H2H, prediction of Jannik Sinner vs Gabriel Diallo in Cincinnati with odds, preview, pick | 11th August 2025

PREVIEW. Cincinnati. Sinner and Diallo will play each other in the 3rd round of the Cincinnati Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Monday the 11th of August

By
Mark Hall
-
Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Gabriel Diallo

Jannik Sinner and Gabriel Diallo will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Cincinnati Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 7:00 pm on P&G CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.039
Gabriel Diallo -> 11

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Gabriel Diallo

There is no head to head record between Jannik Sinner and Gabriel Diallo since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner

27 - 3win/loss

Hard
8-0
I Hard
0-0
Clay
11-2
Grass
8-1
Rank
2
High
1
WWWWWWWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 58-6 24-3 11-2 15-0 8-1 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0
See all years

Currently world no. 1 the Italian reached the 3rd round after beating Daniel Elahi Galan 6-1 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Elahi Galan Riveros (6-1 6-1). During the match, Sinner scored 57 points vs Elahi Galan Riveros’s 27. Sinner was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sinner made 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jannik Sinner was quite effective on serve to win 96% (22/23) of his 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sinner broke Elahi Galan Riveros 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 75% of his matches (373-124). 8-0 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a composed146-46 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3 and at the Wimbledon where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4.

The Italian has an overall 27-3 win-loss record in 2025, 8-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Sinner
Cincinnati
Sinner's Record

Gabriel Diallo

Gabriel Diallo
Gabriel Diallo

31 - 21win/loss

Hard
13-10
I Hard
1-1
Clay
8-7
Grass
9-3
Rank
41
High
33
LWLLWLWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 37-29 16-15 8-7 4-4 9-3 0-0
2024 49-26 30-12 7-6 9-4 3-4 0-0
2023 39-28 8-11 2-2 24-10 5-5 0-0
2022 23-10 17-6 0-0 6-4 0-0 0-0
2021 12-4 8-3 0-0 4-1 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 35 (career-high), Diallo got to the 3rd round after defeating Sebastian Baez 7-5 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Diallo had a good straight sets win against Baez (7-5 6-4). During the match Diallo scored 67 points vs Baez’s 56. Gabriel was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Diallo struck 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Gabriel Diallo lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Diallo put 57% of his first serves in, winning 84% (27/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. Diallo broke Baez 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Hertogenbosch where he beat Zizou Bergs in the final 7-5 7-6(8).

Diallo has a composed 31-21 win-loss record in 2025, 13-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

The Canadian has never competed in this tournament before.

Diallo
Cincinnati
Diallo's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Sinner
G.Diallo
0h:59
0h:59
Time on court​
!
1h:31
1h:31
!
0h:59
0h:59
Last match​
1h:31
1h:31
1
1
Match played
1
1
14
14
Games Played​
22
22
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
57
57
Total points​
67
67
57
57
Avg point​
67
67
22
22
Winners
27
27
22
22
Avg Winners​
27
27
39%
39%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
9
9
6
6
Avg Aces
9
9
3
3
Double Faults
3
3
3
3
Avg Double Faults
3
3
22/23
22/23
1st won total​
27/32
27/32
!
96%
96%
1st won %
!
84%
84%
8/13
8/13
2nd won total​
12/24
12/24
!
62%
62%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
5/13
5/13
BP won
4/7
4/7
5/13
5/13
Avg BP won
4/7
4/7
38%
38%
Won
!
57%
57%
1
1
Conceded
2
2
1
1
Avg Conceded
2
2
0
0
Broken
2
2
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2
2
1
1
Saved
0
0
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sinner Diallo
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 14 22
Pts 57-27 67-56
Total Points 84 123
Winners 22 27
%Winners 39% 40%

Both Sinner and Diallo played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sinner and Diallo have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Sinner played 8 games less than Diallo. Sinner scored 22 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Gabriel bagged 27 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sinner Diallo
Aces 6 9
Avg per match 6 9
1st in 23/36 32/56
%1st in 64% 57%
1st pts 22/23 27/32
%1st pts 96% 84%
2nd pts 8/13 12/24
%2nd pts 62% 50%

Sinner scored 6 aces . Diallo managed to score 9 aces . Sinner won 96% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Diallo won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sinner Diallo
Won 5 4
Converted 5/13 4/7
% Converted 38% 57%
Conceded 1 2
Saved 1 0
% Saved 100% 0%
Times Broken 0 2

The Italian broke his opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Sinner pretty effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Canadian broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Gabriel conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
R2
Elahi Galan Riveros		 Total
Score 6-1 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 14 14
pts 57-27 57-27
Total points 84 84
Winners 22 22
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 23/36 23/36
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 22/23 22/23
% 1st pts 96% 96%
2nd pts 8/13 8/13
% 2nd pts 62% 62%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/13 5/13
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 1/1 1
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Diallo
R2
Baez		 Total
Score 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 22
pts 67-56 67-56
Total points 123 123
Winners 27 27
%Winners 40% 40%
SERVE
Aces 9 9
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 32/56 32/56
% 1st in 57% 57%
1st pts 27/32 27/32
% 1st pts 84% 84%
2nd pts 12/24 12/24
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/7 4/7
Converted % 57% 57%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 0/2 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 2 2

Head 2 Head

Jannik Sinner
  • 4Slam
  • 25Main
  • 3Chall
  • 2Minor
Gabriel Diallo
  • 0Slam
  • 1Main
  • 3Chall
  • 2Minor

Jannik
Sinner

1:0

Gabriel
Diallo

Rank

2

High

1

1Hard0

Rank

41

High

33

Win Loss
Sinner
WWWWWWWWWW
Diallo
LWLLWLWWLW
2025 2024 2023
58 - 6
35 - 28
24-3
Hard
16-15
15-0
I Hard
2-3
11-2
Clay
8-7
8-1
Grass
9-3

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Sinner
Jannik Sinner
More Stats
Click here
Diallo Gabriel Diallo