Jasmine Paolini and Barbora Krejcikova will play each other in the 4th round of the Cincinnati Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:00 pm on P&G CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.727
Barbora Krejcikova -> 2.11

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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Barbora Krejcikova

This will be the 3rd time that Jasmine Paolini and Barbora Krejcikova square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Krejcikova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Krejcikova won 6-2 2-6 6-4 in the final in at the Wimbledon back in 2024.

Highlights Barbora Krejcikova vs Jasmine Paolini – Wimbledon 13-July-2024

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini

31 - 13win/loss

Hard
15-7
I Hard
0-0
Clay
13-3
Grass
3-3
Rank
8
High
4
LLLLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 46-21 27-12 13-3 3-3 3-3 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 9, the Italian reached the 4th round after defeating Maria Sakkari 7-6(2) 7-6(5) and Ashlyn Krueger 7-6(2) 6-1.

In the 3rd round, Paolini had a good straight sets win against Krueger (7-62 6-1). During the match, Paolini scored 73 points vs Krueger’s 55. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Regarding the service games, Paolini scored just 1 ace during the match and she was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 63% of her first serves in, winning 69% (27/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Krueger 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points she played.

Paolini has positive record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (340-244). 14-7 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Paolini has an overall 118-93 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Rome where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-4 6-2.

Jasmine has an aggregate 30-13 win-loss record in 2025, 14-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Cincinnati
Paolini's Record

Barbora Krejcikova

Barbora Krejcikova

8 - 6win/loss

Hard
3-2
I Hard
0-0
Clay
1-2
Grass
4-2
Rank
65
High
2
LWWLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-9 11-5 1-2 0-0 4-2 0-0
2024 21-16 7-7 3-5 2-2 9-2 0-0
2023 34-19 22-11 5-5 2-1 5-2 0-0
2022 25-15 12-10 2-3 9-0 2-2 0-0
2021 45-19 27-13 15-3 0-2 3-1 0-0

Ranked no. 80, the Czech reached the 4th round after beating Alycia Parks 6-4 4-6 6-0, Elina Svitolina 2-6 6-4 6-3 and Iva Jovic 6-4 3-6 6-2.

In the 3rd round, Krejcikova defeated Jovic (6-4 3-6 6-2). During the match Krejcikova scored 95 points vs Jovic’s 87. Barbora was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Krejcikova recorded 8 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Barbora Krejcikova lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Krejcikova put 59% of her first serves in, winning 85% (40/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (15/33) on the 2nd serve. Barbora broke Jovic 3 times after converting 20% of her break points (3/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Krejcikova has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

The Czech has a compiled 8-5 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See her history.

Cincinnati
Krejcikova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Paolini
B.Krejcikova
3h:42
3h:42
Time on court​
!
6h:30
6h:30
1h:29
1h:29
Last match​
!
2h:28
2h:28
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
46
46
Games Played​
80
80
4
4
Set played​​
9
9
164
164
Total points​
275
275
82
82
Avg point​
91.7
91.7
67
67
Winners
117
117
33.5
33.5
Avg Winners​
39
39
41%
41%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
12
12
3
3
Avg Aces
4
4
3
3
Double Faults
26
26
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
!
8.7
8.7
67/98
67/98
1st won total​
117/171
117/171
68%
68%
1st won %
68%
68%
32/55
32/55
2nd won total​
40/101
40/101
58%
58%
2nd won %
40%
40%
-- Break Points --
6/20
6/20
BP won
18/40
18/40
3/10
3/10
Avg BP won
6/13.3
6/13.3
30%
30%
Won
45%
45%
12
12
Conceded
29
29
6
6
Avg Conceded
9.7
9.7
4
4
Broken
12
12
2
2
Avg Broken
4
4
8
8
Saved
17
17

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paolini Krejcikova
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 4 9
Tot Games 46 80
Pts 164-142 275-251
Total Points 306 526
Winners 67 117
%Winners 41% 43%

Paolini played 2 matches while Krejcikova competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Barbora Krejcikova lost 3 sets while Jasmine Paolini hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Paolini has played 5 set(s) less than Krejcikova (4 vs 9). Therefore, Paolini played 34 games less than Krejcikova. The Italian scored 67 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Krejcikova bagged 117 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paolini Krejcikova
Aces 6 12
Avg per match 3 4
1st in 98/153 171/272
%1st in 64% 63%
1st pts 67/98 117/171
%1st pts 68% 68%
2nd pts 32/55 40/101
%2nd pts 58% 40%

Paolini managed to score 6 aces (3 per match). Krejcikova struck 12 aces (4 per match). Paolini won 68% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Krejcikova won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 40% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paolini Krejcikova
Won 6 18
Converted 6/20 18/40
% Converted 30% 45%
Conceded 12 29
Saved 8 17
% Saved 67% 59%
Times Broken 4 12

Paolini broke her opponents 6 times with a 30% conversion rate. Paolini lost her serve 4 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The Czech broke her opponents 18 times with a 45% conversion rate. Barbora conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.

Paolini
R2
Sakkari
R3
Krueger
Total
Score 7-62 7-65 7-62 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 26 20 46
pts 91-87 73-55 164-142
Total points 178 128 306
Winners 40 27 67
%Winners 44% 37% 41%
SERVE
Aces 5 1 6
Double Faults 3 0 3
1st in 59/91 39/62 98/153
% 1st in 65% 63% 64%
1st pts 40/59 27/39 67/98
% 1st pts 68% 69% 68%
2nd pts 18/32 14/23 32/55
% 2nd pts 56% 61% 58%
Breaks
Won 2 4 6
Converted 2/10 4/10 6/20
Converted % 20% 40% 30%
Conceded 8 4 12
Saved 6/8 2/4 8
Saved % 75% 50% 63%
Times Broken 2 2 4
Krejcikova
R1
Parks
R2
Svitolina
R3
Jovic
Total
Score 6-4 4-6 6-0 2-6 6-4 6-3 6-4 3-6 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 26 27 27 80
pts 91-72 89-92 95-87 275-251
Total points 163 181 182 526
Winners 31 46 40 117
%Winners 34% 52% 42% 43%
SERVE
Aces 0 4 8 12
Double Faults 8 12 6 26
1st in 55/89 69/103 47/80 171/272
% 1st in 62% 67% 59% 63%
1st pts 31/55 46/69 40/47 117/171
% 1st pts 56% 67% 85% 68%
2nd pts 14/34 11/34 15/33 40/101
% 2nd pts 41% 32% 45% 40%
Breaks
Won 9 6 3 18
Converted 9/13 6/12 3/15 18/40
Converted % 69% 50% 20% 45%
Conceded 12 14 3 29
Saved 6/12 9/14 2/3 17
Saved % 50% 64% 67% 91%
Times Broken 6 5 1 12

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

Upcoming matches in the draw