Ekaterina Alexandrova and Maya Joint will clash against each other in the 3^rd round of the Cincinnati Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on COURT 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ekaterina Alexandrova who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ekaterina Alexandrova is the pick to win this match.
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 1.89
Maya Joint -> 1.909

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Prediction and head to head Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Maya Joint

There is no head to head record between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Maya Joint since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ranked no. 16, the Russian got to the 3^rd round after defeating Lulu Sun 6-4 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Ekaterina had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-4 6-2). During the match, Alexandrova scored 71 points vs Sun’s 47. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alexandrova recorded 7 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 57% of her first serves in, winning 83% (24/29) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (8/22) on the 2nd serve. Ekaterina broke Sun 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).

Alexandrova has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (324-212). 6-8 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Alexandrova has an overall 113-94 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Linz where she defeated Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.

Ekaterina has an aggregate 31-16 win-loss record in 2025, 6-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Maya Joint

Ranked no. 44, Maya got to the 3^rd round after defeating Greetje Minnen 6-2 6-3

and Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-4 4-6 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Joint defeated Haddad Maia (6-4 4-6 6-4). During the match Joint scored 113 points vs Haddad Maia’s 100. The Australian was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about serving, Joint blasted 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Maya Joint lost the serve 6 times and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Joint put 68% of her first serves in, winning 61% (41/67) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (14/31) on the 2nd serve. Maya broke Haddad Maia 7 times after converting 37% of her break points (7/19).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Maya has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Rabat where she beat Jaqueline Cristian in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Eastbourne where she overcame Alexandra Eala in the final 6-4 1-6 7-6(10).

The Australian has an overall 41-19 win-loss record in 2025, 19-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Maya has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alexandrova	Joint
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	5
Tot Games	18	47
Pts	71-47	177-145
Total Points	118	322
Winners	24	67
%Winners	34%	38%

Alexandrova played 1 match while Joint competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Maya Joint surrendered 1 set while Ekaterina Alexandrova hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Alexandrova has played 3 set(s) less than Joint (2 vs 5). Therefore, Alexandrova played 29 games less than Joint. Alexandrova scored 24 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Joint blasted 67 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alexandrova	Joint
Aces	7	4
Avg per match	7	2
1st in	29/51	103/154
%1st in	57%	67%
1st pts	24/29	67/103
%1st pts	83%	65%
2nd pts	8/22	26/51
%2nd pts	36%	51%

Alexandrova made 7 aces . Joint struck 4 aces (2 per match). Alexandrova won 83% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 36% of the points. On the other side, Joint won 65% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alexandrova	Joint
Won	6	11
Converted	6/10	11/27
% Converted	60%	41%
Conceded	7	22
Saved	4	15
% Saved	57%	68%
Times Broken	3	7

Ekaterina broke her opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Russian lost her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. Maya broke her opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Australian conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.

Alexandrova
	R2 Sun	Total
Score	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	71-47	71-47
Total points	118	118
Winners	24	24
%Winners	34%	34%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	8	8
1st in	29/51	29/51
% 1st in	57%	57%
1st pts	24/29	24/29
% 1st pts	83%	83%
2nd pts	8/22	8/22
% 2nd pts	36%	36%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/10	6/10
Converted %	60%	60%
Conceded	7	7
Saved	4/7	4
Saved %	57%	57%
Times Broken	3	3

Joint
	R1 Minnen	R2 Haddad Maia	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	6-4 4-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	17	30	47
pts	64-45	113-100	177-145
Total points	109	213	322
Winners	26	41	67
%Winners	41%	36%	38%
SERVE
Aces	0	4	4
Double Faults	2	4	6
1st in	36/56	67/98	103/154
% 1st in	64%	68%	67%
1st pts	26/36	41/67	67/103
% 1st pts	72%	61%	65%
2nd pts	12/20	14/31	26/51
% 2nd pts	60%	45%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	7	11
Converted	4/8	7/19	11/27
Converted %	50%	37%	41%
Conceded	5	17	22
Saved	4/5	11/17	15
Saved %	80%	65%	145%
Times Broken	1	6	7

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

• Manuel GuinardGuinard – Rudolf MollekerMolleker (6-4 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Hugo GastonGaston (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sumit NagalNagal – Uladzimir IgnatikIgnatik (6-1 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mohamed SafwatSafwat – Facundo ArguelloArguello (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Federico GaioGaio – Pablo AndujarAndujar (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Elias YmerYmer – Maxime JanvierJanvier (2-6 6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Pedro SousaSousa (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alexey VatutinVatutin (5-7 6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Emma NavarroNavarro – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Caty McNallyMcNally – Mccartney KesslerKessler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sofia KeninKenin – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Caroline GarciaGarcia – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Clara TausonTauson – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Kimberly BirrellBirrell – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Taylor TownsendTownsend (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Elise MertensMertens (5-1) – H2H and prediction
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Marta KostyukKostyuk (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Yue YuanYuan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Cori GauffGauff (1-3) – H2H and prediction