Frances Tiafoe and Ugo Humbert will fight against each other in the 3^rd round of the Cincinnati Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:30 pm on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Frances Tiafoe who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Frances Tiafoe is the pick to win this match.
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.61
Ugo Humbert -> 2.32

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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Ugo Humbert

This will be the 4^th time that Frances Tiafoe and Ugo Humbert face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Tiafoe (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Tiafoe won 7-5 7-6(9) in the 1^st round in Cincinnati back in 2021.

Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

23 - 17win/loss

Hard

10-7

I Hard

1-1

Clay

11-7

Grass

1-2

Rank
30

High
10

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See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2025	26-23	13-13	11-7	1-1	1-2	0-0
2024	33-27	21-13	5-6	4-5	3-3	0-0
2023	40-21	21-10	8-4	4-5	7-2	0-0
2022	35-25	19-11	8-6	5-5	3-3	0-0
2021	42-27	19-13	4-7	10-4	9-3	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 14, the American got to the 3^rd round after beating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-4 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Francis had a good straight sets win against Carballes Baena (6-4 6-3). During the match, Tiafoe scored 69 points vs Carballes Baena’s 59. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 18 winners.

Regarding the service games, Tiafoe struck 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Frances Tiafoe lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Tiafoe put 44% of his first serves in, winning 75% (18/24) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. Tiafoe broke Carballes Baena 6 times after converting 35% of his break points (6/17).

Tiafoe has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (325-241). 10-7 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tiafoe has a composed 170-115 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Francis’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Houston.

The American has an overall 23-17 win-loss record in 2025, 10-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Cincinnati

Tiafoe's Record

Ugo Humbert

Ugo Humbert

18 - 14win/loss

Hard

7-5

I Hard

5-0

Clay

2-5

Grass

4-4

Rank
37

High
13

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See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2025	25-20	8-9	2-5	11-2	4-4	0-0
2024	39-24	18-9	5-7	11-4	5-4	0-0
2023	49-26	17-11	13-5	16-6	3-4	0-0
2022	33-29	16-11	3-7	11-6	3-5	0-0
2021	19-20	6-7	1-6	4-5	8-2	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 25, Humbert got to the 3^rd round after defeating Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-3 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Lam Coleman Wong (6-3 6-4). During the match Humbert scored 55 points vs Lam Coleman Wong’s 47. The French player was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Humbert made 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Ugo Humbert conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Humbert put 65% of his first serves in, winning 86% (32/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Ugo broke Lam Coleman Wong twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

His best result of the season was winning the title in Marseille where he beat Hamad Medjedovic in the final 7-6(4) 6-4.

The French player has an overall 18-14 win-loss record in 2025, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2023. See his history.

Cincinnati

Humbert's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Both Tiafoe and Humbert played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Tiafoe and Humbert have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (19). Tiafoe scored 18 winners (26% of the total points). On the other side, The French player struck 32 winners (58%).

Serve Performance

Tiafoe fired 7 aces . Humbert bagged 10 aces . Tiafoe won 75% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

The American broke his opponent 6 times with a 35% conversion rate. Tiafoe lost his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. Ugo broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Humbert was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.

Head 2 Head

• 0Slam
• 4Main
• 6Chall
• 1Minor

• 0Slam
• 7Main
• 9Chall
• 4Minor

Frances
Tiafoe

3:1

Ugo
Humbert

Rank

30

High

10

2Hard1

1I.hard0

Rank

37

High

13

Win Loss

Tiafoe

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Humbert

LWWWLWWWLW

2025 2024 2023

26 - 21

24 - 20

13-11

Hard

8-9

1-1

I Hard

10-2

11-7

Clay

2-5

1-2

Grass

4-4

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tristan BoyerBoyer (4-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (7-6⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Learner TienTien (7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Zizou BergsBergs (6-3 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Corentin MoutetMoutet (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Sebastian BaezBaez (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-2 7-6³) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Emilio NavaNava (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Casper RuudRuud (6-7⁵ 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (7-6³ 6-2) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (7-5 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Terence AtmaneAtmane – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-4 3-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Joao FonsecaFonseca – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-7⁴ 5-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (5-7 6-4 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tristan BoyerBoyer (4-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (7-6(6) 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Learner TienTien (7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-4 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-4) – H2H and prediction
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tommy PaulPaul (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Valentin RoyerRoyer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Francisco ComesanaComesana (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-2) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Ugo HumbertHumbert (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Benjamin BonziBonzi (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Adam WaltonWalton – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – (1-0) – H2H and prediction

Tiafoe

More Stats

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Humbert