Alexander Zverev and Brandon Nakashima will face off in the 3rd round of the Cincinnati Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 12:00 pm on COURT 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.28
Brandon Nakashima -> 3.68

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Brandon Nakashima

This will be the 5th time that Alexander Zverev and Brandon Nakashima play each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Zverev won 7-5 6-4 in the quarter in Stuttgart back in June 2025.

Highlights Alexander Zverev vs Brandon Nakashima – Stuttgart 13-June-2025

Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev

42 - 15win/loss

Hard
18-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
18-7
Grass
6-3
Rank
3
High
2
WLLWLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-25 24-9 18-7 8-6 6-3 0-0
2024 69-21 29-10 23-6 11-3 6-2 0-0
2023 55-27 22-13 20-7 8-5 5-2 0-0
2022 29-10 9-4 17-5 3-1 0-0 0-0
2021 59-15 28-6 14-4 13-3 4-2 0-0

Ranked no. 3, Alexander reached the 3rd round after beating Nishesh Basavareddy 6-3 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Basavareddy (6-3 6-3). During the match, Zverev scored 57 points vs Basavareddy’s 44. The German was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Zverev recorded 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alexander Zverev conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 82% of his first serves in, win 78% (32/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (4/9) on the 2nd serve. Alexander was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Basavareddy 3 times.

Zverev has a superlative match record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (485-189). 16-5 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Zverev has an aggregate 195-80 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Munich where he beat Ben Shelton in the final 6-2 6-4.

Zverev has an aggregate 40-15 win-loss record in 2025, 16-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Cincinnati
Zverev's Record

Brandon Nakashima

Brandon Nakashima

26 - 22win/loss

Hard
14-10
I Hard
0-1
Clay
6-8
Grass
6-3
Rank
33
High
29
LLLWLWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-30 19-14 6-8 2-5 6-3 0-0
2024 61-32 24-12 13-7 15-8 9-5 0-0
2023 21-26 9-15 3-4 8-3 1-4 0-0
2022 41-26 17-13 5-5 9-4 10-4 0-0
2021 45-25 17-10 4-7 20-5 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 31, Brandon reached the 3rd round after beating Alexander Blockx 4-6 6-3 7-6(5).

In the 2nd round against Blockx, Brandon recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-65). During the match Nakashima scored 107 points vs Blockx’s 100. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.

About the serving games, Nakashima fired 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Brandon Nakashima lost the serve 4 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Nakashima put 68% of his first serves in, winning 68% (50/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (20/34) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Blockx 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).

The American’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Acapulco and Houston.

Brandon has a compiled 26-21 win-loss record in 2025, 14-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2024. See his history.

Cincinnati
Nakashima's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Zverev
B.Nakashima
1h:06
1h:06
Time on court​
!
2h:23
2h:23
1h:06
1h:06
Last match​
!
2h:23
2h:23
1
1
Match played
1
1
18
18
Games Played​
32
32
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
57
57
Total points​
107
107
57
57
Avg point​
107
107
32
32
Winners
50
50
32
32
Avg Winners​
50
50
56%
56%
Ratio winners
47%
47%
-- Serve --
12
12
Aces
6
6
!
12
12
Avg Aces
6
6
1
1
Double Faults
3
3
1
1
Avg Double Faults
3
3
32/41
32/41
1st won total​
50/73
50/73
!
78%
78%
1st won %
68%
68%
4/9
4/9
2nd won total​
20/34
20/34
44%
44%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
3/3
3/3
BP won
4/16
4/16
3/3
3/3
Avg BP won
4/16
4/16
!
100%
100%
Won
!
25%
25%
0
0
Conceded
15
15
0
0
Avg Conceded
15
15
0
0
Broken
4
4
!
0
0
Avg Broken
4
4
0
0
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Zverev Nakashima
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 18 32
Pts 57-44 107-100
Total Points 101 207
Winners 32 50
%Winners 56% 47%

Both Zverev and Nakashima played 1 match. At the moment, Brandon Nakashima surrendered 1 set while Alexander Zverev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Zverev has played 1 set(s) less than Nakashima (2 vs 3). Therefore, Zverev played 14 games less than Nakashima. Zverev scored 32 winners (56% of the total points). On the other side, Nakashima recorded 50 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve Zverev Nakashima
Aces 12 6
Avg per match 12 6
1st in 41/50 73/107
%1st in 82% 68%
1st pts 32/41 50/73
%1st pts 78% 68%
2nd pts 4/9 20/34
%2nd pts 44% 59%

Zverev blasted 12 aces . Nakashima scored 6 aces . Zverev won 78% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Zverev Nakashima
Won 3 4
Converted 3/3 4/16
% Converted 100% 25%
Conceded 0 15
Saved 0 11
% Saved 0% 73%
Times Broken 0 4

Zverev broke his opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. Zverev pretty effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Brandon broke his opponent 4 times with a 25% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Zverev
R2
Basavareddy
Total
Score 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 57-44 57-44
Total points 101 101
Winners 32 32
%Winners 56% 56%
SERVE
Aces 12 12
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 41/50 41/50
% 1st in 82% 82%
1st pts 32/41 32/41
% 1st pts 78% 78%
2nd pts 4/9 4/9
% 2nd pts 44% 44%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/3 3/3
Converted % 100% 100%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Nakashima
R2
Blockx
Total
Score 4-6 6-3 7-65
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 32 32
pts 107-100 107-100
Total points 207 207
Winners 50 50
%Winners 47% 47%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 73/107 73/107
% 1st in 68% 68%
1st pts 50/73 50/73
% 1st pts 68% 68%
2nd pts 20/34 20/34
% 2nd pts 59% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/16 4/16
Converted % 25% 25%
Conceded 15 15
Saved 11/15 11
Saved % 73% 73%
Times Broken 4 4

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

Upcoming matches in the draw