Cori Gauff and Lucia Bronzetti will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Cincinnati Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on P&G CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cori Gauff is the pick to win this match.
Cori Gauff -> 1.137
Lucia Bronzetti -> 5.75

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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Lucia Bronzetti

This will be the 3rd time that Cori Gauff and Lucia Bronzetti fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Gauff won 6-2 7-6(5) in the 3rd round in Indian Wells back in 2024.

Cori Gauff

Cori Gauff

35 - 11win/loss

Hard
17-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
18-3
Grass
0-2
Rank
3
High
2
LWLWWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-16 29-9 18-3 1-2 0-2 0-0
2024 54-18 31-10 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0

Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Gauff got to the 4th round after defeating Xinyu Wang 6-3 6-2 and Dayana Yastremska w/o.

In the 3rd round, Gauff defeated Yastremska (w/o). During the match, Gauff and Yastremska scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 2 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The American was not very aggressive to strike just winners.

Talking about the service games, Gauff was unable to score even 1 ace in the course of the match and she was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Cori Gauff conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.

Gauff has a fantastic match record in the last 9 years having won 70% of her matches (263-111). 16-6 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gauff has a composed146-64 match record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the French Open where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-7(5) 6-2 6-4.

The American has a compiled 34-11 win-loss record in 2025, 16-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Cincinnati
Gauff's Record

Lucia Bronzetti

Lucia Bronzetti

18 - 21win/loss

Hard
9-9
I Hard
4-2
Clay
4-7
Grass
1-3
Rank
103
High
46
LLLLWWLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-29 11-17 4-7 4-2 1-3 0-0
2024 31-34 17-22 9-8 3-1 2-3 0-0
2023 32-30 15-17 10-9 4-2 3-2 0-0
2022 36-26 18-10 13-10 3-3 2-3 0-0
2021 53-23 14-4 38-14 1-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 61, Lucia got to the 4th round after beating Lin Zhu 6-7(6) 6-2 7-6(6), Daria Kasatkina 6-3 1-6 6-4 and Jelena Ostapenko 1-6 6-3 6-4.

In the 3rd round against Ostapenko, Bronzetti recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-4).During the match Bronzetti scored less points (6) than Ostapenko. In fact, the world no. 2 won 79 points vs Ostapenko’s. That means that Bronzetti was more focused during the important points. Lucia was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

About the serving games, Bronzetti made 10 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Lucia Bronzetti lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Bronzetti put 45% of her first serves in, winning 71% (25/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (20/43) on the 2nd serve. Bronzetti broke Ostapenko 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lucia has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points she played.

Lucia’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Napoca.

The Italian has an aggregate 18-20 win-loss record in 2025, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See her history.

Cincinnati
Bronzetti's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Gauff
L.Bronzetti
1h:10
1h:10
Time on court​
!
7h:22
7h:22
1h:10
1h:10
Last match​
2h:00
2h:00
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
17
17
Games Played​
86
86
2
2
Set played​​
9
9
60
60
Total points​
285
285
60
60
Avg point​
95
95
26
26
Winners
97
97
26
26
Avg Winners​
32.3
32.3
43%
43%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
20
20
5
5
Avg Aces
6.7
6.7
8
8
Double Faults
9
9
!
8
8
Avg Double Faults
3
3
26/35
26/35
1st won total​
97/141
97/141
!
74%
74%
1st won %
69%
69%
11/25
11/25
2nd won total​
68/144
68/144
44%
44%
2nd won %
47%
47%
-- Break Points --
5/5
5/5
BP won
15/34
15/34
5/5
5/5
Avg BP won
5/11.3
5/11.3
!
100%
100%
Won
44%
44%
7
7
Conceded
27
27
7
7
Avg Conceded
9
9
2
2
Broken
13
13
2
2
Avg Broken
!
4.3
4.3
5
5
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Gauff Bronzetti
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 9
Tot Games 17 86
Pts 60-44 285-281
Total Points 104 566
Winners 26 97
%Winners 43% 34%

Gauff played 1 match while Bronzetti competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Lucia Bronzetti conceded 3 sets while Cori Gauff hasn’t lost a set so far. Gauff has played 7 set(s) less than Bronzetti (2 vs 9). Therefore, Gauff played 69 games less than Bronzetti. Cori scored 26 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Bronzetti scored 97 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Gauff Bronzetti
Aces 5 20
Avg per match 5 6.7
1st in 35/60 141/285
%1st in 58% 49%
1st pts 26/35 97/141
%1st pts 74% 69%
2nd pts 11/25 68/144
%2nd pts 44% 47%

Gauff managed to score 5 aces . Bronzetti struck 20 aces (6.7 per match). Gauff won 74% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Bronzetti won 69% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Gauff Bronzetti
Won 5 15
Converted 5/5 15/34
% Converted 100% 44%
Conceded 7 27
Saved 5 14
% Saved 71% 52%
Times Broken 2 13

The American broke her opponent 5 times with a 100% conversion rate. The American dropped her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. The Italian broke her opponents 15 times with a 44% conversion rate. Bronzetti conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 52% of the break points that she conceded.

Gauff
R2
Wang
R3
Yastremska
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 w/o
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 60-44 60-44
Total points 104 104
Winners 26 26
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 8 8
1st in 35/60 35/60
% 1st in 58% 58%
1st pts 26/35 26/35
% 1st pts 74% 74%
2nd pts 11/25 11/25
% 2nd pts 44% 44%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/5 5/5
Converted % 100% 100%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 5/7 5
Saved % 71% 36%
Times Broken 2 2
Bronzetti
R1
Zhu
R2
Kasatkina
R3
Ostapenko
Total
Score 6-76 6-2 7-66 6-3 1-6 6-4 1-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 34 26 26 86
pts 126-115 80-81 79-85 285-281
Total points 241 161 164 566
Winners 40 32 25 97
%Winners 32% 40% 32% 34%
SERVE
Aces 8 2 10 20
Double Faults 5 2 2 9
1st in 59/124 47/83 35/78 141/285
% 1st in 48% 57% 45% 49%
1st pts 40/59 32/47 25/35 97/141
% 1st pts 68% 68% 71% 69%
2nd pts 34/65 14/36 20/43 68/144
% 2nd pts 52% 39% 47% 47%
Breaks
Won 6 5 4 15
Converted 6/15 5/9 4/10 15/34
Converted % 40% 56% 40% 44%
Conceded 8 11 8 27
Saved 4/8 6/11 4/8 14
Saved % 50% 55% 50% 78%
Times Broken 4 5 4 13

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

Upcoming matches in the draw