Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro will play each other in the 4^th round of the Cincinnati Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on P&G CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.149
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro -> 5.5

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

This will be the 2^nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Sabalenka won 6-3 7-5 in the 2^nd round in at the Australian Open back in January 2025.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro – Australian Open 15-January-2025

Aryna Sabalenka

Currently world no. 1 Sabalenka got to the 4^th round after defeating Marketa Vondrousova 7-5 6-1 and Emma Raducanu 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(5).

In the 3^rd round, Sabalenka defeated Raducanu (7-6³ 4-6 7-6⁵).During the match, Sabalenka scored less points (3) than Raducanu. In fact, the world no. 1 won 122 points vs Raducanu’s. That means that Sabalenka was more focused during the important points. Sabalenka was very aggressive to blast 51 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka scored 8 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 58% of her first serves in, winning 78% (51/65) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (23/48) on the 2nd serve. Aryna broke Raducanu twice after converting 25% of her break points (2/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belarussian has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 51% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a superlative win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (423-177). 25-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a compiled 252-96 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

The Belarussian has an overall 49-9 win-loss record in 2025, 25-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Ranked no. 42 (career-high), the Spaniard got to the 4^th round after defeating Venus Williams 6-4 6-4, Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-3 6-3 and Taylor Townsend 6-4 6-1.

In the 3^rd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Townsend (6-4 6-1). During the match Bouzas scored 67 points vs Townsend’s 53. Jessica was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Bouzas wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Bouzas put 68% of her first serves in, winning 71% (27/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (7/18) on the 2nd serve. Bouzas broke Townsend 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bouzas hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Bouzas has an overall 25-17 win-loss record in 2025, 10-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Bouzas
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	5	6
Tot Games	55	55
Pts	194-186	195-157
Total Points	380	352
Winners	83	72
%Winners	43%	37%

Sabalenka played 2 matches while Bouzas competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Aryna Sabalenka surrendered 1 set while Jessica Bouzas Maneiro hasn’t lost a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Bouzas (5 vs 6). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (55). The Belarussian scored 83 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Jessica blasted 72 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Bouzas
Aces	12	5
Avg per match	6	1.7
1st in	115/196	100/173
%1st in	59%	58%
1st pts	83/115	72/100
%1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	43/81	33/73
%2nd pts	53%	45%

Sabalenka recorded 12 aces (6 per match). Bouzas recorded 5 aces (1.7 per match). Sabalenka won 72% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Bouzas won 72% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Bouzas
Won	5	15
Converted	5/11	15/27
% Converted	45%	56%
Conceded	19	15
Saved	16	9
% Saved	84%	60%
Times Broken	3	6

Aryna broke her opponents 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Belarussian surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 84% of the break points that she conceded. Jessica broke her opponents 15 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
	R2 Vondrousova	R3 Raducanu	Total
Score	7-5 6-1	7-63 4-6 7-65
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	19	36	55
pts	72-61	122-125	194-186
Total points	133	247	380
Winners	32	51	83
%Winners	44%	42%	43%
SERVE
Aces	4	8	12
Double Faults	2	3	5
1st in	50/83	65/113	115/196
% 1st in	60%	58%	59%
1st pts	32/50	51/65	83/115
% 1st pts	64%	78%	72%
2nd pts	20/33	23/48	43/81
% 2nd pts	61%	48%	53%
Breaks
Won	3	2	5
Converted	3/3	2/8	5/11
Converted %	100%	25%	45%
Conceded	12	7	19
Saved	12/12	4/7	16
Saved %	100%	57%	79%
Times Broken	0	3	3

Bouzas
	R1 Williams	R2 Annie Fernandez	R3 Townsend	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-3 6-3	6-4 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	20	18	17	55
pts	67-54	61-50	67-53	195-157
Total points	121	111	120	352
Winners	22	23	27	72
%Winners	33%	38%	40%	37%
SERVE
Aces	2	3	0	5
Double Faults	6	9	4	19
1st in	34/58	28/59	38/56	100/173
% 1st in	59%	47%	68%	58%
1st pts	22/34	23/28	27/38	72/100
% 1st pts	65%	82%	71%	72%
2nd pts	11/24	15/31	7/18	33/73
% 2nd pts	46%	48%	39%	45%
Breaks
Won	6	4	5	15
Converted	6/9	4/6	5/12	15/27
Converted %	67%	67%	42%	56%
Conceded	7	2	6	15
Saved	3/7	1/2	5/6	9
Saved %	43%	50%	83%	88%
Times Broken	4	1	1	6

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

• Ella SeidelSeidel – Mccartney KesslerKessler (6-4 2-6 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Iva JovicJovic (6-4 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (1-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Cori GauffGauff – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (w/o) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (7-6² 6-1) – See score progression
• Madison KeysKeys – Aoi ItoIto (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Elise MertensMertens (4-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Yue YuanYuan (6-7² 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Marta KostyukKostyuk (w/o) – See score progression
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (7-6³ 4-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Maya JointJoint (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Manuel GuinardGuinard – Rudolf MollekerMolleker (6-4 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Hugo GastonGaston (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Sumit NagalNagal – Uladzimir IgnatikIgnatik (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Mohamed SafwatSafwat – Facundo ArguelloArguello (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Federico GaioGaio – Pablo AndujarAndujar (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Elias YmerYmer – Maxime JanvierJanvier (2-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Pedro SousaSousa (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alexey VatutinVatutin (5-7 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (7-6(2) 6-1) – See score progression
• Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (1-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Cori GauffGauff – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (w/o) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Clara TausonTauson – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Magda LinetteLinette – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Madison KeysKeys (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction