Jannik Sinner and Felix Auger-Aliassime will play each other in the quarter of the Cincinnati Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:00 pm on P&G CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.2
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 4.55

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime

This will be the 3^rd time that Jannik Sinner and Felix Auger-Aliassime clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Auger-Aliassime won 2-6 7-6(1) 6-1 in the 3^rd round in Cincinnati back in 2022.

Highlights Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner – Cincinnati 18-August-2022

Jannik Sinner

Currently world no. 1 the Italian reached the quarter after beating Daniel Elahi Galan 6-1 6-1, Gabriel Diallo 6-2 7-6(6) and Adrian Mannarino 6-4 7-6(4).

In the 4^th round, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Mannarino (6-4 7-6⁴). During the match, Sinner scored 79 points vs Mannarino’s 66. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sinner bagged 12 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 97% (31/32) of his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sinner broke Mannarino twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jannik hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 75% of his matches (375-124). 10-0 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has an overall148-46 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the year was conquering the title at the Australian Open where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3 and at the Wimbledon where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4.

Jannik has an overall 29-3 win-loss record in 2025, 10-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranked no. 28, Auger-Aliassime reached the quarter after defeating Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-2 7-6(3), Arthur Rinderknech 7-6(4) 4-2 ret. and Benjamin Bonzi 6-4 6-3.

In the 4^th round, Felix had a good straight sets win against Bonzi (6-4 6-3). During the match Auger-Aliassime scored 59 points vs Bonzi’s 40. Auger-Aliassime was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Auger-Aliassime recorded 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Felix Auger-Aliassime lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Auger-Aliassime put 69% of his first serves in, winning 89% (31/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (7/16) on the 2nd serve. Auger-Aliassime was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Bonzi 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Felix hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Adelaide where he beat Sebastian Korda in the final 6-3 3-6 6-1 and in Montpellier where he defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-2 6-7(7) 7-6(2).

Auger-Aliassime has a compiled 29-18 win-loss record in 2025, 16-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021 and 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Auger-Aliassime
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	7
Tot Games	58	59
Pts	220-155	207-156
Total Points	375	363
Winners	78	98
%Winners	35%	47%

Both Sinner and Auger-Aliassime played 3 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Sinner has played 1 set(s) less than Auger-Aliassime (6 vs 7). Therefore, Sinner played 1 game less than Auger-Aliassime. The Italian scored 78 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Auger-Aliassime managed to score 98 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Auger-Aliassime
Aces	24	30
Avg per match	8	10
1st in	86/160	118/168
%1st in	54%	70%
1st pts	78/86	98/118
%1st pts	91%	83%
2nd pts	45/74	28/50
%2nd pts	61%	56%

Sinner blasted 24 aces (8 per match). Auger-Aliassime blasted 30 aces (10 per match). Sinner won 91% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Auger-Aliassime
Won	10	7
Converted	10/34	7/18
% Converted	29%	39%
Conceded	5	7
Saved	3	5
% Saved	60%	71%
Times Broken	2	2

Jannik broke his opponents 10 times with a 29% conversion rate. Sinner conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Auger-Aliassime broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Auger-Aliassime conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	R2 Elahi Galan Riveros	R3 Diallo	R4 Mannarino	Total
Score	6-1 6-1	6-2 7-66	6-4 7-64
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	14	21	23	58
pts	57-27	84-62	79-66	220-155
Total points	84	146	145	375
Winners	22	25	31	78
%Winners	39%	30%	39%	35%
SERVE
Aces	6	6	12	24
Double Faults	3	5	2	10
1st in	23/36	31/62	32/62	86/160
% 1st in	64%	50%	52%	54%
1st pts	22/23	25/31	31/32	78/86
% 1st pts	96%	81%	97%	91%
2nd pts	8/13	20/31	17/30	45/74
% 2nd pts	62%	65%	57%	61%
Breaks
Won	5	3	2	10
Converted	5/13	3/12	2/9	10/34
Converted %	38%	25%	22%	29%
Conceded	1	3	1	5
Saved	1/1	2/3	0/1	3
Saved %	100%	67%	0%	56%
Times Broken	0	1	1	2

Auger-Aliassime
	R2 Etcheverry	R3 Rinderknech	R4 Bonzi	Total
Score	6-2 7-63	7-64 4-2 ret.	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	21	19	19	59
pts	76-57	72-59	59-40	207-156
Total points	133	131	99	363
Winners	41	26	31	98
%Winners	54%	36%	53%	47%
SERVE
Aces	14	7	9	30
Double Faults	1	3	3	7
1st in	53/67	30/50	35/51	118/168
% 1st in	79%	60%	69%	70%
1st pts	41/53	26/30	31/35	98/118
% 1st pts	77%	87%	89%	83%
2nd pts	8/14	13/20	7/16	28/50
% 2nd pts	57%	65%	44%	56%
Breaks
Won	2	2	3	7
Converted	2/4	2/11	3/3	7/18
Converted %	50%	18%	100%	39%
Conceded	4	1	2	7
Saved	4/4	0/1	1/2	5
Saved %	100%	0%	50%	50%
Times Broken	0	1	1	2

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

• Ben SheltonShelton – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (7-6³ 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (6-7⁴ 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Adam WaltonWalton (7-6⁵ 7-6³) – See score progression
• Luca NardiNardi – Jakub MensikMensik (6-2 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-7⁵ 7-6⁵ 7-5) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (7-6⁴ 4-2 ret.) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (7-6⁴ 7-5) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tommy PaulPaul (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Terence AtmaneAtmane – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-7⁴ 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-2 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (7-6(3) 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-4 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Alexander ZverevZverev (3-5) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Andrey RublevRublev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Terence AtmaneAtmane – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction