Clara Tauson and Naomi Osaka will square off in the semifinal of the Omnium Banque Nationale for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 8:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.79
Clara Tauson -> 2.02

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Clara Tauson vs. Naomi Osaka

This will be the 2nd time that Clara Tauson and Naomi Osaka play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Tauson (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Tauson won 4-6 ret. in the final in Auckland back in January 2025.

Highlights Clara Tauson vs Naomi Osaka – Auckland 05-January-2025

Clara Tauson

Clara Tauson

32 - 16win/loss

Hard
19-7
I Hard
3-1
Clay
4-5
Grass
6-3
Rank
12
High
12
LLWWLLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-22 23-13 4-5 3-1 6-3 0-0
2024 38-28 19-16 14-5 5-3 0-3 0-1
2023 38-21 6-7 13-5 12-8 2-1 5-0
2022 26-18 10-12 0-1 16-4 0-1 0-0
2021 42-15 13-4 4-5 21-4 0-2 4-0

Ranked no. 19 (career-high), Tauson reached the semifinal after defeating Lucia Bronzetti 6-1 6-2, Yuliia Starodubtseva 6-3 6-0, Iga Swiatek 7-6(1) 6-3 and Madison Keys 6-1 6-4.

In the quarter, The Dane had a good straight sets win against Keys (6-1 6-4). During the match, Tauson scored 62 points vs Keys’s 43. The Dane was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Tauson made 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Clara Tauson was quite efficient on serve to win 78% (31/40) of her 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Clara broke Keys 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Dane hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 59% of the points she played.

Tauson has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (266-121). 19-6 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Tauson has an overall101-51 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Auckland where she beat Naomi Osaka in the final 4-6 ret..

Tauson has a compiled 32-15 win-loss record in 2025, 19-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Montreal
Tauson's Record

Naomi Osaka

Naomi Osaka

27 - 11win/loss

Hard
16-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
8-3
Grass
3-3
Rank
16
High
1
WWLWLLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 35-15 24-9 8-3 0-0 3-3 0-0
2024 22-18 13-10 5-5 1-0 3-3 0-0
2023 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 14-9 13-7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 18-6 16-4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 49, Osaka reached the semifinal after beating Ariana Arseneault 6-4 6-2, Liudmila Samsonova 4-6 7-6(6) 6-3, Jelena Ostapenko 6-2 6-4, Anastasija Sevastova 6-1 6-0 and Elina Svitolina 6-2 6-2.

In the quarter, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Svitolina (6-2 6-2). During the match Osaka scored 59 points vs Svitolina’s 36. Osaka was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.

About the serving games, Osaka scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Naomi Osaka lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Osaka put 57% of her first serves in, winning 83% (24/29) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Svitolina 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Osaka has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was winning the title the Malo where she defeated Kaja Juvan in the final 6-1 7-5.

Osaka has an aggregate 26-11 win-loss record in 2025, 15-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2019. See her history.

Montreal
Osaka's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Tauson
N.Osaka
5h:31
5h:31
Time on court​
7h:02
7h:02
1h:10
1h:10
Last match​
1h:08
1h:08
4
4
Match played
!
5
5
69
69
Games Played​
97
97
8
8
Set played​​
11
11
255
255
Total points​
334
334
63.8
63.8
Avg point​
66.8
66.8
110
110
Winners
134
134
27.5
27.5
Avg Winners​
26.8
26.8
43%
43%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
17
17
Aces
21
21
4.3
4.3
Avg Aces
4.2
4.2
10
10
Double Faults
10
10
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
2
2
110/148
110/148
1st won total​
134/178
134/178
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
48/90
48/90
2nd won total​
64/120
64/120
53%
53%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
16/26
16/26
BP won
24/35
24/35
4/6.5
4/6.5
Avg BP won
4.8/7
4.8/7
!
62%
62%
Won
!
69%
69%
18
18
Conceded
27
27
4.5
4.5
Avg Conceded
5.4
5.4
4
4
Broken
8
8
1
1
Avg Broken
1.6
1.6
14
14
Saved
19
19

