Elena Rybakina and Marta Kostyuk will square off in the quarter of the Omnium Banque Nationale for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 6:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.28
Marta Kostyuk -> 3.68

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Marta Kostyuk

This will be the 4^th time that Elena Rybakina and Marta Kostyuk play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they played, Rybakina won 6-2 6-2 in the final in Stuttgart back in 2024.

Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Marta Kostyuk – Stuttgart 21-April-2024

Elena Rybakina

Ranked no. 12, the Kazakhstani reached the quarter after defeating Hailey Baptiste 6-4 6-3, Jaqueline Cristian 6-0 7-6(5) and Dayana Yastremska 5-7 6-2 7-5.

In the 4^th round against Yastremska, Rybakina recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-2 7-5). During the match, Rybakina scored 115 points vs Yastremska’s 101. Rybakina was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rybakina recorded 7 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 59% of her first serves in, winning 73% (44/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (21/42) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Yastremska 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Kazakhstani has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points she played.

Rybakina has a marvellous win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (361-155). 20-8 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has an aggregate 169-78 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Strasbourg where she overcame Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1.

The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 36-14 win-loss record in 2025, 20-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Marta Kostyuk

Ranked no. 28, Marta reached the quarter after defeating Marketa Vondrousova 2-6 6-3 6-2, Daria Kasatkina 3-6 6-3 7-6(4) and Mccartney Kessler 5-7 6-3 6-3.

In the 4^th round against Kessler, Kostyuk recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-3). During the match Kostyuk scored 118 points vs Kessler’s 102. The Ukrainian was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.

About the serving games, Kostyuk scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Overall, Marta Kostyuk was very effective on serve to win 71% (39/55) of her 1st serve and 52% (24/46) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve 3 times. The Ukrainian broke Kessler 5 times after converting 25% of her break points (5/20).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Marta has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Kostyuk has a composed 20-16 win-loss record in 2025, 13-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rybakina	Kostyuk
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	9
Tot Games	70	86
Pts	248-194	297-264
Total Points	442	561
Winners	96	103
%Winners	39%	35%

Both Rybakina and Kostyuk played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina surrendered 1 set, while Marta Kostyuk conceded 3 sets. Rybakina has played 2 set(s) less than Kostyuk (7 vs 9). Therefore, Rybakina played 16 games less than Kostyuk. Elena scored 96 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Ukrainian struck 103 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rybakina	Kostyuk
Aces	26	10
Avg per match	8.7	3.3
1st in	120/211	150/285
%1st in	57%	53%
1st pts	96/120	103/150
%1st pts	80%	69%
2nd pts	52/91	57/135
%2nd pts	57%	42%

Rybakina scored 26 aces (8.7 per match). Kostyuk made 10 aces (3.3 per match). Rybakina won 80% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rybakina	Kostyuk
Won	10	19
Converted	10/18	19/40
% Converted	56%	48%
Conceded	11	36
Saved	8	20
% Saved	73%	56%
Times Broken	3	16

The Kazakhstani broke her opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Elena lost her serve 3 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded. Marta broke her opponents 19 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve 16 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
	R2 Baptiste	R3 Cristian	R4 Yastremska	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	6-0 7-65	5-7 6-2 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	19	19	32	70
pts	61-45	72-48	115-101	248-194
Total points	106	120	216	442
Winners	27	25	44	96
%Winners	44%	35%	38%	39%
SERVE
Aces	11	8	7	26
Double Faults	3	0	9	12
1st in	32/58	28/51	60/102	120/211
% 1st in	55%	55%	59%	57%
1st pts	27/32	25/28	44/60	96/120
% 1st pts	84%	89%	73%	80%
2nd pts	16/26	15/23	21/42	52/91
% 2nd pts	62%	65%	50%	57%
Breaks
Won	2	3	5	10
Converted	2/2	3/7	5/9	10/18
Converted %	100%	43%	56%	56%
Conceded	3	1	7	11
Saved	3/3	1/1	4/7	8
Saved %	100%	100%	57%	86%
Times Broken	0	0	3	3

Kostyuk
	R2 Vondrousova	R3 Kasatkina	R4 Kessler	Total
Score	2-6 6-3 6-2	3-6 6-3 7-64	5-7 6-3 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	3	9
Tot Games	25	31	30	86
pts	79-66	100-96	118-102	297-264
Total points	145	196	220	561
Winners	29	35	39	103
%Winners	37%	35%	33%	35%
SERVE
Aces	5	4	1	10
Double Faults	6	9	10	25
1st in	43/80	52/104	55/101	150/285
% 1st in	54%	50%	54%	53%
1st pts	29/43	35/52	39/55	103/150
% 1st pts	67%	67%	71%	69%
2nd pts	15/37	18/52	24/46	57/135
% 2nd pts	41%	35%	52%	42%
Breaks
Won	7	7	5	19
Converted	7/9	7/11	5/20	19/40
Converted %	78%	64%	25%	48%
Conceded	10	13	13	36
Saved	4/10	6/13	10/13	20
Saved %	40%	46%	77%	54%
Times Broken	6	7	3	16

Tennis Scores in Montreal

• Go SoedaSoeda – Lukas RosolRosol (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Daniel EvansEvans – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (7-6⁶ 6-7⁶ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Antoine HoangHoang – Ruben BemelmansBemelmans (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy – Dennis NovakNovak (6-7¹⁵ 7-5 7-6⁶) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Anastasija SevastovaSevastova (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Clara TausonTauson – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-2) – H2H and prediction