Shintaro Mochizuki and Alex Rybakov will face off in the 1st round of the Sumter Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 3:30 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shintaro Mochizuki who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Shintaro Mochizuki is the pick to win this match.
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.36
Alex Rybakov -> 2.94

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Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Alex Rybakov

There is no head to head record between Shintaro Mochizuki and Alex Rybakov since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Shintaro Mochizuki

Shintaro Mochizuki

30 - 20win/loss

Hard
17-11
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-6
Grass
11-3
Rank
94
High
92
LLLWLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 43-31 27-16 2-6 3-6 11-3 0-0
2024 28-33 19-22 7-5 0-1 2-5 0-0
2023 41-33 22-16 13-8 2-5 4-4 0-0
2022 37-34 18-17 13-12 6-5 0-0 0-0
2021 35-30 11-10 18-11 5-7 1-1 0-1

Ranked no. 120 (career-high), Shintaro will start his run in the Sumter Challenger after he played his last match in Cincinnati where he lost 7-6(5) 6-3 to Lam Coleman Wong in the qualifications on the 6th of August.

Mochizuki has a compiled 30-20 win-loss record in 2025, 17-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the year was winning the title the Noumea Challenger where he defeated Moerani Bouzige in the final 6-1 6-3.

Talking about his overall career, The Japanese has an overall 205-173 record. He has a positive 113-96 record on hard.

Previously in the Sumter Challenger

Shintaro has never competed in this tournament before.

Sumter Challenger
Mochizuki's Record

Alex Rybakov

Alex Rybakov

41 - 17win/loss

Hard
19-8
I Hard
14-3
Clay
8-6
Rank
280
High
261
LLLLLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 47-26 24-13 8-6 15-7 0-0 0-0
2024 29-20 11-8 12-8 6-4 0-0 0-0
2023 22-25 5-8 7-9 10-8 0-0 0-0
2022 30-23 5-7 20-12 5-4 0-0 0-0
2021 39-26 4-4 35-22 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 311, the American will start his run in the Sumter Challenger after he played his last match in the Chicago Challenger where he lost 6-2 6-3

to Banerjee in the 1st round on the 5th of August.

The American has an aggregate 41-17 win-loss record in 2025, 19-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Rybakov’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Montreal,M25 Bakersfield,M25 Pensacola,M25 Tulsa and M25 Dallas.

In terms of his career, The American has an overall 262-176 record. He has a positive 95-72 record on hard.

Sumter Challenger
Rybakov's Record

Upcoming matches in the draw