Andrey Rublev and Alexei Popyrin will play each other in the 3rd round of the Cincinnati Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 11:00 am on COURT 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.63
Alexei Popyrin -> 2.28
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Alexei Popyrin
This will be the 4th time that Andrey Rublev and Alexei Popyrin square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Popyrin (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Popyrin won 6-2 6-4 in the final in Montreal back in 2024.
Highlights Alexei Popyrin vs Andrey Rublev – Montreal 12-August-2024
Andrey Rublev
27 - 18win/loss
16
5
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-25 | 16-13 | 8-6 | 6-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, the Russian reached the 3rd round after beating Learner Tien 7-6(4) 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Rublev had a good straight sets win against Tien (7-64 6-3). During the match, Rublev scored 79 points vs Tien’s 62. Rublev was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev bagged 12 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Andrey Rublev was quite effective on serve to win 85% (34/40) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Tien twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Rublev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (432-240). 11-8 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rublev has an overall 184-96 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Doha where he defeated Jack Draper in the final 7-5 5-7 6-1.
Rublev has an overall 27-18 win-loss record in 2025, 11-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Alexei Popyrin
16 - 18win/loss
54
19
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-24 | 7-10 | 9-6 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-22 | 17-8 | 4-8 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-29 | 18-14 | 15-6 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-31 | 7-16 | 7-4 | 3-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-26 | 13-11 | 8-6 | 10-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19 (career-high), the Australian got to the 3rd round after beating Martin Landaluce 7-6(3) 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Landaluce (7-63 6-3). During the match Popyrin scored 89 points vs Landaluce’s 77. Popyrin was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Popyrin blasted 15 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Alexei Popyrin was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (37/51) of his 1st serve and 52% (25/48) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Popyrin broke Landaluce twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
The Australian has a compiled 16-18 win-loss record in 2025, 6-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 |
| Pts | 79-62 | 89-77 |
| Total Points | 141 | 166 |
| Winners | 34 | 37 |
| %Winners | 43% | 42% |
Both Rublev and Popyrin played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rublev and Popyrin have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (22). The Russian scored 34 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian recorded 37 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 15 |
| 1st in | 40/67 | 51/99 |
| %1st in | 60% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 34/40 | 37/51 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 25/48 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 52% |
Rublev made 12 aces . Popyrin struck 15 aces . Rublev won 85% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Popyrin won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 2 |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/7 |
| % Converted | 33% | 29% |
| Conceded | 4 | 14 |
| Saved | 3 | 13 |
| % Saved | 75% | 93% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Rublev broke his opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve once and he saved 93% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | |||
| R2 Tien | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 79-62 | 79-62 | |
| Total points | 141 | 141 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 40/67 | 40/67 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 34/40 | 34/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 15/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/6 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Popyrin | |||
| R2 Landaluce | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 89-77 | 89-77 | |
| Total points | 166 | 166 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 15 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 51/99 | 51/99 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 37/51 | 37/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/48 | 25/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 14 | |
| Saved | 13/14 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 93% | 93% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (7-64 4-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Holger RuneRune – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tommy PaulPaul (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Francisco ComesanaComesana (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-2) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Benjamin BonziBonzi (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Andrey RublevRublev (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Adam WaltonWalton (1-0) – H2H and prediction