Federico Coria and Joel Schwaerzler will face off in the 2nd round of the Bonn Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 5:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Coria who should win in 3 sets.
Federico Coria -> 1.45
Joel Schwaerzler -> 2.59
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Prediction and head to head Federico Coria vs. Joel Schwaerzler
This will be the 2nd time that Federico Coria and Joel Schwaerzler clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Coria (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Coria won 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in the Rosario Challenger back in February 2025.
Federico Coria
20 - 17win/loss
245
49
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-18 | 0-1 | 20-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-35 | 0-3 | 45-31 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 3-8 | 35-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-32 | 2-5 | 39-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-31 | 2-7 | 40-20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 154, the Argentine got to the 2nd round after defeating Marco Cecchinato 6-4 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Cecchinato (6-4 6-2). During the match, Coria scored 63 points vs Cecchinato’s 49. Federico was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Coria struck 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Federico Coria lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Coria put 69% of his first serves in, winning 60% (24/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the 2nd serve. Coria broke Cecchinato 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Coria has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (409-278). 20-16 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Coria has an overall 393-228 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Federico’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Cordoba Challenger.
Federico has an overall 20-17 win-loss record in 2025, 20-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bonn Challenger
Federico has never competed in this tournament before.
Joel Schwaerzler
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-26 | 0-0 | 39-25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-23 | 3-3 | 21-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 354, Joel got to the 2nd round after defeating Christoph Negritu 7-5 6-4.
In the 1st round, Schwaerzler had a good straight sets win against Negritu (7-5 6-4). During the match Schwaerzler scored 70 points vs Negritu’s 61. Schwaerzler was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Schwaerzler blasted 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Joel Schwaerzler was pretty efficient on serve to win 80% (33/41) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Schwaerzler broke Negritu twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Joel’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Klosters and Lucciana.
The Austrian has an overall 29-18 win-loss record in 2025, 29-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Coria | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 22 |
| Pts | 63-49 | 70-61 |
| Total Points | 112 | 131 |
| Winners | 24 | 33 |
| %Winners | 38% | 47% |
Both Coria and Schwaerzler played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Coria and Schwaerzler have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Coria played 4 games less than Schwaerzler. Coria scored 24 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Joel blasted 33 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Coria | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 5 |
| 1st in | 40/58 | 41/67 |
| %1st in | 69% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 24/40 | 33/41 |
| %1st pts | 60% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 11/18 | 16/26 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 62% |
Coria bagged 2 aces . Schwaerzler made 5 aces . Coria won 60% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Schwaerzler won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Coria | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 2 |
| Converted | 5/11 | 2/5 |
| % Converted | 45% | 40% |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 |
| Saved | 6 | 5 |
| % Saved | 75% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
The Argentine broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Coria lost his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Austrian broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Joel was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
| Coria | |||
| R1 Cecchinato | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 63-49 | 63-49 | |
| Total points | 112 | 112 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 40/58 | 40/58 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 24/40 | 24/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/18 | 11/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Schwaerzler | |||
| R1 Negritu | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 70-61 | 70-61 | |
| Total points | 131 | 131 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 41/67 | 41/67 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 33/41 | 33/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 16/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores in Bonn Challenger
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Jamie MackenzieMackenzie (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lautaro MidonMidon – Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Timofey SkatovSkatov – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (7-60 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Jamie MackenzieMackenzie (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yanaki MilevMilev – Elmer MollerMoller (6-2 2-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux – Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Timofey SkatovSkatov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction