Jurij Rodionov and Timofey Skatov will fight against each other in the final of the Bonn Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Timofey Skatov who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Timofey Skatov is the pick to win this match.
Timofey Skatov -> 1.74
Jurij Rodionov -> 2

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Prediction and head to head Jurij Rodionov vs. Timofey Skatov

There is no head to head record between Jurij Rodionov and Timofey Skatov since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Jurij Rodionov

Jurij Rodionov

26 - 20win/loss

Hard
6-6
I Hard
7-3
Clay
13-10
Grass
0-1
Rank
177
High
87
LWLWWLLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-29 17-12 14-10 10-6 0-1 0-0
2024 27-32 10-10 6-12 11-7 0-3 0-0
2023 44-33 3-6 15-13 21-11 5-3 0-0
2022 45-31 5-5 16-11 21-11 3-4 0-0
2021 20-28 2-4 2-7 13-13 3-3 0-1

Ranked no. 185, Jurij got to the final after beating Sumit Nagal 7-6(2) 6-3, Jamie Mackenzie 6-3 6-4, Lautaro Midon 7-6(2) 6-1 and Joel Schwaerzler 1-6 6-2 6-4.

In the semifinal against Schwaerzler, The Austrian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-2 6-4).During the match, Rodionov scored less points (2) than Schwaerzler. In fact, the world no. 185 won 75 points vs Schwaerzler’s. That means that Rodionov was more focused during the important points. Jurij was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rodionov scored 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jurij Rodionov was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (31/43) of his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Rodionov broke Schwaerzler 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rodionov has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Rodionov has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (299-233). 13-10 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Rodionov has a compiled 106-90 record in the last years on clay.

Rodionov’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Noumea Challenger,the Thionville Challenger,the Cherbourg Challenger and the Bonn Challenger.

The Austrian has an overall 26-20 win-loss record in 2025, 13-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Bonn Challenger

Jurij has never competed in this tournament before.

Bonn Challenger
Rodionov's Record

Timofey Skatov

Timofey Skatov

24 - 22win/loss

Hard
6-7
I Hard
0-0
Clay
17-14
Grass
1-1
Rank
241
High
123
LLLLLLLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 29-32 6-11 22-19 0-1 1-1 0-0
2024 36-23 5-7 29-14 0-1 2-1 0-0
2023 29-29 6-4 23-22 0-2 0-1 0-0
2022 34-32 4-3 30-27 0-2 0-0 0-0
2021 35-28 0-2 33-21 2-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 308, Skatov got to the final after defeating Dmitry Popko 6-2 7-5, Filip Cristian Jianu 7-6(0) 6-1, Yanaki Milev 6-0 3-0 ret. and Raphael Collignon 6-4 4-6 7-5.

In the semifinal, The Kazakhstani defeated Collignon (6-4 4-6 7-5).During the match Skatov scored less points (1) than Collignon. In fact, the world no. 185 won 104 points vs Collignon’s. That means that Skatov was more focused during the important points. Skatov was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.

About the serving games, Skatov managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Timofey Skatov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Skatov put 52% of his first serves in, winning 67% (39/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (27/54) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Collignon 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Kazakhstani has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Skatov’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Bonn Challenger.

Skatov has a compiled 24-22 win-loss record in 2025, 17-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Bonn Challenger
Skatov's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Rodionov
T.Skatov
6h:14
6h:14
Time on court​
6h:30
6h:30
1h:56
1h:56
Last match​
!
2h:48
2h:48
4
4
Match played
4
4
86
86
Games Played​
81
81
9
9
Set played​​
10
10
293
293
Total points​
280
280
73.3
73.3
Avg point​
70
70
108
108
Winners
99
99
27
27
Avg Winners​
24.8
24.8
37%
37%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
20
20
Aces
12
12
5
5
Avg Aces
3
3
5
5
Double Faults
15
15
1.3
1.3
Avg Double Faults
3.8
3.8
108/140
108/140
1st won total​
99/133
99/133
!
77%
77%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
59/103
59/103
2nd won total​
66/118
66/118
57%
57%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
15/40
15/40
BP won
18/23
18/23
3.8/10
3.8/10
Avg BP won
4.5/5.8
4.5/5.8
38%
38%
Won
!
78%
78%
13
13
Conceded
21
21
3.3
3.3
Avg Conceded
5.3
5.3
7
7
Broken
8
8
1.8
1.8
Avg Broken
2
2
6
6
Saved
13
13

