Alex De Minaur and Reilly Opelka will face off in the 2nd round of the Cincinnati Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.33
Reilly Opelka -> 3.32

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Reilly Opelka

This will be the 6th time that Alex De Minaur and Reilly Opelka square off. The head to head is 5-0 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, De Minaur won 6-4 6-4 in the 1st round in London back in 2022.

Alex De Minaur

Alex De Minaur

37 - 14win/loss

Hard
19-6
I Hard
5-1
Clay
10-5
Grass
3-2
Rank
7
High
6
LWLLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-24 30-11 10-5 13-6 3-2 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 8, De Minaur will start his run in Cincinnati after he played his last match in Toronto where he lost 6-3 6-4 to Shelton in the quarter on the 5th of August.

The Australian has a composed 37-14 win-loss record in 2025, 19-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the year was winning the title in Washington where he overcame Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).

Talking about his overall career, The Australian has an overall 402-222 record. He has a positive 190-92 record on hard.

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See his history.

Cincinnati
De Minaur's Record

Reilly Opelka

Reilly Opelka

27 - 20win/loss

Hard
13-8
I Hard
2-1
Clay
5-6
Grass
7-5
Rank
50
High
17
LLWLWWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-28 14-11 5-6 7-6 7-5 0-0
2024 8-10 2-8 0-0 3-1 3-1 0-0
2023 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0
2022 21-15 10-7 6-5 4-0 1-3 0-0
2021 21-23 14-11 6-4 1-6 0-2 0-0

Ranked no. 73, the American reached the 2nd round after beating Hugo Dellien 7-5 7-6(3).

In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Dellien (7-5 7-63). During the match Opelka scored 80 points vs Dellien’s 66. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Opelka scored 15 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Reilly Opelka was very effective on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 78% (29/37) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Reilly broke Dellien once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).

Opelka’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Brisbane.

The American has a compiled 27-20 win-loss record in 2025, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Cincinnati

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2020. See his history

.
Cincinnati
Opelka's Record

Tennis Scores in Cincinnati

Upcoming matches in the draw