Alexander Zverev and Brandon Nakashima will face off in the 3rd round of the Cincinnati Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 12:00 pm on COURT 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 2 sets.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.28
Brandon Nakashima -> 3.68
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Brandon Nakashima
This will be the 5th time that Alexander Zverev and Brandon Nakashima play each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Zverev won 7-5 6-4 in the quarter in Stuttgart back in June 2025.
Highlights Alexander Zverev vs Brandon Nakashima – Stuttgart 13-June-2025
Alexander Zverev
42 - 15win/loss
3
2
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-25 | 24-9 | 18-7 | 8-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 69-21 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 59-15 | 28-6 | 14-4 | 13-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Alexander reached the 3rd round after beating Nishesh Basavareddy 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Basavareddy (6-3 6-3). During the match, Zverev scored 57 points vs Basavareddy’s 44. The German was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Zverev recorded 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alexander Zverev conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 82% of his first serves in, win 78% (32/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (4/9) on the 2nd serve. Alexander was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Basavareddy 3 times.
Zverev has a superlative match record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (485-189). 16-5 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Zverev has an aggregate 195-80 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Munich where he beat Ben Shelton in the final 6-2 6-4.
Zverev has an aggregate 40-15 win-loss record in 2025, 16-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Brandon Nakashima
26 - 22win/loss
33
29
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-30 | 19-14 | 6-8 | 2-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31, Brandon reached the 3rd round after beating Alexander Blockx 4-6 6-3 7-6(5).
In the 2nd round against Blockx, Brandon recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-65). During the match Nakashima scored 107 points vs Blockx’s 100. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.
About the serving games, Nakashima fired 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Brandon Nakashima lost the serve 4 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Nakashima put 68% of his first serves in, winning 68% (50/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (20/34) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Blockx 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).
The American’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Acapulco and Houston.
Brandon has a compiled 26-21 win-loss record in 2025, 14-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 32 |
| Pts | 57-44 | 107-100 |
| Total Points | 101 | 207 |
| Winners | 32 | 50 |
| %Winners | 56% | 47% |
Both Zverev and Nakashima played 1 match. At the moment, Brandon Nakashima surrendered 1 set while Alexander Zverev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Zverev has played 1 set(s) less than Nakashima (2 vs 3). Therefore, Zverev played 14 games less than Nakashima. Zverev scored 32 winners (56% of the total points). On the other side, Nakashima recorded 50 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 6 |
| 1st in | 41/50 | 73/107 |
| %1st in | 82% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 32/41 | 50/73 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 4/9 | 20/34 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 59% |
Zverev blasted 12 aces . Nakashima scored 6 aces . Zverev won 78% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/3 | 4/16 |
| % Converted | 100% | 25% |
| Conceded | 0 | 15 |
| Saved | 0 | 11 |
| % Saved | 0% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
Zverev broke his opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. Zverev pretty effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Brandon broke his opponent 4 times with a 25% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Zverev | |||
| R2 Basavareddy | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 57-44 | 57-44 | |
| Total points | 101 | 101 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 56% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 41/50 | 41/50 | |
| % 1st in | 82% | 82% | |
| 1st pts | 32/41 | 32/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 3/3 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Nakashima | |||
| R2 Blockx | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 107-100 | 107-100 | |
| Total points | 207 | 207 | |
| Winners | 50 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 73/107 | 73/107 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 50/73 | 50/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/34 | 20/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/16 | 4/16 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 15 | |
| Saved | 11/15 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (6-74 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Adam WaltonWalton (7-65 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Luca NardiNardi – Jakub MensikMensik (6-2 2-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-75 7-65 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tommy PaulPaul (5-7 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-74 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (7-64 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-2 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (7-64 4-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Terence AtmaneAtmane – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Holger RuneRune – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Terence AtmaneAtmane (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Andrey RublevRublev (1-0) – H2H and prediction