Jannik Sinner and Gabriel Diallo will clash against each other in the 3^rd round of the Cincinnati Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 7:00 pm on P&G CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.039
Gabriel Diallo -> 11

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Gabriel Diallo

There is no head to head record between Jannik Sinner and Gabriel Diallo since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Jannik Sinner

Currently world no. 1 the Italian reached the 3^rd round after beating Daniel Elahi Galan 6-1 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Elahi Galan Riveros (6-1 6-1). During the match, Sinner scored 57 points vs Elahi Galan Riveros’s 27. Sinner was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sinner made 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jannik Sinner was quite effective on serve to win 96% (22/23) of his 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sinner broke Elahi Galan Riveros 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 75% of his matches (373-124). 8-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a composed146-46 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3 and at the Wimbledon where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4.

The Italian has an overall 27-3 win-loss record in 2025, 8-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Gabriel Diallo

Ranked no. 35 (career-high), Diallo got to the 3^rd round after defeating Sebastian Baez 7-5 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Diallo had a good straight sets win against Baez (7-5 6-4). During the match Diallo scored 67 points vs Baez’s 56. Gabriel was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Diallo struck 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Gabriel Diallo lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Diallo put 57% of his first serves in, winning 84% (27/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. Diallo broke Baez 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Hertogenbosch where he beat Zizou Bergs in the final 7-5 7-6(8).

Diallo has a composed 31-21 win-loss record in 2025, 13-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

The Canadian has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Diallo
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	14	22
Pts	57-27	67-56
Total Points	84	123
Winners	22	27
%Winners	39%	40%

Both Sinner and Diallo played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sinner and Diallo have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Sinner played 8 games less than Diallo. Sinner scored 22 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Gabriel bagged 27 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Diallo
Aces	6	9
Avg per match	6	9
1st in	23/36	32/56
%1st in	64%	57%
1st pts	22/23	27/32
%1st pts	96%	84%
2nd pts	8/13	12/24
%2nd pts	62%	50%

Sinner scored 6 aces . Diallo managed to score 9 aces . Sinner won 96% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Diallo won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Diallo
Won	5	4
Converted	5/13	4/7
% Converted	38%	57%
Conceded	1	2
Saved	1	0
% Saved	100%	0%
Times Broken	0	2

The Italian broke his opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Sinner pretty effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Canadian broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Gabriel conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	R2 Elahi Galan Riveros	Total
Score	6-1 6-1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	14	14
pts	57-27	57-27
Total points	84	84
Winners	22	22
%Winners	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	6	6
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	23/36	23/36
% 1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	22/23	22/23
% 1st pts	96%	96%
2nd pts	8/13	8/13
% 2nd pts	62%	62%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/13	5/13
Converted %	38%	38%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	1/1	1
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Diallo
	R2 Baez	Total
Score	7-5 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	22	22
pts	67-56	67-56
Total points	123	123
Winners	27	27
%Winners	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	9	9
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	32/56	32/56
% 1st in	57%	57%
1st pts	27/32	27/32
% 1st pts	84%	84%
2nd pts	12/24	12/24
% 2nd pts	50%	50%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/7	4/7
Converted %	57%	57%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	0/2	0
Saved %	0%	0%
Times Broken	2	2

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tristan BoyerBoyer (4-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Alex De Minaur
  De Minaur (7-6⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Learner TienTien (7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Learner TienTien (7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (7-5 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Corentin MoutetMoutet (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Sebastian BaezBaez (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Zizou BergsBergs (6-3 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-2 7-6³) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Emilio NavaNava (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Casper RuudRuud (6-7⁵ 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Terence AtmaneAtmane – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-4 3-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Joao FonsecaFonseca – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-7⁴ 5-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (5-7 6-4 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (7-6³ 6-2) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tristan BoyerBoyer (4-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (7-6(6) 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Learner TienTien (7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-4 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-4) – H2H and prediction
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tommy PaulPaul (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Valentin RoyerRoyer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Francisco ComesanaComesana (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-2) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Ugo HumbertHumbert (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Benjamin BonziBonzi (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Adam WaltonWalton – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – (1-0) – H2H and prediction