Ekaterina Alexandrova and Anna Kalinskaya will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Cincinnati Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 8:30 pm on P&G CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ekaterina Alexandrova who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ekaterina Alexandrova is the pick to win this match.
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 1.59
Anna Kalinskaya -> 2.36

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Prediction and head to head Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Anna Kalinskaya

This will be the 7th time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Anna Kalinskaya face off. The head to head is 6-0 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Alexandrova won 6-4 6-7(2) 6-1 in the 2nd round in Wuhan back in 2024.

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ekaterina Alexandrova

32 - 17win/loss

Hard
7-9
I Hard
4-0
Clay
13-5
Grass
8-3
Rank
10
High
10
LLWLWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 47-25 22-16 13-5 4-1 8-3 0-0
2024 26-25 17-13 1-7 3-2 5-3 0-0
2023 33-21 17-13 6-5 0-1 10-2 0-0
2022 35-18 12-10 13-5 4-2 6-1 0-0
2021 26-23 10-9 6-5 7-7 3-2 0-0

Ranked no. 16, the Russian got to the 4th round after defeating Lulu Sun 6-4 6-2 and Maya Joint 6-4 6-3.

In the 3rd round, Alexandrova had a good straight sets win against Joint (6-4 6-3). During the match, Alexandrova scored 63 points vs Joint’s 50. Alexandrova was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alexandrova blasted 7 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Ekaterina Alexandrova was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 78% (25/32) of her 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Russian was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Joint 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alexandrova hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Alexandrova has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (325-212). 7-8 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alexandrova has a compiled 114-94 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Linz where she overcame Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.

Alexandrova has a compiled 32-16 win-loss record in 2025, 7-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Cincinnati
Alexandrova's Record

Anna Kalinskaya

Anna Kalinskaya

19 - 15win/loss

Hard
10-8
I Hard
3-1
Clay
5-4
Grass
1-2
Rank
33
High
11
LWWLWWLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-21 16-14 5-4 3-1 1-2 0-0
2024 38-19 28-12 3-5 0-0 7-2 0-0
2023 28-18 16-15 7-3 5-0 0-0 0-0
2022 27-20 22-10 2-6 1-1 2-3 0-0
2021 30-23 19-12 3-7 5-2 3-2 0-0

Ranked no. 34, Anna reached the 4th round after defeating Peyton Stearns 7-6(4) 4-6 6-1 and Amanda Anisimova 7-5 6-4.

In the 3rd round, Anna had a good straight sets win against Anisimova (7-5 6-4). During the match Kalinskaya scored 74 points vs Anisimova’s 63. Anna was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Kalinskaya scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Anna Kalinskaya lost the serve twice and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Kalinskaya put 64% of her first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the 2nd serve. Anna broke Anisimova 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

The Russian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Washington.

Anna has an aggregate 18-15 win-loss record in 2025, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022 and 2024. See her history.

Cincinnati
Kalinskaya's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Alexandrova
A.Kalinskaya
2h:29
2h:29
Time on court​
!
4h:11
4h:11
1h:15
1h:15
Last match​
1h:41
1h:41
2
2
Match played
2
2
37
37
Games Played​
52
52
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
134
134
Total points​
181
181
67
67
Avg point​
90.5
90.5
49
49
Winners
71
71
24.5
24.5
Avg Winners​
35.5
35.5
37%
37%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
14
14
Aces
8
8
7
7
Avg Aces
4
4
10
10
Double Faults
14
14
5
5
Avg Double Faults
!
7
7
49/61
49/61
1st won total​
71/103
71/103
!
80%
80%
1st won %
69%
69%
22/43
22/43
2nd won total​
37/64
37/64
51%
51%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
9/13
9/13
BP won
7/17
7/17
4.5/6.5
4.5/6.5
Avg BP won
3.5/8.5
3.5/8.5
!
69%
69%
Won
41%
41%
12
12
Conceded
13
13
6
6
Avg Conceded
6.5
6.5
4
4
Broken
4
4
2
2
Avg Broken
2
2
8
8
Saved
9
9

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alexandrova Kalinskaya
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 37 52
Pts 134-97 181-160
Total Points 231 341
Winners 49 71
%Winners 37% 39%

Both Alexandrova and Kalinskaya played 2 matches. At the moment, Anna Kalinskaya surrendered 1 set while Ekaterina Alexandrova hasn’t lost a set so far. Alexandrova has played 1 set(s) less than Kalinskaya (4 vs 5). Therefore, Alexandrova played 15 games less than Kalinskaya. Alexandrova scored 49 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Kalinskaya made 71 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alexandrova Kalinskaya
Aces 14 8
Avg per match 7 4
1st in 61/104 103/167
%1st in 59% 62%
1st pts 49/61 71/103
%1st pts 80% 69%
2nd pts 22/43 37/64
%2nd pts 51% 58%

Alexandrova recorded 14 aces (7 per match). Kalinskaya scored 8 aces (4 per match). Alexandrova won 80% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Kalinskaya won 69% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alexandrova Kalinskaya
Won 9 7
Converted 9/13 7/17
% Converted 69% 41%
Conceded 12 13
Saved 8 9
% Saved 67% 69%
Times Broken 4 4

The Russian broke her opponents 9 times with a 69% conversion rate. Ekaterina conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. Kalinskaya conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.

Alexandrova
R2
Sun
R3
Joint
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 19 37
pts 71-47 63-50 134-97
Total points 118 113 231
Winners 24 25 49
%Winners 34% 40% 37%
SERVE
Aces 7 7 14
Double Faults 8 2 10
1st in 29/51 32/53 61/104
% 1st in 57% 60% 59%
1st pts 24/29 25/32 49/61
% 1st pts 83% 78% 80%
2nd pts 8/22 14/21 22/43
% 2nd pts 36% 67% 51%
Breaks
Won 6 3 9
Converted 6/10 3/3 9/13
Converted % 60% 100% 69%
Conceded 7 5 12
Saved 4/7 4/5 8
Saved % 57% 80% 69%
Times Broken 3 1 4
Kalinskaya
R2
Stearns
R3
Anisimova
Total
Score 7-64 4-6 6-1 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 30 22 52
pts 107-97 74-63 181-160
Total points 204 137 341
Winners 38 33 71
%Winners 36% 45% 39%
SERVE
Aces 7 1 8
Double Faults 9 5 14
1st in 54/91 49/76 103/167
% 1st in 59% 64% 62%
1st pts 38/54 33/49 71/103
% 1st pts 70% 67% 69%
2nd pts 22/37 15/27 37/64
% 2nd pts 59% 56% 58%
Breaks
Won 3 4 7
Converted 3/9 4/8 7/17
Converted % 33% 50% 41%
Conceded 4 9 13
Saved 2/4 7/9 9
Saved % 50% 78% 64%
Times Broken 2 2 4

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

Upcoming matches in the draw