Martin Damm and Karl Poling will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Sumter Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 11:00 am on COURT 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Martin Damm who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Martin Damm is the pick to win this match.
Martin Damm -> 1.26
Karl Poling -> 3.55

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Prediction and head to head Martin Damm vs. Karl Poling

There is no head to head record between Martin Damm and Karl Poling since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Martin Damm

Ranked no. 435, Martin got to the qualifications after beating Jesse Flores 6-0 6-1.

In the qualifications, Martin had a good straight sets win against Flores (6-0 6-1). During the match, Damm scored 52 points vs Flores’s 21. Martin was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Damm blasted 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Martin Damm was very efficient on serve to win 88% (22/25) of his 1st serve and 64% (7/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Martin broke Flores 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Damm has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 58% of his matches (168-121). 30-9 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Damm has an overall94-52 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

The American’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Sharm ElSheikh,M25 Tbilisi,M15 Vaasa and M25 Elvas.

Martin has a composed 32-12 win-loss record in 2025, 30-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Sumter Challenger

Damm has never competed in this tournament before.

Karl Poling

Ranked no. 630, Poling reached the qualifications after beating Reese Stalder 3-6 6-3 6-4.

In the qualifications against Stalder, Poling recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Poling scored 94 points vs Stalder’s 84. Poling was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.

About the serving games, Poling recorded 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Karl Poling was extremely efficient on serve to win 71% (42/59) of his 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The American broke Stalder 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Karl’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Bastad.

The American has an aggregate 21-21 win-loss record in 2025, 7-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Damm	Poling
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	13	28
Pts	52-21	94-84
Total Points	73	178
Winners	22	42
%Winners	42%	45%

Both Damm and Poling played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Karl Poling surrendered 1 set while Martin Damm hasn’t lost a set so far. Damm has played 1 set(s) less than Poling (2 vs 3). Therefore, Damm played 15 games less than Poling. The American scored 22 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 42 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Damm	Poling
Aces	7	2
Avg per match	7	2
1st in	25/36	59/86
%1st in	69%	69%
1st pts	22/25	42/59
%1st pts	88%	71%
2nd pts	7/11	16/27
%2nd pts	64%	59%

Damm blasted 7 aces . Poling scored 2 aces . Damm won 88% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Poling won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Damm	Poling
Won	5	3
Converted	5/7	3/12
% Converted	71%	25%
Conceded	1	10
Saved	1	8
% Saved	100%	80%
Times Broken	0	2

Martin broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Damm extremely effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 1 break points. Karl broke his opponent 3 times with a 25% conversion rate. Poling conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Damm
	Q1 Flores	Total
Score	6-0 6-1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	13	13
pts	52-21	52-21
Total points	73	73
Winners	22	22
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	25/36	25/36
% 1st in	69%	69%
1st pts	22/25	22/25
% 1st pts	88%	88%
2nd pts	7/11	7/11
% 2nd pts	64%	64%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/7	5/7
Converted %	71%	71%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	1/1	1
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Poling
	Q1 Stalder	Total
Score	3-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	28	28
pts	94-84	94-84
Total points	178	178
Winners	42	42
%Winners	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	59/86	59/86
% 1st in	69%	69%
1st pts	42/59	42/59
% 1st pts	71%	71%
2nd pts	16/27	16/27
% 2nd pts	59%	59%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/12	3/12
Converted %	25%	25%
Conceded	10	10
Saved	8/10	8
Saved %	80%	80%
Times Broken	2	2

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