Jurij Rodionov and Timofey Skatov will fight against each other in the final of the Bonn Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Timofey Skatov who should win in 3 sets.
Timofey Skatov -> 1.74
Jurij Rodionov -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Jurij Rodionov vs. Timofey Skatov
There is no head to head record between Jurij Rodionov and Timofey Skatov since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Jurij Rodionov
26 - 20win/loss
177
87
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-29 | 17-12 | 14-10 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-32 | 10-10 | 6-12 | 11-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-33 | 3-6 | 15-13 | 21-11 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-31 | 5-5 | 16-11 | 21-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-28 | 2-4 | 2-7 | 13-13 | 3-3 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 185, Jurij got to the final after beating Sumit Nagal 7-6(2) 6-3, Jamie Mackenzie 6-3 6-4, Lautaro Midon 7-6(2) 6-1 and Joel Schwaerzler 1-6 6-2 6-4.
In the semifinal against Schwaerzler, The Austrian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-2 6-4).During the match, Rodionov scored less points (2) than Schwaerzler. In fact, the world no. 185 won 75 points vs Schwaerzler’s. That means that Rodionov was more focused during the important points. Jurij was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rodionov scored 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jurij Rodionov was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (31/43) of his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Rodionov broke Schwaerzler 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rodionov has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Rodionov has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (299-233). 13-10 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Rodionov has a compiled 106-90 record in the last years on clay.
Rodionov’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Noumea Challenger,the Thionville Challenger,the Cherbourg Challenger and the Bonn Challenger.
The Austrian has an overall 26-20 win-loss record in 2025, 13-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bonn Challenger
Jurij has never competed in this tournament before.
Timofey Skatov
24 - 22win/loss
241
123
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-32 | 6-11 | 22-19 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-23 | 5-7 | 29-14 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-29 | 6-4 | 23-22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-32 | 4-3 | 30-27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-28 | 0-2 | 33-21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 308, Skatov got to the final after defeating Dmitry Popko 6-2 7-5, Filip Cristian Jianu 7-6(0) 6-1, Yanaki Milev 6-0 3-0 ret. and Raphael Collignon 6-4 4-6 7-5.
In the semifinal, The Kazakhstani defeated Collignon (6-4 4-6 7-5).During the match Skatov scored less points (1) than Collignon. In fact, the world no. 185 won 104 points vs Collignon’s. That means that Skatov was more focused during the important points. Skatov was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.
About the serving games, Skatov managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Timofey Skatov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Skatov put 52% of his first serves in, winning 67% (39/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (27/54) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Collignon 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Kazakhstani has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Skatov’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Bonn Challenger.
Skatov has a compiled 24-22 win-loss record in 2025, 17-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rodionov | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 86 | 81 |
| Pts | 293-244 | 280-208 |
| Total Points | 537 | 488 |
| Winners | 108 | 99 |
| %Winners | 37% | 35% |
Both Rodionov and Skatov played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jurij Rodionov dropped 1 set, while Timofey Skatov conceded 1 set. Rodionov has played 1 set(s) less than Skatov (9 vs 10). However, it’s interesting to notice that Rodionov played 5 games more than Skatov. Jurij scored 108 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Skatov scored 99 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rodionov | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 140/243 | 133/251 |
| %1st in | 58% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 108/140 | 99/133 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 59/103 | 66/118 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 56% |
Rodionov made 20 aces (5 per match). Skatov bagged 12 aces (3 per match). Rodionov won 77% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Skatov won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rodionov | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 18 |
| Converted | 15/40 | 18/23 |
| % Converted | 38% | 78% |
| Conceded | 13 | 21 |
| Saved | 6 | 13 |
| % Saved | 46% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 8 |
Jurij broke his opponents 15 times with a 38% conversion rate. Jurij conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 46% of the break points that he conceded. The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 18 times with a 78% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rodionov | ||||||
| R1 Nagal | R2 Mackenzie | 1/4 Midon | 1/2 Schwaerzler | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | 7-62 6-1 | 1-6 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 19 | 20 | 25 | 86 | |
| pts | 78-62 | 65-52 | 75-53 | 75-77 | 293-244 | |
| Total points | 140 | 117 | 128 | 152 | 537 | |
| Winners | 26 | 27 | 24 | 31 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 42% | 32% | 41% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 39/58 | 31/57 | 27/54 | 43/74 | 140/243 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 54% | 50% | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 26/39 | 27/31 | 24/27 | 31/43 | 108/140 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 87% | 89% | 72% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 15/26 | 16/27 | 18/31 | 59/103 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 58% | 59% | 58% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 2/7 | 4/12 | 3/8 | 15/40 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 29% | 33% | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 2/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| Skatov | ||||||
| R1 Popko | R2 Cristian | 1/4 Milev | 1/2 Collignon | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | 7-60 6-1 | 6-0 3-0 ret. | 6-4 4-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 9 | 32 | 81 | |
| pts | 65-49 | 71-45 | 40-9 | 104-105 | 280-208 | |
| Total points | 114 | 116 | 49 | 209 | 488 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | 12 | 39 | 99 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 34% | 30% | 38% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 31/60 | 31/53 | 13/26 | 58/112 | 133/251 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 58% | 50% | 52% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 24/31 | 12/13 | 39/58 | 99/133 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | 92% | 67% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 14/22 | 10/13 | 27/54 | 66/118 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 64% | 77% | 50% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 5/5 | 4/4 | 4/4 | 5/10 | 18/23 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 78% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 21 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 7/11 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 0% | – | 64% | 35% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Timofey SkatovSkatov (0-0) – H2H and prediction