Ekaterina Alexandrova and Anna Kalinskaya will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Cincinnati Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 8:30 pm on P&G CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ekaterina Alexandrova who should win in 3 sets.
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 1.59
Anna Kalinskaya -> 2.36
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Prediction and head to head Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Anna Kalinskaya
This will be the 7th time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Anna Kalinskaya face off. The head to head is 6-0 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Alexandrova won 6-4 6-7(2) 6-1 in the 2nd round in Wuhan back in 2024.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
32 - 17win/loss
10
10
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-25 | 22-16 | 13-5 | 4-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-25 | 17-13 | 1-7 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, the Russian got to the 4th round after defeating Lulu Sun 6-4 6-2 and Maya Joint 6-4 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Alexandrova had a good straight sets win against Joint (6-4 6-3). During the match, Alexandrova scored 63 points vs Joint’s 50. Alexandrova was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alexandrova blasted 7 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Ekaterina Alexandrova was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 78% (25/32) of her 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Russian was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Joint 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexandrova hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Alexandrova has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (325-212). 7-8 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alexandrova has a compiled 114-94 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Linz where she overcame Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.
Alexandrova has a compiled 32-16 win-loss record in 2025, 7-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Anna Kalinskaya
19 - 15win/loss
33
11
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-21 | 16-14 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-19 | 28-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-18 | 16-15 | 7-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-20 | 22-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 19-12 | 3-7 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34, Anna reached the 4th round after defeating Peyton Stearns 7-6(4) 4-6 6-1 and Amanda Anisimova 7-5 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Anna had a good straight sets win against Anisimova (7-5 6-4). During the match Kalinskaya scored 74 points vs Anisimova’s 63. Anna was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Kalinskaya scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Anna Kalinskaya lost the serve twice and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Kalinskaya put 64% of her first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the 2nd serve. Anna broke Anisimova 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
The Russian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Washington.
Anna has an aggregate 18-15 win-loss record in 2025, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022 and 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alexandrova | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 52 |
| Pts | 134-97 | 181-160 |
| Total Points | 231 | 341 |
| Winners | 49 | 71 |
| %Winners | 37% | 39% |
Both Alexandrova and Kalinskaya played 2 matches. At the moment, Anna Kalinskaya surrendered 1 set while Ekaterina Alexandrova hasn’t lost a set so far. Alexandrova has played 1 set(s) less than Kalinskaya (4 vs 5). Therefore, Alexandrova played 15 games less than Kalinskaya. Alexandrova scored 49 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Kalinskaya made 71 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alexandrova | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 4 |
| 1st in | 61/104 | 103/167 |
| %1st in | 59% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 49/61 | 71/103 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 22/43 | 37/64 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 58% |
Alexandrova recorded 14 aces (7 per match). Kalinskaya scored 8 aces (4 per match). Alexandrova won 80% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Kalinskaya won 69% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alexandrova | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 7 |
| Converted | 9/13 | 7/17 |
| % Converted | 69% | 41% |
| Conceded | 12 | 13 |
| Saved | 8 | 9 |
| % Saved | 67% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
The Russian broke her opponents 9 times with a 69% conversion rate. Ekaterina conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. Kalinskaya conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.
| Alexandrova | ||||
| R2 Sun | R3 Joint | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 19 | 37 | |
| pts | 71-47 | 63-50 | 134-97 | |
| Total points | 118 | 113 | 231 | |
| Winners | 24 | 25 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 40% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 2 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 29/51 | 32/53 | 61/104 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 60% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 24/29 | 25/32 | 49/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 78% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/22 | 14/21 | 22/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 67% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 3/3 | 9/13 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 100% | 69% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 80% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Kalinskaya | ||||
| R2 Stearns | R3 Anisimova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 4-6 6-1 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 22 | 52 | |
| pts | 107-97 | 74-63 | 181-160 | |
| Total points | 204 | 137 | 341 | |
| Winners | 38 | 33 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 45% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 1 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 54/91 | 49/76 | 103/167 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 64% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 38/54 | 33/49 | 71/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 67% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/37 | 15/27 | 37/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 56% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 4/8 | 7/17 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 9 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 7/9 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 78% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Iva JovicJovic (6-4 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (1-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (w/o) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (7-62 6-1) – See score progression
- Ella SeidelSeidel – Mccartney KesslerKessler (6-4 2-6 7-66) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Yue YuanYuan (6-72 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Marta KostyukKostyuk (w/o) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (7-63 4-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Maya JointJoint (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Aoi ItoIto (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Elise MertensMertens (4-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Manuel GuinardGuinard – Rudolf MollekerMolleker (6-4 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Hugo GastonGaston (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Sumit NagalNagal – Uladzimir IgnatikIgnatik (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Mohamed SafwatSafwat – Facundo ArguelloArguello (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Federico GaioGaio – Pablo AndujarAndujar (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Elias YmerYmer – Maxime JanvierJanvier (2-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Pedro SousaSousa (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alexey VatutinVatutin (5-7 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (7-6(2) 6-1) – See score progression
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (1-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (w/o) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Clara TausonTauson – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Madison KeysKeys (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction