Cori Gauff and Lucia Bronzetti will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Cincinnati Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on P&G CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 2 sets.
Cori Gauff -> 1.137
Lucia Bronzetti -> 5.75
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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Lucia Bronzetti
This will be the 3rd time that Cori Gauff and Lucia Bronzetti fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Gauff won 6-2 7-6(5) in the 3rd round in Indian Wells back in 2024.
Cori Gauff
35 - 11win/loss
3
2
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-16 | 29-9 | 18-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-18 | 31-10 | 14-5 | 4-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Gauff got to the 4th round after defeating Xinyu Wang 6-3 6-2 and Dayana Yastremska w/o.
In the 3rd round, Gauff defeated Yastremska (w/o). During the match, Gauff and Yastremska scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 2 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The American was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Talking about the service games, Gauff was unable to score even 1 ace in the course of the match and she was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Cori Gauff conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Gauff has a fantastic match record in the last 9 years having won 70% of her matches (263-111). 16-6 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gauff has a composed146-64 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the French Open where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-7(5) 6-2 6-4.
The American has a compiled 34-11 win-loss record in 2025, 16-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Lucia Bronzetti
18 - 21win/loss
103
46
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-29 | 11-17 | 4-7 | 4-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-34 | 17-22 | 9-8 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-30 | 15-17 | 10-9 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-26 | 18-10 | 13-10 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 14-4 | 38-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 61, Lucia got to the 4th round after beating Lin Zhu 6-7(6) 6-2 7-6(6), Daria Kasatkina 6-3 1-6 6-4 and Jelena Ostapenko 1-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 3rd round against Ostapenko, Bronzetti recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-4).During the match Bronzetti scored less points (6) than Ostapenko. In fact, the world no. 2 won 79 points vs Ostapenko’s. That means that Bronzetti was more focused during the important points. Lucia was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Bronzetti made 10 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Lucia Bronzetti lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Bronzetti put 45% of her first serves in, winning 71% (25/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (20/43) on the 2nd serve. Bronzetti broke Ostapenko 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Lucia has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points she played.
Lucia’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Napoca.
The Italian has an aggregate 18-20 win-loss record in 2025, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gauff | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 86 |
| Pts | 60-44 | 285-281 |
| Total Points | 104 | 566 |
| Winners | 26 | 97 |
| %Winners | 43% | 34% |
Gauff played 1 match while Bronzetti competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Lucia Bronzetti conceded 3 sets while Cori Gauff hasn’t lost a set so far. Gauff has played 7 set(s) less than Bronzetti (2 vs 9). Therefore, Gauff played 69 games less than Bronzetti. Cori scored 26 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Bronzetti scored 97 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gauff | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 6.7 |
| 1st in | 35/60 | 141/285 |
| %1st in | 58% | 49% |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 97/141 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 11/25 | 68/144 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 47% |
Gauff managed to score 5 aces . Bronzetti struck 20 aces (6.7 per match). Gauff won 74% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Bronzetti won 69% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gauff | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 15 |
| Converted | 5/5 | 15/34 |
| % Converted | 100% | 44% |
| Conceded | 7 | 27 |
| Saved | 5 | 14 |
| % Saved | 71% | 52% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 13 |
The American broke her opponent 5 times with a 100% conversion rate. The American dropped her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. The Italian broke her opponents 15 times with a 44% conversion rate. Bronzetti conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 52% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gauff | ||||
| R2 Wang | R3 Yastremska | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | – | 17 | |
| pts | 60-44 | – | 60-44 | |
| Total points | 104 | – | 104 | |
| Winners | 26 | – | 26 | |
| %Winners | 43% | – | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | – | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | – | 8 | |
| 1st in | 35/60 | – | 35/60 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | – | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | – | 26/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | – | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/25 | – | 11/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | – | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | – | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/5 | – | 5/5 | |
| Converted % | 100% | – | 100% | |
| Conceded | 7 | – | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | – | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | – | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Bronzetti | |||||
| R1 Zhu | R2 Kasatkina | R3 Ostapenko | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-76 6-2 7-66 | 6-3 1-6 6-4 | 1-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 26 | 26 | 86 | |
| pts | 126-115 | 80-81 | 79-85 | 285-281 | |
| Total points | 241 | 161 | 164 | 566 | |
| Winners | 40 | 32 | 25 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 40% | 32% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 2 | 10 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 59/124 | 47/83 | 35/78 | 141/285 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 57% | 45% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 40/59 | 32/47 | 25/35 | 97/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | 71% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 34/65 | 14/36 | 20/43 | 68/144 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 39% | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 5/9 | 4/10 | 15/34 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 56% | 40% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 11 | 8 | 27 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 6/11 | 4/8 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 55% | 50% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (6-1 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Madison KeysKeys (6-73 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Magda LinetteLinette (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elena RybakinaRybakina (7-4) – H2H and prediction