Madison Keys is 4 wins away to conquer the title in Cincinnati. Madison has defeated Eva Lys 1-6 6-3 7-61 and Aoi Ito 6-4 6-0 to reach the 4th round where she will face Elena Rybakina.
Draw prediction with head to head records
This is Madison Keys’s projected draw together withherlikely opposition in Cincinnati Open. Madison has a losing record (10-15) against the likely opposition.
R4 – Elena Rybakina’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 3-2 for Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 59-19 | 37-13 | 9-3 | 8-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 57-21 | 19-9 | 15-6 | 16-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 32-22 | 11-8 | 7-9 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Elena Rybakina has a 39-15 record in 2025, 23-9 on hard. In the last 11 years, the Kazakhstani has a 173-80 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Elena won 8 of her last 10 matches.
Her most significant achievement of the season was winning the competition in Strasbourg where she overcame Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1.
Last year in Cincinnati Open the Kazakhstani surrendered to Leylah Annie Fernandez in the 2nd round 3-6 7-6(3) 6-4.
H2H Madison Keys vs. Elena Rybakina
This would be the 6th time that Madison Keys and Elena Rybakina square off. The head to head is 3-2 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.
1/4 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 5-2 for Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 63-12 | 35-6 | 17-3 | 4-1 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 39-22 | 28-12 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 51-25 | 34-13 | 7-6 | 3-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Aryna Sabalenka has a 49-9 record in 2025, 25-4 on hard. Talking about the last 10 years, Aryna has a 252-96 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Sabalenka won 8 of her last 10 matches.
Her most significant achievement of the year was conquering the title in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, in Miami where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Madrid where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).
Last year in Cincinnati Open Aryna conquered the tournament after defeating Jessica Pegula 6-3 7-5
.H2H Madison Keys vs. Aryna Sabalenka
This match would represent the 8th time that Madison Keys and Aryna Sabalenka play each other. The head to head is 5-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on hard in major tournaments.
Notwithstanding, Madison Keys could play Jessica Bouzas Maneiro. Their head to head is 0-0.
1/2 – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.
Head to head 5-2 for Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64-17 | 40-10 | 11-4 | 3-2 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 34-17 | 17-8 | 10-3 | 4-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 43-6 | 8-1 | 34-5 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Iga Swiatek has a 45-12 win-loss record in 2025, 24-7 on hard. In connection to the previous 10 years, the Pole has a 186-49 record on hard (Click here
to see full career record). The Pole won 9 of her last 10 matches.Her most significant result of the current season was winning the tournament at the Wimbledon where she overcame Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0.
Last year in Cincinnati Open the Pole lost to Aryna Sabalenka in the semifinal 6-3 6-3.
H2H Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek
This match would represent the 8th time that Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek face off. The head to head is 5-2 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but Keys has a winning record of 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.
Nevertheless, Madison Keys could compete against Ekaterina Alexandrova. Their head to head is 1-0 for Madison Keys.
Final – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.
Head to head record 3-3
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-16 | 29-9 | 18-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-18 | 31-10 | 14-5 | 4-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-8 | 7-5 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 29-15 | 9-6 | 7-5 | 7-3 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2018 | 9-4 | 4-2 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Cori Gauff has a 34-11 record in 2025, 16-6 on hard. In the course of the previous 9 years, the American has a 146-64 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American won 7 of her last 10 matches.
Her most significant achievement of the season was winning the title in Australia where she defeated Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4, and at the French Open where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-7(5) 6-2 6-4.
Last year in Cincinnati Open the American was overcome by Yulia Putintseva in the 2nd round 6-4 2-6 6-4.
H2H Madison Keys vs. Cori Gauff
This contest would be 7th time that Madison Keys and Cori Gauff face off. The head to head is 3-3 (see full H2H stats), 2-1 for Gauff on hard in major tournaments.
On the other hand, Madison Keys could compete against Jessica Pegula. Their head to head is 2-1 for Madison Keys.