Karen Khachanov and Alex Michelsen will fight against each other in the quarter of the National Bank Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 9:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Karen Khachanov is the pick to win this match.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.5
Alex Michelsen -> 2.59

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Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Alex Michelsen

This will be the 2nd time that Karen Khachanov and Alex Michelsen square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Michelsen (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Michelsen won 6-3 7-6(5) 6-2 in the 3rd round in at the Australian Open back in January 2025.

Highlights Alex Michelsen vs Karen Khachanov – Australian Open 18-January-2025

Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov

25 - 16win/loss

Hard
8-6
I Hard
0-1
Clay
9-6
Grass
8-3
Rank
18
High
8
LWWLLLLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-24 13-11 9-6 2-4 8-3 0-0
2024 37-22 14-12 8-4 14-3 1-3 0-0
2023 34-18 18-10 10-5 6-3 0-0 0-0
2022 36-25 17-11 9-7 6-5 4-2 0-0
2021 35-24 17-9 5-6 8-6 5-3 0-0

Ranked no. 16, the Russian got to the quarter after defeating Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-4 6-2, Emilio Nava 6-7(6) 6-4 6-1 and Casper Ruud 6-4 7-5.

In the 4th round, Khachanov had a good straight sets win against Ruud (6-4 7-5). During the match, Khachanov scored 71 points vs Ruud’s 55. Khachanov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Khachanov made 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Karen Khachanov was very efficient on serve to win 97% (29/30) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Ruud 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has lost 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.

Khachanov has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (341-230). 8-6 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Khachanov has a composed 135-94 record in the last years on hard.

Khachanov’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Barcelona and Halle.

Khachanov has a compiled 25-16 win-loss record in 2025, 8-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Toronto
Khachanov's Record

Alex Michelsen

Alex Michelsen

25 - 18win/loss

Hard
13-8
I Hard
1-1
Clay
6-5
Grass
5-4
Rank
38
High
30
LLLWWWLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 29-27 14-13 6-5 4-5 5-4 0-0
2024 45-34 26-14 4-9 8-5 7-6 0-0
2023 61-27 30-13 4-3 19-7 8-4 0-0
2022 23-10 14-8 0-1 9-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 34, the American got to the quarter after beating Tomas Barrios Vera 7-6(7) 6-3, Lorenzo Musetti 3-6 7-6(4) 6-4 and Learner Tien 6-3 6-3.

In the 4th round, Alex had a good straight sets win against Tien (6-3 6-3). During the match Michelsen scored 73 points vs Tien’s 58. Alex was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Michelsen struck 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alex Michelsen was very efficient on serve to win 72% (26/36) of his 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Michelsen broke Tien 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Michelsen has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Estoril Challenger where he overcame Andrea Pellegrino in the final 6-4 6-4.

The American has an aggregate 25-18 win-loss record in 2025, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.

Toronto
Michelsen's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

K.Khachanov
A.Michelsen
5h:10
5h:10
Time on court​
5h:47
5h:47
1h:33
1h:33
Last match​
1h:20
1h:20
3
3
Match played
3
3
70
70
Games Played​
72
72
7
7
Set played​​
7
7
244
244
Total points​
260
260
81.3
81.3
Avg point​
86.7
86.7
101
101
Winners
107
107
33.7
33.7
Avg Winners​
35.7
35.7
41%
41%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
20
20
Aces
21
21
6.7
6.7
Avg Aces
7
7
13
13
Double Faults
16
16
4.3
4.3
Avg Double Faults
!
5.3
5.3
101/121
101/121
1st won total​
107/140
107/140
!
83%
83%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
42/80
42/80
2nd won total​
50/104
50/104
53%
53%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
12/32
12/32
BP won
10/31
10/31
4/10.7
4/10.7
Avg BP won
3.3/10.3
3.3/10.3
38%
38%
Won
32%
32%
13
13
Conceded
23
23
4.3
4.3
Avg Conceded
7.7
7.7
3
3
Broken
5
5
1
1
Avg Broken
1.7
1.7
10
10
Saved
18
18

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Khachanov Michelsen
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 7
Tot Games 70 72
Pts 244-191 260-238
Total Points 435 498
Winners 101 107
%Winners 41% 41%

Both Khachanov and Michelsen played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Karen Khachanov surrendered 1 set, while Alex Michelsen dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Khachanov and Michelsen have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Khachanov played 2 games less than Michelsen. Khachanov scored 101 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The American managed to score 107 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Khachanov Michelsen
Aces 20 21
Avg per match 6.7 7
1st in 121/201 140/244
%1st in 60% 57%
1st pts 101/121 107/140
%1st pts 83% 76%
2nd pts 42/80 50/104
%2nd pts 53% 48%

Khachanov scored 20 aces (6.7 per match). Michelsen made 21 aces (7 per match). Khachanov won 83% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Michelsen won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Khachanov Michelsen
Won 12 10
Converted 12/32 10/31
% Converted 38% 32%
Conceded 13 23
Saved 10 18
% Saved 77% 78%
Times Broken 3 5

Khachanov broke his opponents 12 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponents 10 times with a 32% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.

Khachanov
R2
Pablo Ficovich
R3
Nava
R4
Ruud
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 6-76 6-4 6-1 6-4 7-5
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 18 30 22 70
pts 72-52 101-84 71-55 244-191
Total points 124 185 126 435
Winners 38 34 29 101
%Winners 53% 34% 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 5 8 7 20
Double Faults 7 3 3 13
1st in 43/65 48/82 30/54 121/201
% 1st in 66% 59% 56% 60%
1st pts 38/43 34/48 29/30 101/121
% 1st pts 88% 71% 97% 83%
2nd pts 5/22 24/34 13/24 42/80
% 2nd pts 23% 71% 54% 53%
Breaks
Won 4 5 3 12
Converted 4/9 5/11 3/12 12/32
Converted % 44% 45% 25% 38%
Conceded 8 1 4 13
Saved 7/8 0/1 3/4 10
Saved % 88% 0% 75% 54%
Times Broken 1 1 1 3
Michelsen
R2
Tomas Barrios Vera
R3
Musetti
R4
Tien
Total
Score 7-67 6-3 3-6 7-64 6-4 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 22 32 18 72
pts 84-75 103-105 73-58 260-238
Total points 159 208 131 498
Winners 27 54 26 107
%Winners 32% 52% 36% 41%
SERVE
Aces 13 5 3 21
Double Faults 8 6 2 16
1st in 36/70 68/109 36/65 140/244
% 1st in 51% 62% 55% 57%
1st pts 27/36 54/68 26/36 107/140
% 1st pts 75% 79% 72% 76%
2nd pts 17/34 17/41 16/29 50/104
% 2nd pts 50% 41% 55% 48%
Breaks
Won 4 2 4 10
Converted 4/12 2/9 4/10 10/31
Converted % 33% 22% 40% 32%
Conceded 7 12 4 23
Saved 5/7 10/12 3/4 18
Saved % 71% 83% 75% 76%
Times Broken 2 2 1 5

Tennis Scores in Toronto

Upcoming matches in the draw