Elena Rybakina and Elise Mertens will square off in the 3^rd round of the Cincinnati Open for the 7^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 8:30 pm on P&G CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.57
Elise Mertens -> 2.4

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Elise Mertens

This will be the 7^th time that Elena Rybakina and Elise Mertens fight against each other. The head to head is 5-1 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Rybakina won 6-4 6-2

in the 3^rd round in at the French Open back in 2024.

Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens – French Open 01-June-2024

Elena Rybakina

Ranked no. 10, Rybakina reached the 3^rd round after beating Renata Zarazua 4-6 6-0 7-5.

In the 2^nd round against Zarazua, Elena recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-0 7-5). During the match, Rybakina scored 114 points vs Zarazua’s 95. Elena was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rybakina made 14 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Elena Rybakina was quite efficient on serve to win 80% (40/50) of her 1st serve and 51% (27/53) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Kazakhstani broke Zarazua 4 times after converting 25% of her break points (4/16).

Rybakina has a remarkable match record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (363-156). 22-9 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has a compiled 171-79 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Strasbourg where she overcame Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1.

Elena has a compiled 38-15 win-loss record in 2025, 22-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Elise Mertens

Ranked no. 22, Elise got to the 3^rd round after beating Clervie Ngounoue 3-6 7-6(3) 7-5.

In the 2^nd round against Ngounoue, The Belgian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-6³ 7-5). During the match Mertens scored 105 points vs Ngounoue’s 100. The Belgian was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Mertens made 10 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 49% of her first serves in, winning 78% (38/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (26/52) on the 2nd serve. Elise broke Ngounoue 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Singapore where she overcame Ann Li in the final 6-1 6-4 and in Hertogenbosch where she overcame Elena Gabriela Ruse in the final 6-3 7-6(4).

The Belgian has an overall 30-14 win-loss record in 2025, 11-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2020. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rybakina	Mertens
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	28	34
Pts	114-95	105-100
Total Points	209	205
Winners	40	38
%Winners	35%	36%

Both Rybakina and Mertens played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina dropped 1 set, while Elise Mertens dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Rybakina and Mertens have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Rybakina played 6 games less than Mertens. Rybakina scored 40 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Elise scored 38 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rybakina	Mertens
Aces	14	10
Avg per match	14	10
1st in	50/103	49/101
%1st in	49%	49%
1st pts	40/50	38/49
%1st pts	80%	78%
2nd pts	27/53	26/52
%2nd pts	51%	50%

Rybakina blasted 14 aces . Mertens managed to score 10 aces . Rybakina won 80% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Mertens won 78% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rybakina	Mertens
Won	4	4
Converted	4/16	4/9
% Converted	25%	44%
Conceded	8	8
Saved	7	4
% Saved	88%	50%
Times Broken	1	4

Elena broke her opponent 4 times with a 25% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded her serve once and she saved 88% of the break points that she conceded. Elise broke her opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Elise conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
	R2 Zarazua	Total
Score	4-6 6-0 7-5
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	28	28
pts	114-95	114-95
Total points	209	209
Winners	40	40
%Winners	35%	35%
SERVE
Aces	14	14
Double Faults	7	7
1st in	50/103	50/103
% 1st in	49%	49%
1st pts	40/50	40/50
% 1st pts	80%	80%
2nd pts	27/53	27/53
% 2nd pts	51%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/16	4/16
Converted %	25%	25%
Conceded	8	8
Saved	7/8	7
Saved %	88%	88%
Times Broken	1	1

Mertens
	R2 Ngounoue	Total
Score	3-6 7-63 7-5
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	34	34
pts	105-100	105-100
Total points	205	205
Winners	38	38
%Winners	36%	36%
SERVE
Aces	10	10
Double Faults	5	5
1st in	49/101	49/101
% 1st in	49%	49%
1st pts	38/49	38/49
% 1st pts	78%	78%
2nd pts	26/52	26/52
% 2nd pts	50%	50%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/9	4/9
Converted %	44%	44%
Conceded	8	8
Saved	4/8	4
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	4	4

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

• Sumit NagalNagal – Uladzimir IgnatikIgnatik (6-1 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mohamed SafwatSafwat – Facundo ArguelloArguello (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Federico GaioGaio – Pablo AndujarAndujar (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Elias YmerYmer – Maxime JanvierJanvier (2-6 6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Pedro SousaSousa (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alexey VatutinVatutin (5-7 6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Manuel GuinardGuinard – Rudolf MollekerMolleker (6-4 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Hugo GastonGaston (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Emma NavarroNavarro – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Caty McNallyMcNally – Mccartney KesslerKessler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sofia KeninKenin – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Caroline GarciaGarcia – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Clara TausonTauson – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Kimberly BirrellBirrell – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Taylor TownsendTownsend (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Elise MertensMertens (5-1) – H2H and prediction
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Marta KostyukKostyuk (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Yue YuanYuan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Cori GauffGauff (1-3) – H2H and prediction