Mariano Kestelboim and Michael Vrbensky will square off in the qualifications of the Cordenons Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:30 pm on SERENA WINES 1881 (12). In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Michael Vrbensky who should win in 3 sets.
Michael Vrbensky -> 1.58
Mariano Kestelboim -> 2.26
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Prediction and head to head Mariano Kestelboim vs. Michael Vrbensky
This will be the 2nd time that Mariano Kestelboim and Michael Vrbensky clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kestelboim (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Kestelboim won 2-6 6-4 7-6(5) in the quarter in M25 Pardubice back in 2019.
Mariano Kestelboim
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-26 | 0-0 | 37-25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-20 | 2-1 | 30-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-11 | 2-1 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-14 | 0-0 | 15-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-23 | 1-4 | 21-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 395, Mariano reached the qualifications after defeating Alessio Balestrieri 6-1 6-0.
In the qualifications, Mariano had a good straight sets win against Balestrieri (6-1 6-0). During the match, Kestelboim scored 49 points vs Balestrieri’s 19. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 15 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kestelboim struck 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Mariano Kestelboim was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 83% (15/18) of his 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Argentine broke Balestrieri 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).
Kestelboim has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (308-197). 27-17 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kestelboim has an overall 278-176 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Kestelboim’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Punta del Este and M25 Lujan.
Mariano has an overall 27-17 win-loss record in 2025, 27-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cordenons Challenger
The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.
Michael Vrbensky
17 - 20win/loss
636
277
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-31 | 4-4 | 19-20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-27 | 4-4 | 32-18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 58-28 | 11-6 | 44-21 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-27 | 7-3 | 37-16 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 17-24 | 2-1 | 14-21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 497, the Czech got to the qualifications after beating Maxime Janvier 7-5 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Janvier (7-5 6-2). During the match Vrbensky scored 78 points vs Janvier’s 65. Vrbensky was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Vrbensky blasted 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Michael Vrbensky lost the serve once and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Vrbensky put 54% of his first serves in, winning 67% (30/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (22/39) on the 2nd serve. Michael broke Janvier 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
The Czech’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Opatija.
The Czech has a compiled 17-20 win-loss record in 2025, 16-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kestelboim | Vrbensky |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 13 | 20 |
| Pts | 49-19 | 78-65 |
| Total Points | 68 | 143 |
| Winners | 15 | 30 |
| %Winners | 31% | 38% |
Both Kestelboim and Vrbensky played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kestelboim and Vrbensky have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Kestelboim played 7 games less than Vrbensky. Kestelboim scored 15 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Vrbensky blasted 30 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kestelboim | Vrbensky |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 18/37 | 45/84 |
| %1st in | 49% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 15/18 | 30/45 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 22/39 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 56% |
Kestelboim struck 3 aces . Vrbensky struck 4 aces . Kestelboim won 83% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Vrbensky won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kestelboim | Vrbensky |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/7 | 4/9 |
| % Converted | 86% | 44% |
| Conceded | 1 | 11 |
| Saved | 0 | 10 |
| % Saved | 0% | 91% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Kestelboim broke his opponent 6 times with a 86% conversion rate. Mariano lost his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Michael broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Michael conceded his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kestelboim | |||
| Q1 Balestrieri | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |
| pts | 49-19 | 49-19 | |
| Total points | 68 | 68 | |
| Winners | 15 | 15 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 18/37 | 18/37 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 15/18 | 15/18 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 10/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 6/7 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 86% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Vrbensky | |||
| Q1 Janvier | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 78-65 | 78-65 | |
| Total points | 143 | 143 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 45/84 | 45/84 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 30/45 | 30/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/39 | 22/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 10/11 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 91% | 91% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Nicolas KickerKicker – Andrea GuerrieriGuerrieri (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco – Dusan LajovicLajovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano KestelboimKestelboim – Michael VrbenskyVrbensky (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zdenek KolarKolar – Eric VanshelboimVanshelboim (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Oleg PrihodkoPrihodko – Stefano TravagliaTravaglia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Zsombor PirosPiros (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Santiago Fa Rodriguez TavernaFa Rodriguez Taverna – Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Cedrik-Marcel StebeStebe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ryan NijboerNijboer – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Max Alcala GurriAlcala Gurri – Dominik KellovskyKellovsky (1-0) – H2H and prediction