Jelena Ostapenko and Lucia Bronzetti will clash against each other in the 3^rd round of the Cincinnati Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 6:30 pm on COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.49
Lucia Bronzetti -> 2.62

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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Lucia Bronzetti

This will be the 2^nd time that Jelena Ostapenko and Lucia Bronzetti square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Ostapenko (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Ostapenko won 6-1 6-4 in the 1^st round in at the French Open back in 2022.

Jelena Ostapenko

Ranked no. 30, the Latvian got to the 3^rd round after defeating Maria Camila Osorio Serrano w/o.

In the 2^nd round, The Latvian defeated Camila Osorio Serrano (w/o). During the match, Ostapenko and Camila Osorio Serrano scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 30 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Latvian was not very aggressive to strike just winners.

Talking about the service games, Ostapenko couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the encounter and she was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Jelena Ostapenko conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.

Ostapenko has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (284-203). 7-9 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ostapenko has an aggregate 129-112 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Stuttgart where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-4 6-1.

Jelena has an overall 17-15 win-loss record in 2025, 7-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Lucia Bronzetti

Ranked no. 61, Bronzetti reached the 3^rd round after defeating Lin Zhu 6-7(6) 6-2 7-6(6) and Daria Kasatkina 6-3 1-6 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Bronzetti defeated Kasatkina (6-3 1-6 6-4).During the match Bronzetti scored less points (1) than Kasatkina. In fact, the world no. 30 won 80 points vs Kasatkina’s. That means that Bronzetti was more focused during the important points. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Bronzetti struck 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Lucia Bronzetti lost the serve 5 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Bronzetti put 57% of her first serves in, winning 68% (32/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (14/36) on the 2nd serve. Lucia broke Kasatkina 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bronzetti has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.

Bronzetti’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Napoca.

Lucia has a compiled 17-20 win-loss record in 2025, 8-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2024. See her history.

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Elise MertensMertens (4-6 6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (7-6³ 4-6 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Yue YuanYuan (6-7² 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Madison KeysKeys – Aoi ItoIto (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Maya JointJoint (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sumit NagalNagal – Uladzimir IgnatikIgnatik (6-1 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mohamed SafwatSafwat – Facundo ArguelloArguello (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Federico GaioGaio – Pablo AndujarAndujar (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Elias YmerYmer – Maxime JanvierJanvier (2-6 6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Pedro SousaSousa (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alexey VatutinVatutin (5-7 6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Manuel GuinardGuinard – Rudolf MollekerMolleker (6-4 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Hugo GastonGaston (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Elise MertensMertens (5-1) – H2H and prediction
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Marta KostyukKostyuk (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Clara TausonTauson – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Magda LinetteLinette – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Cori GauffGauff (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-0) – H2H and prediction