Naoki Nakagawa and Alfredo Perez will fight against each other in the 1st round of the Chicago Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alfredo Perez who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alfredo Perez is the pick to win this match.
Alfredo Perez -> 1.444
Naoki Nakagawa -> 2.61

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Prediction and head to head Naoki Nakagawa vs. Alfredo Perez

This will be the 2nd time that Naoki Nakagawa and Alfredo Perez clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Perez (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Perez won 6-3 6-1 in the qualifications in USA F9.

Naoki Nakagawa

Naoki Nakagawa

9 - 15win/loss

Hard
9-14
I Hard
0-0
Clay
0-1
Rank
653
High
327
LWLLLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-22 15-21 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 25-16 13-12 1-1 11-3 0-0 0-0
2023 43-23 42-19 1-3 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 31-27 16-16 10-9 5-2 0-0 0-0
2021 34-15 32-13 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 350, Nakagawa will start his run in the Chicago Challenger after he played his last match in the Lexington Challenger where he lost 7-6(4) 5-1 ret. to Suresh in the qualifications on the 27th of July.

Naoki has an overall 8-15 win-loss record in 2025, 8-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

The Japanese’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Timaru.

Talking about his overall career, Naoki has an overall 332-221 record. He has a positive 196-134 record on hard.

Previously in the Chicago Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.

Chicago Challenger
Nakagawa's Record

Alfredo Perez

Alfredo Perez

37 - 18win/loss

Hard
27-14
I Hard
3-1
Clay
7-3
Rank
332
High
315
LLWLLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 46-28 31-18 7-3 8-7 0-0 0-0
2024 17-9 10-6 0-0 7-3 0-0 0-0
2023 29-25 18-16 0-0 11-9 0-0 0-0
2022 35-22 22-11 9-9 4-2 0-0 0-0
2021 20-12 20-12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 372 (career-high), Alfredo will start his run in the Chicago Challenger after he played his last match in Washington where he lost 7-5 1-0 ret. to Vavassori in the qualifications on the 19th of July.

The American has an aggregate 37-17 win-loss record in 2025, 27-13 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.

Perez’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Huamantla.

In terms of his career, The American has an overall 205-114 record. He has a positive 147-80 record on hard.

Previously in the Chicago Challenger

Perez has never competed in this tournament before.

Chicago Challenger
Perez's Record

Upcoming matches in the draw