Carlos Alcaraz and Hamad Medjedovic will face off in the 3^rd round of the Cincinnati Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on P&G CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.072
Hamad Medjedovic -> 8.3

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Hamad Medjedovic

There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Hamad Medjedovic since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Carlos Alcaraz

Ranked no. 2, Alcaraz reached the 3^rd round after defeating Damir Dzumhur 6-1 2-6 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, The Spaniard defeated Dzumhur (6-1 2-6 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 83 points vs Dzumhur’s 73. Carlos was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 60% of his first serves in, winning 68% (30/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the 2nd serve. Carlos broke Dzumhur 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 80% of his matches (336-82). 11-4 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has a compiled108-29 record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0 and in Rome where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2) and in London where he beat Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2.

The Spaniard has an aggregate 49-6 win-loss record in 2025, 11-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Hamad Medjedovic

Ranked no. 72, Medjedovic reached the 3^rd round after beating Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-2 6-3 and Tallon Griekspoor 6-4 7-6(3).

In the 2^nd round, The Serbian had a good straight sets win against Griekspoor (6-4 7-6³). During the match Medjedovic scored 78 points vs Griekspoor’s 66. The Serbian was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.

About the serving games, Medjedovic blasted 14 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Hamad Medjedovic was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 84% (36/43) of his 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Medjedovic broke Griekspoor twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Medjedovic hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Oeiras 1 Challenger where he overcame Liam Draxl in the final 6-1 6-3.

Medjedovic has an overall 23-12 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

The Serbian has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alcaraz	Medjedovic
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	3	4
Tot Games	24	40
Pts	83-73	135-98
Total Points	156	233
Winners	30	56
%Winners	36%	41%

Alcaraz played 1 match while Medjedovic competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Carlos Alcaraz lost 1 set while Hamad Medjedovic hasn’t conceded a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Medjedovic (3 vs 4). Therefore, Alcaraz played 16 games less than Medjedovic. Alcaraz scored 30 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Medjedovic bagged 56 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alcaraz	Medjedovic
Aces	7	29
Avg per match	7	14.5
1st in	44/73	65/107
%1st in	60%	61%
1st pts	30/44	56/65
%1st pts	68%	86%
2nd pts	15/29	29/42
%2nd pts	52%	69%

Alcaraz fired 7 aces . Medjedovic made 29 aces (14.5 per match). Alcaraz won 68% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Medjedovic won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alcaraz	Medjedovic
Won	5	6
Converted	5/10	6/12
% Converted	50%	50%
Conceded	3	6
Saved	0	5
% Saved	0%	83%
Times Broken	3	1

The Spaniard broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. The Serbian broke his opponents 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Hamad conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
	R2 Dzumhur	Total
Score	6-1 2-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	24	24
pts	83-73	83-73
Total points	156	156
Winners	30	30
%Winners	36%	36%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	6	6
1st in	44/73	44/73
% 1st in	60%	60%
1st pts	30/44	30/44
% 1st pts	68%	68%
2nd pts	15/29	15/29
% 2nd pts	52%	52%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/10	5/10
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	0/3	0
Saved %	0%	0%
Times Broken	3	3

Medjedovic
	R1 Kovacevic	R2 Griekspoor	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	6-4 7-63
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	17	23	40
pts	57-32	78-66	135-98
Total points	89	144	233
Winners	20	36	56
%Winners	35%	46%	41%
SERVE
Aces	15	14	29
Double Faults	0	3	3
1st in	22/35	43/72	65/107
% 1st in	63%	60%	61%
1st pts	20/22	36/43	56/65
% 1st pts	91%	84%	86%
2nd pts	12/13	17/29	29/42
% 2nd pts	92%	59%	69%
Breaks
Won	4	2	6
Converted	4/5	2/7	6/12
Converted %	80%	29%	50%
Conceded	0	6	6
Saved	0/0	5/6	5
Saved %	–	83%	83%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

• Holger RuneRune – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-6⁴ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (7-6⁴ 4-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tommy PaulPaul (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Francisco ComesanaComesana (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-2) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Benjamin BonziBonzi (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Andrey RublevRublev (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-4) – H2H and prediction
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Adam WaltonWalton (1-0) – H2H and prediction