Alexander Zverev and Karen Khachanov will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Cincinnati Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 5:00 pm on COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.44
Karen Khachanov -> 2.79

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Karen Khachanov

This will be the 9th time that Alexander Zverev and Karen Khachanov clash against each other. The head to head is 5-3 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Khachanov won 6-3 4-6 7-6(4) in the semifinal in Toronto back in August 2025.

Highlights Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Zverev – Toronto 06-August-2025

Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev

42 - 15win/loss

Hard
18-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
18-7
Grass
6-3
Rank
3
High
2
LLWLWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 55-25 24-9 18-7 7-6 6-3 0-0
2024 69-21 29-10 23-6 11-3 6-2 0-0
2023 55-27 22-13 20-7 8-5 5-2 0-0
2022 29-10 9-4 17-5 3-1 0-0 0-0
2021 59-15 28-6 14-4 13-3 4-2 0-0

Ranked no. 3, Alexander reached the 4th round after beating Nishesh Basavareddy 6-3 6-3 and Brandon Nakashima 6-4 6-4.

In the 3rd round, Zverev had a good straight sets win against Nakashima (6-4 6-4). During the match, Zverev scored 65 points vs Nakashima’s 55. The German was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Zverev made 12 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexander Zverev was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (33/44) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Zverev broke Nakashima twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alexander hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Zverev has a marvellous record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (486-189). 17-5 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zverev has an aggregate 196-80 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Munich where he defeated Ben Shelton in the final 6-2 6-4.

Zverev has an overall 41-15 win-loss record in 2025, 17-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Cincinnati
Zverev's Record

Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov

29 - 18win/loss

Hard
12-8
I Hard
0-1
Clay
9-6
Grass
8-3
Rank
18
High
8
LWWLLLLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-24 13-11 9-6 2-4 8-3 0-0
2024 37-22 14-12 8-4 14-3 1-3 0-0
2023 34-18 18-10 10-5 6-3 0-0 0-0
2022 36-25 17-11 9-7 6-5 4-2 0-0
2021 35-24 17-9 5-6 8-6 5-3 0-0

Ranked no. 12, Karen reached the 4th round after defeating Valentin Royer 6-4 7-6(6) and Jenson Brooksby 6-3 6-3.

In the 3rd round, Khachanov had a good straight sets win against Brooksby (6-3 6-3). During the match Khachanov scored 63 points vs Brooksby’s 47. Khachanov was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about serving, Khachanov struck 2 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Karen Khachanov was quite efficient on serve to win 72% (23/32) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Khachanov broke Brooksby 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Karen’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Toronto.

The Russian has an aggregate 29-17 win-loss record in 2025, 12-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020. See his history.

Cincinnati
Khachanov's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Zverev
K.Khachanov
2h:42
2h:42
Time on court​
3h:14
3h:14
1h:36
1h:36
Last match​
1h:24
1h:24
2
2
Match played
2
2
38
38
Games Played​
41
41
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
122
122
Total points​
145
145
61
61
Avg point​
72.5
72.5
65
65
Winners
53
53
32.5
32.5
Avg Winners​
26.5
26.5
53%
53%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
24
24
Aces
9
9
!
12
12
Avg Aces
4.5
4.5
3
3
Double Faults
0
0
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
0
0
65/85
65/85
1st won total​
53/73
53/73
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
14/26
14/26
2nd won total​
29/48
29/48
54%
54%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
5/7
5/7
BP won
7/18
7/18
2.5/3.5
2.5/3.5
Avg BP won
3.5/9
3.5/9
!
71%
71%
Won
39%
39%
4
4
Conceded
6
6
2
2
Avg Conceded
3
3
0
0
Broken
3
3
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
4
4
Saved
3
3

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Zverev Khachanov
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 38 41
Pts 122-99 145-120
Total Points 221 265
Winners 65 53
%Winners 53% 37%

Both Zverev and Khachanov played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Zverev and Khachanov have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Zverev played 3 games less than Khachanov. Alexander scored 65 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian fired 53 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Zverev Khachanov
Aces 24 9
Avg per match 12 4.5
1st in 85/111 73/121
%1st in 77% 60%
1st pts 65/85 53/73
%1st pts 76% 73%
2nd pts 14/26 29/48
%2nd pts 54% 60%

Zverev recorded 24 aces (12 per match). Khachanov blasted 9 aces (4.5 per match). Zverev won 76% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Zverev Khachanov
Won 5 7
Converted 5/7 7/18
% Converted 71% 39%
Conceded 4 6
Saved 4 3
% Saved 100% 50%
Times Broken 0 3

The German broke his opponents 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. The German pretty effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 4 break points. Karen broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Karen conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Zverev
R2
Basavareddy
R3
Nakashima
Total
Score 6-3 6-3 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 20 38
pts 57-44 65-55 122-99
Total points 101 120 221
Winners 32 33 65
%Winners 56% 51% 53%
SERVE
Aces 12 12 24
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 41/50 44/61 85/111
% 1st in 82% 72% 77%
1st pts 32/41 33/44 65/85
% 1st pts 78% 75% 76%
2nd pts 4/9 10/17 14/26
% 2nd pts 44% 59% 54%
Breaks
Won 3 2 5
Converted 3/3 2/4 5/7
Converted % 100% 50% 71%
Conceded 0 4 4
Saved 0/0 4/4 4
Saved % 100% 50%
Times Broken 0 0 0
Khachanov
R2
Royer
R3
Brooksby
Total
Score 6-4 7-66 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 23 18 41
pts 82-73 63-47 145-120
Total points 155 110 265
Winners 30 23 53
%Winners 37% 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 7 2 9
Double Faults 0 0 0
1st in 41/63 32/58 73/121
% 1st in 65% 55% 60%
1st pts 30/41 23/32 53/73
% 1st pts 73% 72% 73%
2nd pts 13/22 16/26 29/48
% 2nd pts 59% 62% 60%
Breaks
Won 3 4 7
Converted 3/11 4/7 7/18
Converted % 27% 57% 39%
Conceded 3 3 6
Saved 1/3 2/3 3
Saved % 33% 67% 50%
Times Broken 2 1 3

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

Upcoming matches in the draw