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rodionov Skatov
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 9 10
Tot Games 86 81
Pts 293-244 280-208
Total Points 537 488
Winners 108 99
%Winners 37% 35%

Both Rodionov and Skatov played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jurij Rodionov dropped 1 set, while Timofey Skatov conceded 1 set. Rodionov has played 1 set(s) less than Skatov (9 vs 10). However, it’s interesting to notice that Rodionov played 5 games more than Skatov. Jurij scored 108 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Skatov scored 99 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rodionov Skatov
Aces 20 12
Avg per match 5 3
1st in 140/243 133/251
%1st in 58% 53%
1st pts 108/140 99/133
%1st pts 77% 74%
2nd pts 59/103 66/118
%2nd pts 57% 56%

Rodionov made 20 aces (5 per match). Skatov bagged 12 aces (3 per match). Rodionov won 77% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Skatov won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rodionov Skatov
Won 15 18
Converted 15/40 18/23
% Converted 38% 78%
Conceded 13 21
Saved 6 13
% Saved 46% 62%
Times Broken 7 8

Jurij broke his opponents 15 times with a 38% conversion rate. Jurij conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 46% of the break points that he conceded. The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 18 times with a 78% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.

Rodionov
R1
Nagal
R2
Mackenzie
1/4
Midon
1/2
Schwaerzler
Total
Score 7-62 6-3 6-3 6-4 7-62 6-1 1-6 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 9
Tot Games 22 19 20 25 86
pts 78-62 65-52 75-53 75-77 293-244
Total points 140 117 128 152 537
Winners 26 27 24 31 108
%Winners 33% 42% 32% 41% 37%
SERVE
Aces 5 8 4 3 20
Double Faults 1 0 2 2 5
1st in 39/58 31/57 27/54 43/74 140/243
% 1st in 67% 54% 50% 58% 58%
1st pts 26/39 27/31 24/27 31/43 108/140
% 1st pts 67% 87% 89% 72% 77%
2nd pts 10/19 15/26 16/27 18/31 59/103
% 2nd pts 53% 58% 59% 58% 57%
Breaks
Won 6 2 4 3 15
Converted 6/13 2/7 4/12 3/8 15/40
Converted % 46% 29% 33% 38% 38%
Conceded 6 1 2 4 13
Saved 2/6 1/1 1/2 2/4 6
Saved % 33% 100% 50% 50% 58%
Times Broken 4 0 1 2 7
Skatov
R1
Popko
R2
Cristian
1/4
Milev
1/2
Collignon
Total
Score 6-2 7-5 7-60 6-1 6-0 3-0 ret. 6-4 4-6 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 9
Tot Games 20 20 9 32 81
pts 65-49 71-45 40-9 104-105 280-208
Total points 114 116 49 209 488
Winners 24 24 12 39 99
%Winners 37% 34% 30% 38% 35%
SERVE
Aces 2 4 4 2 12
Double Faults 2 3 1 9 15
1st in 31/60 31/53 13/26 58/112 133/251
% 1st in 52% 58% 50% 52% 53%
1st pts 24/31 24/31 12/13 39/58 99/133
% 1st pts 77% 77% 92% 67% 74%
2nd pts 15/29 14/22 10/13 27/54 66/118
% 2nd pts 52% 64% 77% 50% 56%
Breaks
Won 5 4 4 5 18
Converted 5/5 4/4 4/4 5/10 18/23
Converted % 100% 100% 100% 50% 78%
Conceded 8 2 0 11 21
Saved 6/8 0/2 0/0 7/11 13
Saved % 75% 0% 64% 35%
Times Broken 2 2 0 4 8

Upcoming matches in the draw