63% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Vacherot won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Budkov Kjaer	Vacherot
Won	8	9
Converted	8/19	9/17
% Converted	42%	53%
Conceded	11	8
Saved	5	6
% Saved	45%	75%
Times Broken	6	2

Budkov Kjaer broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Nicolai dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 45% of the break points that he conceded. The Monegasque broke his opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. Valentin conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Budkov Kjaer
	R1 Bautista Torres	R2 Pucinelli De Almeida	Total
Score	6-2 4-6 7-65	7-62 3-0 ret.
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	31	16	47
pts	102-109	63-43	165-152
Total points	211	106	317
Winners	41	23	64
%Winners	40%	37%	39%
SERVE
Aces	1	5	6
Double Faults	1	1	2
1st in	73/110	29/41	102/151
% 1st in	66%	71%	68%
1st pts	41/73	23/29	64/102
% 1st pts	56%	79%	63%
2nd pts	19/37	9/12	28/49
% 2nd pts	51%	75%	57%
Breaks
Won	6	2	8
Converted	6/13	2/6	8/19
Converted %	46%	33%	42%
Conceded	10	1	11
Saved	5/10	0/1	5
Saved %	50%	0%	25%
Times Broken	5	1	6

Vacherot
	R1 Mrva	R2 Forti	Total
Score	6-2 6-1	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	15	18	33
pts	59-37	66-43	125-80
Total points	96	109	205
Winners	23	30	53
%Winners	39%	45%	42%
SERVE
Aces	7	5	12
Double Faults	3	0	3
1st in	33/50	38/55	71/105
% 1st in	66%	69%	68%
1st pts	23/33	30/38	53/71
% 1st pts	70%	79%	75%
2nd pts	10/17	9/17	19/34
% 2nd pts	59%	53%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/8	4/9	9/17
Converted %	63%	44%	53%
Conceded	3	5	8
Saved	2/3	4/5	6
Saved %	67%	80%	74%
Times Broken	1	1	2

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – (0-0) – H2H and prediction