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Tauson Osaka
Match played 4 5
Tot Set 8 11
Tot Games 69 97
Pts 255-180 334-243
Total Points 435 577
Winners 110 134
%Winners 43% 40%

Tauson played 4 matches while Osaka competed in 5 matches. At the moment, Naomi Osaka lost 1 set while Clara Tauson hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Tauson has played 3 set(s) less than Osaka (8 vs 11). Therefore, Tauson played 28 games less than Osaka. Clara scored 110 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Naomi managed to score 134 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Tauson Osaka
Aces 17 21
Avg per match 4.3 4.2
1st in 148/238 178/298
%1st in 62% 60%
1st pts 110/148 134/178
%1st pts 74% 75%
2nd pts 48/90 64/120
%2nd pts 53% 53%

Tauson bagged 17 aces (4.3 per match). Osaka blasted 21 aces (4.2 per match). Tauson won 74% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Osaka won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Tauson Osaka
Won 16 24
Converted 16/26 24/35
% Converted 62% 69%
Conceded 18 27
Saved 14 19
% Saved 78% 70%
Times Broken 4 8

Clara broke her opponents 16 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Dane lost her serve 4 times and she saved 78% of the break points that she conceded. Osaka broke her opponents 24 times with a 69% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.

Tauson
R2
Bronzetti
R3
Starodubtseva
R4
Swiatek
1/4
Keys
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-3 6-0 7-61 6-3 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 15 15 22 17 69
pts 62-43 54-30 77-64 62-43 255-180
Total points 105 84 141 105 435
Winners 24 20 35 31 110
%Winners 39% 37% 45% 50% 43%
SERVE
Aces 4 2 6 5 17
Double Faults 3 1 4 2 10
1st in 36/61 25/38 47/80 40/59 148/238
% 1st in 59% 66% 59% 68% 62%
1st pts 24/36 20/25 35/47 31/40 110/148
% 1st pts 67% 80% 74% 78% 74%
2nd pts 13/25 8/13 15/33 12/19 48/90
% 2nd pts 52% 62% 45% 63% 53%
Breaks
Won 5 5 3 3 16
Converted 5/6 5/9 3/5 3/6 16/26
Converted % 83% 56% 60% 50% 62%
Conceded 5 1 9 3 18
Saved 4/5 0/1 7/9 3/3 14
Saved % 80% 0% 78% 100% 65%
Times Broken 1 1 2 0 4
Osaka
R1
Arseneault
R2
Samsonova
R3
Ostapenko
R4
Sevastova
1/4
Svitolina
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 4-6 7-66 6-3 6-2 6-4 6-1 6-0 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 2 2 2 11
Tot Games 18 32 18 13 16 97
pts 65-51 99-92 58-43 53-21 59-36 334-243
Total points 116 191 101 74 95 577
Winners 23 45 24 18 24 134
%Winners 35% 45% 41% 34% 41% 40%
SERVE
Aces 2 8 5 5 1 21
Double Faults 5 2 1 0 2 10
1st in 29/60 61/92 34/52 25/43 29/51 178/298
% 1st in 48% 66% 65% 58% 57% 60%
1st pts 23/29 45/61 24/34 18/25 24/29 134/178
% 1st pts 79% 74% 71% 72% 83% 75%
2nd pts 16/31 17/31 7/18 13/18 11/22 64/120
% 2nd pts 52% 55% 39% 72% 50% 53%
Breaks
Won 4 4 6 5 5 24
Converted 4/7 4/7 6/9 5/5 5/7 24/35
Converted % 57% 57% 67% 100% 71% 69%
Conceded 5 9 5 3 5 27
Saved 4/5 6/9 2/5 3/3 4/5 19
Saved % 80% 67% 40% 100% 80% 92%
Times Broken 1 3 3 0 1 8

Tennis Scores in Montreal

Upcoming matches in the draw