Cleeve Harper and Manuel Guinard will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Cancun Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 5:30 pm on GRANDSTAND EL TINTO. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Manuel Guinard who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Manuel Guinard is the pick to win this match.
Manuel Guinard -> 1.41
Cleeve Harper -> 2.73
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Prediction and head to head Cleeve Harper vs. Manuel Guinard
There is no head to head record between Cleeve Harper and Manuel Guinard since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Cleeve Harper
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-13 | 10-7 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 9-7 | 8-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently unranked, the Canadian got to the qualifications after beating Naoki Nakagawa 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Nakagawa (6-3 6-2). During the match, Harper scored 61 points vs Nakagawa’s 42. The Canadian was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Harper managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Cleeve Harper conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Harper put 58% of his first serves in, winning 68% (23/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 80% (20/25) on the 2nd serve. Cleeve broke Nakagawa 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Harper has a unfavourable record in the last 8 years having won 48% of his matches (40-43). 1-1 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Harper has a composed26-27 record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Canadian has a composed 3-4 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cancun Challenger
The Canadian has never competed in this tournament before.
Manuel Guinard
4 - 12win/loss
721
134
LWLLLLLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-12 | 3-3 | 0-4 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-25 | 7-4 | 17-10 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-31 | 0-2 | 26-22 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-35 | 1-4 | 21-20 | 12-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-28 | 1-2 | 29-19 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 498, Guinard reached the qualifications after beating Alan Magadan 6-4 3-6 6-3.
In the qualifications, Guinard defeated Magadan (6-4 3-6 6-3). During the match Guinard scored 87 points vs Magadan’s 79. Guinard was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Guinard recorded 12 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Manuel Guinard was pretty efficient on serve to win 82% (31/38) of his 1st serve and 58% (19/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Guinard broke Magadan 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).
Manuel has a compiled 4-11 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Harper | Guinard |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 28 |
| Pts | 61-42 | 87-79 |
| Total Points | 103 | 166 |
| Winners | 23 | 31 |
| %Winners | 38% | 36% |
Both Harper and Guinard played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Manuel Guinard dropped 1 set while Cleeve Harper hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Harper has played 1 set(s) less than Guinard (2 vs 3). Therefore, Harper played 11 games less than Guinard. Cleeve scored 23 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Manuel recorded 31 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Harper | Guinard |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 12 |
| 1st in | 34/59 | 38/71 |
| %1st in | 58% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 23/34 | 31/38 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 20/25 | 19/33 |
| %2nd pts | 80% | 58% |
Harper scored 7 aces . Guinard managed to score 12 aces . Harper won 68% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 80% of the points. On the other side, Guinard won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Harper | Guinard |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 4/16 |
| % Converted | 50% | 25% |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Saved | 5 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Harper broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Canadian had a solid display on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 5 break points. The French player broke his opponent 4 times with a 25% conversion rate. Manuel conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Harper | |||
| Q1 Nakagawa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 61-42 | 61-42 | |
| Total points | 103 | 103 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 34/59 | 34/59 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 23/34 | 23/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/25 | 20/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 80% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Guinard | |||
| Q1 Magadan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 87-79 | 87-79 | |
| Total points | 166 | 166 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/71 | 38/71 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 31/38 | 31/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/33 | 19/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/16 | 4/16 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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