Liam Draxl and Rio Noguchi will play each other in the 1st round of the Cancun Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:30 am on CANCHA 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liam Draxl who should win in 2 sets.
Liam Draxl -> 1.25
Rio Noguchi -> 3.64
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Prediction and head to head Liam Draxl vs. Rio Noguchi
This will be the 2nd time that Liam Draxl and Rio Noguchi clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Draxl (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Draxl won 6-1 6-2 in the quarter in the Winnipeg Challenger back in July 2025.
Liam Draxl
42 - 20win/loss
123
113
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 49-29 | 20-13 | 10-5 | 19-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-24 | 21-10 | 17-12 | 13-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-9 | 23-5 | 0-0 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-16 | 16-10 | 3-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-14 | 16-9 | 12-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 114, the Canadian will start his run in the Cancun Challenger after he played his last match in Cincinnati where he lost 2-6 6-3 6-4 to Royer in the qualifications on the 6th of August.
Draxl has an aggregate 42-20 win-loss record in 2025, 17-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Winnipeg Challenger where he overcame Alexander Blockx in the final 1-6 6-3 6-4.
Talking about his overall career, Draxl has an overall 203-101 record. He has a positive 105-52 record on hard.
Previously in the Cancun Challenger
The Canadian has never competed in this tournament before.
Rio Noguchi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-30 | 36-30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-31 | 36-22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-31 | 12-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-22 | 41-10 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-26 | 18-18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 210, Rio reached the 1st round after defeating Ray Ho 3-6 7-6(2) 6-4 and James Watt 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Watt (6-4 6-4). During the match Noguchi scored 62 points vs Watt’s 41. Rio was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Noguchi was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Rio Noguchi was quite efficient on serve to win 89% (24/27) of his 1st serve and 94% (16/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese broke Watt twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger where he overcame Jie Cui in the final 7-6(9) 6-2.
Noguchi has a compiled 29-18 win-loss record in 2025, 29-18 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Tennis Scores in Cancun Challenger
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Matteo GiganteGigante (6-1 4-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (3-6 7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Francesco PassaroPassaro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo GastonGaston – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Liam DraxlDraxl – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (0-1) – H2H and prediction