Holger Rune and Frances Tiafoe will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Cincinnati Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on P&G CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.76
Frances Tiafoe -> 2.06

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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Frances Tiafoe

This will be the 2nd time that Holger Rune and Frances Tiafoe fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Tiafoe (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Tiafoe won 4-6 6-1 7-6(4) in the semifinal in Cincinnati back in 2024.

Highlights Frances Tiafoe vs Holger Rune – Cincinnati 18-August-2024

Holger Rune

Holger Rune

27 - 15win/loss

Hard
14-6
I Hard
2-2
Clay
9-5
Grass
2-2
Rank
15
High
4
LWWLWWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-22 20-10 10-6 4-4 2-2 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 9, Rune got to the 4th round after beating Roman Safiullin 7-5 7-6(5) and Alex Michelsen 7-6(4) 6-3.

In the 3rd round, The Dane had a good straight sets win against Michelsen (7-64 6-3). During the match, Rune scored 68 points vs Michelsen’s 61. The Dane was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rune struck 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Holger Rune lost the serve once. Furthermore, Rune put 58% of his first serves in, winning 82% (32/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. Rune broke Michelsen twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Holger hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Rune has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 66% of his matches (277-145). 13-6 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rune has a compiled64-48 record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Barcelona where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

Holger has an aggregate 26-15 win-loss record in 2025, 13-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Cincinnati
Rune's Record

Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

24 - 18win/loss

Hard
11-8
I Hard
1-1
Clay
11-7
Grass
1-2
Rank
30
High
10
LLLLLWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-23 13-13 11-7 1-1 1-2 0-0
2024 33-27 21-13 5-6 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 40-21 21-10 8-4 4-5 7-2 0-0
2022 35-25 19-11 8-6 5-5 3-3 0-0
2021 42-27 19-13 4-7 10-4 9-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 14, Tiafoe reached the 4th round after beating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-4 6-3 and Ugo Humbert 6-4 6-4.

In the 3rd round, Francis had a good straight sets win against Humbert (6-4 6-4). During the match Tiafoe scored 67 points vs Humbert’s 58. Francis was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, Tiafoe struck 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Frances Tiafoe lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Tiafoe put 69% of his first serves in, winning 76% (31/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (8/18) on the 2nd serve. Tiafoe broke Humbert 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Francis hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Francis’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Houston.

Tiafoe has an aggregate 24-17 win-loss record in 2025, 11-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2024. See his history.

Cincinnati
Tiafoe's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

H.Rune
F.Tiafoe
3h:31
3h:31
Time on court​
2h:53
2h:53
1h:33
1h:33
Last match​
1h:23
1h:23
2
2
Match played
2
2
47
47
Games Played​
39
39
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
148
148
Total points​
136
136
74
74
Avg point​
68
68
64
64
Winners
49
49
32
32
Avg Winners​
24.5
24.5
43%
43%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
15
15
6.5
6.5
Avg Aces
7.5
7.5
8
8
Double Faults
4
4
4
4
Avg Double Faults
2
2
64/86
64/86
1st won total​
49/65
49/65
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
37/65
37/65
2nd won total​
22/48
22/48
57%
57%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
5/11
5/11
BP won
9/29
9/29
2.5/5.5
2.5/5.5
Avg BP won
4.5/14.5
4.5/14.5
45%
45%
Won
31%
31%
5
5
Conceded
6
6
2.5
2.5
Avg Conceded
3
3
3
3
Broken
4
4
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
2
2
2
2
Saved
2
2
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rune Tiafoe
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 47 39
Pts 148-135 136-117
Total Points 283 253
Winners 64 49
%Winners 43% 36%

Both Rune and Tiafoe played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rune and Tiafoe have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Rune played 8 games more than Tiafoe. Holger scored 64 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Francis bagged 49 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rune Tiafoe
Aces 13 15
Avg per match 6.5 7.5
1st in 86/151 65/113
%1st in 57% 58%
1st pts 64/86 49/65
%1st pts 74% 75%
2nd pts 37/65 22/48
%2nd pts 57% 46%

Rune scored 13 aces (6.5 per match). Tiafoe managed to score 15 aces (7.5 per match). Rune won 74% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Tiafoe won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rune Tiafoe
Won 5 9
Converted 5/11 9/29
% Converted 45% 31%
Conceded 5 6
Saved 2 2
% Saved 40% 33%
Times Broken 3 4

The Dane broke his opponents 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Holger dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 9 times with a 31% conversion rate. Tiafoe conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.

Rune
R2
Safiullin		 R3
Michelsen		 Total
Score 7-5 7-65 7-64 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 25 22 47
pts 80-74 68-61 148-135
Total points 154 129 283
Winners 32 32 64
%Winners 40% 47% 43%
SERVE
Aces 4 9 13
Double Faults 4 4 8
1st in 47/84 39/67 86/151
% 1st in 56% 58% 57%
1st pts 32/47 32/39 64/86
% 1st pts 68% 82% 74%
2nd pts 23/37 14/28 37/65
% 2nd pts 62% 50% 57%
Breaks
Won 3 2 5
Converted 3/5 2/6 5/11
Converted % 60% 33% 45%
Conceded 4 1 5
Saved 2/4 0/1 2
Saved % 50% 0% 25%
Times Broken 2 1 3
Tiafoe
R2
Carballes Baena		 R3
Humbert		 Total
Score 6-4 6-3 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 20 39
pts 69-59 67-58 136-117
Total points 128 125 253
Winners 18 31 49
%Winners 26% 46% 36%
SERVE
Aces 7 8 15
Double Faults 3 1 4
1st in 24/54 41/59 65/113
% 1st in 44% 69% 58%
1st pts 18/24 31/41 49/65
% 1st pts 75% 76% 75%
2nd pts 14/30 8/18 22/48
% 2nd pts 47% 44% 46%
Breaks
Won 6 3 9
Converted 6/17 3/12 9/29
Converted % 35% 25% 31%
Conceded 4 2 6
Saved 1/4 1/2 2
Saved % 25% 50% 38%
Times Broken 3 1 4

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

Upcoming matches in the draw

Rune
More Stats
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Tiafoe

Click for FULL STATS