Jasmine Paolini and Ashlyn Krueger will fight against each other in the 3^rd round of the Cincinnati Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on GRANDSTAND. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.5
Ashlyn Krueger -> 2.59

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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Ashlyn Krueger

There is no head to head record between Jasmine Paolini and Ashlyn Krueger since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Jasmine Paolini

Ranked no. 9, the Italian reached the 3^rd round after defeating Maria Sakkari 7-6(2) 7-6(5).

In the 2^nd round, Paolini had a good straight sets win against Sakkari (7-6² 7-6⁵). During the match, Paolini scored 91 points vs Sakkari’s 87. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Paolini managed to score 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 65% of her first serves in, winning 68% (40/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (18/32) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Sakkari twice after converting 20% of her break points (2/10).

Paolini has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (339-244). 13-7 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Paolini has a composed 117-93 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Rome where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-4 6-2.

The Italian has a composed 29-13 win-loss record in 2025, 13-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Ashlyn Krueger

Ranked no. 35, Ashlyn reached the 3^rd round after defeating Anastasija Sevastova 6-4 0-6 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Krueger defeated Sevastova (6-4 0-6 6-3). During the match Krueger scored 79 points vs Sevastova’s 78. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Krueger managed to score 4 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Ashlyn Krueger lost the serve 6 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Krueger put 60% of her first serves in, winning 59% (32/54) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (15/36) on the 2nd serve. Ashlyn broke Sevastova 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).

Krueger’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Abu Dhabi.

Krueger has a compiled 23-20 win-loss record in 2025, 16-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Paolini	Krueger
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	26	25
Pts	91-87	79-78
Total Points	178	157
Winners	40	32
%Winners	44%	41%

Both Paolini and Krueger played 1 match. At the moment, Ashlyn Krueger dropped 1 set while Jasmine Paolini hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Paolini has played 1 set(s) less than Krueger (2 vs 3). However, it’s interesting to notice that Paolini played 1 game more than Krueger. The Italian scored 40 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Krueger recorded 32 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Paolini	Krueger
Aces	5	4
Avg per match	5	4
1st in	59/91	54/90
%1st in	65%	60%
1st pts	40/59	32/54
%1st pts	68%	59%
2nd pts	18/32	15/36
%2nd pts	56%	42%

Paolini managed to score 5 aces . Krueger made 4 aces . Paolini won 68% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Krueger won 59% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Paolini	Krueger
Won	2	5
Converted	2/10	5/11
% Converted	20%	45%
Conceded	8	15
Saved	6	9
% Saved	75%	60%
Times Broken	2	6

Paolini broke her opponent twice with a 20% conversion rate. Jasmine surrendered her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Ashlyn conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.

Paolini
	R2 Sakkari	Total
Score	7-62 7-65
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	26	26
pts	91-87	91-87
Total points	178	178
Winners	40	40
%Winners	44%	44%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	59/91	59/91
% 1st in	65%	65%
1st pts	40/59	40/59
% 1st pts	68%	68%
2nd pts	18/32	18/32
% 2nd pts	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/10	2/10
Converted %	20%	20%
Conceded	8	8
Saved	6/8	6
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	2	2

Krueger
	R2 Sevastova	Total
Score	6-4 0-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	25	25
pts	79-78	79-78
Total points	157	157
Winners	32	32
%Winners	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	11	11
1st in	54/90	54/90
% 1st in	60%	60%
1st pts	32/54	32/54
% 1st pts	59%	59%
2nd pts	15/36	15/36
% 2nd pts	42%	42%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/11	5/11
Converted %	45%	45%
Conceded	15	15
Saved	9/15	9
Saved %	60%	60%
Times Broken	6	6

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Maya JointJoint (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Yue YuanYuan (6-7(2) 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (7-6³ 4-6 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sumit NagalNagal – Uladzimir IgnatikIgnatik (6-1 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mohamed SafwatSafwat – Facundo ArguelloArguello (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Federico GaioGaio – Pablo AndujarAndujar (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Elias YmerYmer – Maxime JanvierJanvier (2-6 6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Pedro SousaSousa (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alexey VatutinVatutin (5-7 6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Manuel GuinardGuinard – Rudolf MollekerMolleker (6-4 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Hugo GastonGaston (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Elise MertensMertens (5-1) – H2H and prediction
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Marta KostyukKostyuk (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Clara TausonTauson – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Magda LinetteLinette – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Cori GauffGauff (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (1-0) – H2H and prediction