Denis Shapovalov and Luca Nardi will square off in the 2nd round of the Cincinnati Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on COURT 4. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 2 sets.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.16
Luca Nardi -> 5.25
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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Luca Nardi
There is no head to head record between Denis Shapovalov and Luca Nardi since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Denis Shapovalov
19 - 15win/loss
23
10
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-22 | 14-11 | 2-5 | 9-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-25 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 16-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, Denis will start his run in Cincinnati after he played his last match in Toronto where he lost 7-6(4) 7-5 to Tien in the 2nd round on the 29th of July.
The Canadian has an overall 19-15 win-loss record in 2025, 11-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Dallas where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(5) 6-3 and in Los Cabos where he beat Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-4 6-2.
Talking about his overall career, The Canadian has an overall 328-222 record. He has a positive 144-96 record on hard.
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018 and 2022. See his history.
Luca Nardi
25 - 23win/loss
87
67
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-30 | 14-13 | 8-9 | 8-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-27 | 14-14 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-36 | 20-10 | 8-13 | 12-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 5-2 | 11-10 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 3-3 | 26-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 98, Nardi reached the 2nd round after defeating Aidan Mayo 6-3 6-2, Alexander Blockx 6-4 6-3 and Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-4 7-6(5).
In the 1st round, Luca had a good straight sets win against Agustin Tirante (6-4 7-65). During the match Nardi scored 79 points vs Agustin Tirante’s 68. Nardi was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Nardi made 4 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Luca Nardi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Nardi put 64% of his first serves in, winning 70% (32/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the 2nd serve. Nardi broke Agustin Tirante 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Nardi’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Koblenz Challenger.
Nardi has an aggregate 25-23 win-loss record in 2025, 11-9 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Corentin MoutetMoutet (3-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Sebastian BaezBaez (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (7-63 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Joao FonsecaFonseca – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-7(4) 5-4 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tommy PaulPaul – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Casper RuudRuud (6-75 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Holger RuneRune – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (7-5 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (5-7 6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-2 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Tommy PaulPaul (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Valentin RoyerRoyer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Emilio NavaNava (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Benjamin BonziBonzi (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (5-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adam WaltonWalton – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Tristan BoyerBoyer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Terence AtmaneAtmane – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction