Iga Swiatek and Sorana Cirstea will face off in the 4th round of the Cincinnati Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on GRANDSTAND. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.05
Sorana Cirstea -> 9.9
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Sorana Cirstea
This will be the 5th time that Iga Swiatek and Sorana Cirstea clash against each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Swiatek won 6-1 6-1 in the 3rd round in Madrid back in 2024.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Sorana Cirstea – Madrid 27-April-2024
Iga Swiatek
46 - 12win/loss
2
1
WWLLWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64-17 | 40-10 | 11-4 | 3-2 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Swiatek reached the 4th round after defeating Anastasia Potapova 6-1 6-4 and Marta Kostyuk w/o.
In the 3rd round, Iga defeated Kostyuk (w/o). During the match, Swiatek and Kostyuk scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 3 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Iga was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek was unable to score even 1 ace throughout the match and she was very solid in conceding no double faults. Iga Swiatek conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Swiatek has a marvellous win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (394-88). 24-7 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has an aggregate 186-49 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title at the Wimbledon where she beat Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0.
Swiatek has an overall 45-12 win-loss record in 2025, 24-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Sorana Cirstea
14 - 14win/loss
43
21
LWWLWWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-20 | 26-14 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 12-16 | 9-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-22 | 21-14 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-21 | 10-10 | 4-6 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 11-10 | 11-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 136, Sorana got to the 4th round after defeating Donna Vekic 6-1 4-6 6-3, Magdalena Frech 7-6(4) 2-6 6-4 and Yue Yuan 6-7(2) 6-4 6-4.
In the 3rd round against Yuan, Sorana recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-72 6-4 6-4). During the match Cirstea scored 105 points vs Yuan’s 100. Sorana was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Cirstea struck 9 aces and she was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Sorana Cirstea lost the serve 5 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Cirstea put 61% of her first serves in, winning 69% (41/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (16/38) on the 2nd serve. Sorana broke Yuan 7 times after converting 58% of her break points (7/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Romanian has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
The Romanian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Iasi.
The Romanian has a composed 14-13 win-loss record in 2025, 10-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2009. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 90 |
| Pts | 61-36 | 303-279 |
| Total Points | 97 | 582 |
| Winners | 28 | 106 |
| %Winners | 46% | 35% |
Swiatek played 1 match while Cirstea competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Sorana Cirstea conceded 3 sets while Iga Swiatek hasn’t lost a set so far. Swiatek has played 7 set(s) less than Cirstea (2 vs 9). Therefore, Swiatek played 73 games less than Cirstea. Swiatek scored 28 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Sorana blasted 106 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 22 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 7.3 |
| 1st in | 31/52 | 150/256 |
| %1st in | 60% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 28/31 | 106/150 |
| %1st pts | 90% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 9/21 | 53/106 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 50% |
Swiatek bagged 4 aces . Cirstea managed to score 22 aces (7.3 per match). Swiatek won 90% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Cirstea won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 16 |
| Converted | 4/5 | 16/40 |
| % Converted | 80% | 40% |
| Conceded | 5 | 18 |
| Saved | 4 | 6 |
| % Saved | 80% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 12 |
Iga broke her opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Swiatek lost her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Sorana broke her opponents 16 times with a 40% conversion rate. Sorana conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||
| R2 Potapova |
R3 Kostyuk |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | – | 17 | |
| pts | 61-36 | – | 61-36 | |
| Total points | 97 | – | 97 | |
| Winners | 28 | – | 28 | |
| %Winners | 46% | – | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | – | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | – | 4 | |
| 1st in | 31/52 | – | 31/52 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | – | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 28/31 | – | 28/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | – | 90% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/21 | – | 9/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | – | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | – | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | – | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | – | 80% | |
| Conceded | 5 | – | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | – | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | – | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | – | 1 | |
| Cirstea | |||||
| R1 Vekic |
R2 Frech |
R3 Yuan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 4-6 6-3 | 7-64 2-6 6-4 | 6-72 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 31 | 33 | 90 | |
| pts | 106-93 | 92-86 | 105-100 | 303-279 | |
| Total points | 199 | 178 | 205 | 582 | |
| Winners | 28 | 37 | 41 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 40% | 39% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 6 | 9 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 38/78 | 53/81 | 59/97 | 150/256 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 65% | 61% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 37/53 | 41/59 | 106/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 70% | 69% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/40 | 17/28 | 16/38 | 53/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 61% | 42% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/22 | 3/6 | 7/12 | 16/40 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 50% | 58% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2/6 | 2/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 33% | 29% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLWLWWLW
LWWLWWWLWL Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (1-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (w/o) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (7-62 6-1) – See score progression
- Ella SeidelSeidel – Mccartney KesslerKessler (6-4 2-6 7-66) – See score progression
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Iva JovicJovic (6-4 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Maya JointJoint (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Aoi ItoIto (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Elise MertensMertens (4-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Yue YuanYuan (6-72 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Marta KostyukKostyuk (w/o) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (7-63 4-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Elias YmerYmer – Maxime JanvierJanvier (2-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Pedro SousaSousa (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alexey VatutinVatutin (5-7 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Manuel GuinardGuinard – Rudolf MollekerMolleker (6-4 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Hugo GastonGaston (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Sumit NagalNagal – Uladzimir IgnatikIgnatik (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Mohamed SafwatSafwat – Facundo ArguelloArguello (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Federico GaioGaio – Pablo AndujarAndujar (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (7-6(2) 6-1) – See score progression
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (1-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (w/o) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Clara TausonTauson – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Madison KeysKeys (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
