Shintaro Mochizuki and Chak Lam Coleman Wong will play each other in the qualifications of the Cincinnati Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on COURT 6. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shintaro Mochizuki who should win in 3 sets.
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.86
Chak Lam Coleman Wong -> 1.86
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Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Chak Lam Coleman Wong
This will be the 2nd time that Shintaro Mochizuki and Chak Lam Coleman Wong square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Lam Coleman Wong (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Lam Coleman Wong won 7-6(2) 6-3 in the 2nd round in the Yokohama Challenger back in 2024.
Shintaro Mochizuki
30 - 20win/loss
93
92
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 43-31 | 27-16 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 11-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-33 | 19-22 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 122 (career-high), Shintaro got to the qualifications after beating Facundo Bagnis 3-6 6-3 6-4
.In the qualifications against Bagnis, Mochizuki recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Mochizuki scored 80 points vs Bagnis’s 79. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mochizuki fired 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Shintaro Mochizuki was quite efficient on serve to win 82% (28/34) of his 1st serve and 55% (22/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Japanese broke Bagnis 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Mochizuki has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 54% of his matches (205-172). 17-10 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Mochizuki has a compiled113-95 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Noumea Challenger where he overcame Moerani Bouzige in the final 6-1 6-3.
The Japanese has an overall 30-19 win-loss record in 2025, 17-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Mochizuki has never competed in this tournament before.
Chak Lam Coleman Wong
17 - 20win/loss
149
128
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-30 | 20-18 | 2-6 | 4-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-36 | 39-26 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 53-27 | 42-19 | 9-7 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-19 | 20-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-7 | 5-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 168, Lam Coleman Wong reached the qualifications after defeating Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-2 6-3.
In the qualifications, Chak had a good straight sets win against Manuel Cerundolo (6-2 6-3). During the match Lam Coleman Wong scored 69 points vs Manuel Cerundolo’s 49. Chak was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Lam Coleman Wong recorded 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Chak Lam Coleman Wong lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Lam Coleman Wong put 67% of his first serves in, winning 67% (30/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the 2nd serve. The broke Manuel Cerundolo 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Chak has a composed 16-20 win-loss record in 2025, 7-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mochizuki | Lam Coleman Wong |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 17 |
| Pts | 80-79 | 69-49 |
| Total Points | 159 | 118 |
| Winners | 28 | 30 |
| %Winners | 35% | 43% |
Both Mochizuki and Lam Coleman Wong played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Shintaro Mochizuki conceded 1 set while Chak Lam Coleman Wong hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mochizuki has played 1 set more than Lam Coleman Wong (3 vs 2). Therefore, Mochizuki played 11 games more than Lam Coleman Wong. Shintaro scored 28 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Lam Coleman Wong made 30 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mochizuki | Lam Coleman Wong |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 3 |
| 1st in | 34/74 | 45/67 |
| %1st in | 46% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 28/34 | 30/45 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 22/40 | 13/22 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 59% |
Mochizuki recorded 6 aces . Lam Coleman Wong struck 3 aces . Mochizuki won 82% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Lam Coleman Wong won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mochizuki | Lam Coleman Wong |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/9 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 33% | 57% |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 |
| Saved | 0 | 4 |
| % Saved | 0% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Mochizuki dropped his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Lam Coleman Wong broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Lam Coleman Wong conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mochizuki | |||
| Q1 Bagnis | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 80-79 | 80-79 | |
| Total points | 159 | 159 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 34/74 | 34/74 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 46% | |
| 1st pts | 28/34 | 28/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/40 | 22/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Lam Coleman Wong | |||
| Q1 Manuel Cerundolo | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 69-49 | 69-49 | |
| Total points | 118 | 118 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 45/67 | 45/67 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 30/45 | 30/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/22 | 13/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
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