Alexis Galarneau and Luis Carlos Alvarez will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Cancun Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 3:00 pm on ESTADIO KATAN. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexis Galarneau who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexis Galarneau is the pick to win this match.
Alexis Galarneau -> 1.36
Luis Carlos Alvarez -> 2.94
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Prediction and head to head Alexis Galarneau vs. Luis Carlos Alvarez
There is no head to head record between Alexis Galarneau and Luis Carlos Alvarez since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Alexis Galarneau
31 - 23win/loss
207
153
LLLWWWLLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-32 | 24-18 | 1-3 | 11-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-26 | 15-12 | 8-6 | 12-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-26 | 20-18 | 3-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-28 | 12-7 | 9-9 | 18-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-20 | 13-9 | 5-6 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 174, Galarneau got to the qualifications after defeating Luca Lemaitre 6-1 6-0.
In the qualifications, Galarneau had a good straight sets win against Lemaitre (6-1 6-0). During the match, Galarneau scored 57 points vs Lemaitre’s 24. Alexis was exceptionally aggressive to blast 15 winners.
Talking about the service games, Galarneau fired 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexis Galarneau was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (15/21) of his 1st serve and 80% (16/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alexis broke Lemaitre 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Galarneau has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (198-158). 22-15 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Galarneau has a composed 117-88 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Canadian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 2 Challenger,the Oeiras 3 Challenger,the Pune Challenger and the Cuernavaca Challenger.
The Canadian has a composed 30-23 win-loss record in 2025, 22-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cancun Challenger
Alexis has never competed in this tournament before.
Luis Carlos Alvarez
12 - 8win/loss
619
533
LLWWWWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-10 | 9-6 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 14-10 | 13-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 6-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 7-8 | 6-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 617, Luis got to the qualifications after defeating Constantin Frantzen 6-2 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Mexican had a good straight sets win against Frantzen (6-2 6-2). During the match Carlos scored 57 points vs Frantzen’s 28. The Mexican was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Carlos blasted 4 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Luis Carlos Alvarez was pretty efficient on serve to win 91% (21/23) of his 1st serve and 79% (11/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Carlos broke Frantzen 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
The Mexican’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Joinville.
Luis has an aggregate 12-7 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Galarneau | Carlos |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 13 | 16 |
| Pts | 57-24 | 57-28 |
| Total Points | 81 | 85 |
| Winners | 15 | 21 |
| %Winners | 26% | 37% |
Both Galarneau and Carlos played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Galarneau and Carlos have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Galarneau played 3 games less than Carlos. Galarneau scored 15 winners (26% of the total points). On the other side, Luis scored 21 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Galarneau | Carlos |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 21/41 | 23/37 |
| %1st in | 51% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 15/21 | 21/23 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 91% |
| 2nd pts | 16/20 | 11/14 |
| %2nd pts | 80% | 79% |
Galarneau recorded 5 aces . Carlos made 4 aces . Galarneau won 71% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 80% of the points. On the other side, Carlos won 91% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 79% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Galarneau | Carlos |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/10 | 4/5 |
| % Converted | 50% | 80% |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Galarneau broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Canadian was rock solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Mexican broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Luis was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Galarneau | |||
| Q1 Lemaitre |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |
| pts | 57-24 | 57-24 | |
| Total points | 81 | 81 | |
| Winners | 15 | 15 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 26% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 21/41 | 21/41 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 15/21 | 15/21 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/20 | 16/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 80% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Carlos | |||
| Q1 Frantzen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 57-28 | 57-28 | |
| Total points | 85 | 85 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 23/37 | 23/37 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 21/23 | 21/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 91% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/14 | 11/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 79% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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