Jannik Sinner and Adrian Mannarino will clash against each other in the 4^th round of the Cincinnati Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on P&G CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.06
Adrian Mannarino -> 9.1

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Adrian Mannarino

This will be the 4^th time that Jannik Sinner and Adrian Mannarino clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Sinner won 7-6(7) 6-4 in the 3^rd round in Indian wells back in 2023.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Adrian Mannarino – Indian wells 13-March-2023

Jannik Sinner

Currently world no. 1 Sinner reached the 4^th round after beating Daniel Elahi Galan 6-1 6-1 and Gabriel Diallo 6-2 7-6(6).

In the 3^rd round, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Diallo (6-2 7-6⁶). During the match, Sinner scored 84 points vs Diallo’s 62. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sinner recorded 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was quite effective on serve to win 81% (25/31) of his 1st serve and 65% (20/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sinner broke Diallo 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jannik hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 61% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 75% of his matches (374-124). 9-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has an overall147-46 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3 and at the Wimbledon where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4.

Jannik has a composed 28-3 win-loss record in 2025, 9-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Adrian Mannarino

Ranked no. 89, the French player got to the 4^th round after defeating Mitchell Krueger 6-1 6-1, Dalibor Svrcina 6-3 6-4, Jordan Thompson 6-2 6-2, Tomas Machac 6-3 6-3 and Tommy Paul 5-7 6-3 6-4.

In the 3^rd round against Paul, Adrian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-4). During the match Mannarino scored 103 points vs Paul’s 100. The French player was very aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Talking about serving, Mannarino scored 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Adrian Mannarino lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Mannarino put 55% of his first serves in, winning 80% (47/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (23/49) on the 2nd serve. Mannarino broke Paul 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

The French player best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Newport Challenger.

Mannarino has an overall 28-29 win-loss record in 2025, 9-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Mannarino
Match played	2	5
Tot Set	4	11
Tot Games	35	98
Pts	141-89	364-273
Total Points	230	637
Winners	47	133
%Winners	33%	37%

Sinner played 2 matches while Mannarino competed in 5 matches. Mannarino started his run from the qualifications while Sinner had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Adrian Mannarino dropped 1 set while Jannik Sinner hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sinner has played 7 set(s) less than Mannarino (4 vs 11). Therefore, Sinner played 63 games less than Mannarino. The Italian scored 47 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, The French player blasted 133 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Mannarino
Aces	12	25
Avg per match	6	5
1st in	54/98	167/308
%1st in	55%	54%
1st pts	47/54	133/167
%1st pts	87%	80%
2nd pts	28/44	79/141
%2nd pts	64%	56%

Sinner managed to score 12 aces (6 per match). Mannarino struck 25 aces (5 per match). Sinner won 87% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Mannarino
Won	8	20
Converted	8/25	20/41
% Converted	32%	49%
Conceded	4	16
Saved	3	11
% Saved	75%	69%
Times Broken	1	5

The Italian broke his opponents 8 times with a 32% conversion rate. Sinner lost his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Mannarino broke his opponents 20 times with a 49% conversion rate. Mannarino conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	R2 Elahi Galan Riveros	R3 Diallo	Total
Score	6-1 6-1	6-2 7-66
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	14	21	35
pts	57-27	84-62	141-89
Total points	84	146	230
Winners	22	25	47
%Winners	39%	30%	33%
SERVE
Aces	6	6	12
Double Faults	3	5	8
1st in	23/36	31/62	54/98
% 1st in	64%	50%	55%
1st pts	22/23	25/31	47/54
% 1st pts	96%	81%	87%
2nd pts	8/13	20/31	28/44
% 2nd pts	62%	65%	64%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/13	3/12	8/25
Converted %	38%	25%	32%
Conceded	1	3	4
Saved	1/1	2/3	3
Saved %	100%	67%	84%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Mannarino
	Q1 Krueger	Q3 Svrcina	R1 Thompson	R2 Machac	R3 Paul	Total
Score	6-1 6-1	6-3 6-4	6-2 6-2	6-3 6-3	5-7 6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	3	11
Tot Games	14	19	16	18	31	98
pts	54-24	61-48	68-45	78-56	103-100	364-273
Total points	78	109	113	134	203	637
Winners	17	22	23	24	47	133
%Winners	31%	36%	34%	31%	46%	37%
SERVE
Aces	6	4	5	5	5	25
Double Faults	1	1	1	0	3	6
1st in	20/37	32/59	27/45	29/59	59/108	167/308
% 1st in	54%	54%	60%	49%	55%	54%
1st pts	17/20	22/32	23/27	24/29	47/59	133/167
% 1st pts	85%	69%	85%	83%	80%	80%
2nd pts	12/17	17/27	11/18	16/30	23/49	79/141
% 2nd pts	71%	63%	61%	53%	47%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	4	4	4	3	20
Converted	5/10	4/4	4/8	4/11	3/8	20/41
Converted %	50%	100%	50%	36%	38%	49%
Conceded	0	3	1	4	8	16
Saved	0/0	1/3	1/1	3/4	6/8	11
Saved %	–	33%	100%	75%	75%	142%
Times Broken	0	2	0	1	2	5

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

• Luca NardiNardi – Jakub MensikMensik (6-2 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Adam WaltonWalton (7-6⁵ 7-6³) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (6-7⁴ 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-7⁵ 7-6⁵ 7-5) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (7-6⁴ 4-2 ret.) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-2 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Terence AtmaneAtmane – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-7⁴ 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tommy PaulPaul (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (7-6⁴ 7-5) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Adam WaltonWalton (7-6(5) 7-6(3)) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Luca NardiNardi – Jakub MensikMensik (6-2 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Terence AtmaneAtmane (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-4) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Andrey RublevRublev (1-0) – H2H and prediction