Zachary Svajda and Bernard Tomic will clash against each other in the final of the Lexington Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Zachary Svajda who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Zachary Svajda is the pick to win this match.
Zachary Svajda -> 1.23
Bernard Tomic -> 3.82

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Prediction and head to head Zachary Svajda vs. Bernard Tomic

This will be the 2^nd time that Zachary Svajda and Bernard Tomic fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Svajda (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Svajda won 7-5 6-1 in the qualifications in Washington back in July 2025.

Zachary Svajda

Ranked no. 148, Zachary got to the final after beating Alex Rybakov 6-2 7-6(10), Ryuki Matsuda 6-1 6-0

, Nishesh Basavareddy 1-6 7-5 6-4 and Yu Hsiou Hsu 6-1 6-3.

In the semifinal, Svajda had a good straight sets win against Hsiou Hsu (6-1 6-3). During the match, Svajda scored 55 points vs Hsiou Hsu’s 34. Svajda was extremely aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Talking about the service games, Svajda managed to score 5 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Zachary Svajda was very effective on serve to win 83% (19/23) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Hsiou Hsu 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Svajda has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Svajda has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 57% of his matches (188-140). 13-12 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Svajda has a composed134-84 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Newport Challenger where he defeated Adrian Mannarino in the final 7-5 6-3.

Zachary has an aggregate 28-18 win-loss record in 2025, 13-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lexington Challenger

Bernard Tomic

Ranked no. 211, Tomic reached the final after defeating Samir Banerjee 6-4 6-4, Nicolas Mejia 7-6(4) 6-3, Giles Hussey 7-6(5) 6-3 and Eliot Spizzirri 6-3 2-6 7-6(3).

In the semifinal, Bernard defeated Spizzirri (6-3 2-6 7-6³). During the match Tomic scored 110 points vs Spizzirri’s 106. Tomic was pretty aggressive to blast 46 winners.

About the serving games, Tomic struck 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Bernard Tomic lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Tomic put 65% of his first serves in, winning 65% (46/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (19/38) on the 2nd serve. Tomic broke Spizzirri 3 times after converting 18% of his break points (3/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bernard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Tomic’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Nottingham and the Lexington Challenger.

Bernard has an overall 26-21 win-loss record in 2025, 15-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lexington Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Svajda	Tomic
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	9
Tot Games	79	94
Pts	280-210	333-294
Total Points	490	627
Winners	107	129
%Winners	38%	39%

Both Svajda and Tomic played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Zachary Svajda dropped 1 set, while Bernard Tomic dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Svajda and Tomic have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Svajda played 15 games less than Tomic. Zachary scored 107 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian struck 129 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Svajda	Tomic
Aces	30	25
Avg per match	7.5	6.3
1st in	134/238	184/306
%1st in	56%	60%
1st pts	107/134	129/184
%1st pts	80%	70%
2nd pts	59/104	74/122
%2nd pts	57%	61%

Svajda struck 30 aces (7.5 per match). Tomic recorded 25 aces (6.3 per match). Svajda won 80% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Tomic won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Svajda	Tomic
Won	15	10
Converted	15/28	10/40
% Converted	54%	25%
Conceded	21	17
Saved	16	11
% Saved	76%	65%
Times Broken	5	6

Zachary broke his opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. Svajda conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 10 times with a 25% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

Svajda
	R1 Rybakov	R2 Matsuda	1/4 Basavareddy	1/2 Hsiou	Total
Score	6-2 7-610	6-1 6-0	1-6 7-5 6-4	6-1 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	21	13	29	16	79
pts	81-63	58-30	86-83	55-34	280-210
Total points	144	88	169	89	490
Winners	33	22	33	19	107
%Winners	41%	38%	38%	35%	38%
SERVE
Aces	13	5	7	5	30
Double Faults	0	4	3	0	7
1st in	39/64	24/42	48/89	23/43	134/238
% 1st in	61%	57%	54%	53%	56%
1st pts	33/39	22/24	33/48	19/23	107/134
% 1st pts	85%	92%	69%	83%	80%
2nd pts	18/25	8/18	22/41	11/20	59/104
% 2nd pts	72%	44%	54%	55%	57%
Breaks
Won	2	5	3	5	15
Converted	2/8	5/7	3/5	5/8	15/28
Converted %	25%	71%	60%	63%	54%
Conceded	3	1	14	3	21
Saved	3/3	1/1	10/14	2/3	16
Saved %	100%	100%	71%	67%	85%
Times Broken	0	0	4	1	5

Tomic
	R1 Banerjee	R2 Mejia	1/4 Hussey	1/2 Spizzirri	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	7-64 6-3	7-65 6-3	6-3 2-6 7-63
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	20	22	22	30	94
pts	65-52	81-70	77-66	110-106	333-294
Total points	117	151	143	216	627
Winners	20	34	29	46	129
%Winners	31%	42%	38%	42%	39%
SERVE
Aces	3	10	4	8	25
Double Faults	3	0	0	3	6
1st in	26/52	45/74	42/71	71/109	184/306
% 1st in	50%	61%	59%	65%	60%
1st pts	20/26	34/45	29/42	46/71	129/184
% 1st pts	77%	76%	69%	65%	70%
2nd pts	18/26	17/29	20/29	19/38	74/122
% 2nd pts	69%	59%	69%	50%	61%
Breaks
Won	3	2	2	3	10
Converted	3/12	2/7	2/4	3/17	10/40
Converted %	25%	29%	50%	18%	25%
Conceded	1	3	2	11	17
Saved	0/1	2/3	2/2	7/11	11
Saved %	0%	67%	100%	64%	58%
Times Broken	1	1	0	4	6

Upcoming matches in the draw