Andrey Rublev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will fight against each other in the 4^th round of the National Bank Open for the 7^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 1.81
Andrey Rublev -> 2

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

This will be the 7^th time that Andrey Rublev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina square off. The head to head is 5-1 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Davidovich Fokina won 7-5 6-4 in the 2^nd round in Barcelona back in April 2025.

Highlights Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Andrey Rublev – Barcelona 17-April-2025

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 11, Andrey reached the 4^th round after beating Hugo Gaston 6-2 6-3 and Lorenzo Sonego 5-7 6-4 6-3.

In the 3^rd round against Sonego, Andrey recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-3). During the match, Rublev scored 103 points vs Sonego’s 93. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 51 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rublev blasted 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 67% of his first serves in, winning 88% (51/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 32% (9/28) on the 2nd serve. Andrey broke Sonego 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Andrey has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.

Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (430-239). 9-7 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rublev has a compiled 182-95 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Doha where he overcame Jack Draper in the final 7-5 5-7 6-1.

Andrey has a composed 25-17 win-loss record in 2025, 9-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Ranked no. 19 (career-high), Alejandro got to the 4^th round after defeating Corentin Moutet 6-4 6-3 and Jakub Mensik 6-2 6-4.

In the 3^rd round, Alejandro had a good straight sets win against Mensik (6-2 6-4). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 62 points vs Mensik’s 43. Davidovich Fokina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 17 winners.

Talking about serving, Davidovich Fokina struck 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Davidovich Fokina put 52% of his first serves in, winning 68% (17/25) of the points behind his 1st serve and 74% (17/23) on the 2nd serve. Davidovich Fokina was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Mensik 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Davidovich Fokina hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

The Spaniard’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Delray Beach, Acapulco and Washington.

The Spaniard has a composed 34-18 win-loss record in 2025, 19-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rublev	Davidovich Fokina
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	4
Tot Games	48	37
Pts	170-144	126-95
Total Points	314	221
Winners	78	45
%Winners	46%	36%

Both Rublev and Davidovich Fokina played 2 matches. At the moment, Andrey Rublev dropped 1 set while Alejandro Davidovich Fokina hasn’t conceded a set so far. Rublev has played 1 set more than Davidovich Fokina (5 vs 4). Therefore, Rublev played 11 games more than Davidovich Fokina. Andrey scored 78 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Alejandro scored 45 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rublev	Davidovich Fokina
Aces	12	6
Avg per match	6	3
1st in	93/150	63/111
%1st in	62%	57%
1st pts	78/93	45/63
%1st pts	84%	71%
2nd pts	22/57	26/48
%2nd pts	39%	54%

Rublev struck 12 aces (6 per match). Davidovich Fokina scored 6 aces (3 per match). Rublev won 84% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 39% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rublev	Davidovich Fokina
Won	8	9
Converted	8/16	9/10
% Converted	50%	90%
Conceded	9	13
Saved	6	10
% Saved	67%	77%
Times Broken	3	3

The Russian broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 9 times with a 90% conversion rate. Davidovich Fokina conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.

Rublev
	R2 Gaston	R3 Sonego	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	5-7 6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	17	31	48
pts	67-51	103-93	170-144
Total points	118	196	314
Winners	27	51	78
%Winners	40%	50%	46%
SERVE
Aces	6	6	12
Double Faults	6	2	8
1st in	35/64	58/86	93/150
% 1st in	55%	67%	62%
1st pts	27/35	51/58	78/93
% 1st pts	77%	88%	84%
2nd pts	13/29	9/28	22/57
% 2nd pts	45%	32%	39%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/6	4/10	8/16
Converted %	67%	40%	50%
Conceded	5	4	9
Saved	4/5	2/4	6
Saved %	80%	50%	65%
Times Broken	1	2	3

Davidovich Fokina
	R2 Moutet	R3 Mensik	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	18	37
pts	64-52	62-43	126-95
Total points	116	105	221
Winners	28	17	45
%Winners	44%	27%	36%
SERVE
Aces	4	2	6
Double Faults	3	1	4
1st in	38/63	25/48	63/111
% 1st in	60%	52%	57%
1st pts	28/38	17/25	45/63
% 1st pts	74%	68%	71%
2nd pts	9/25	17/23	26/48
% 2nd pts	36%	74%	54%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/6	4/4	9/10
Converted %	83%	100%	90%
Conceded	10	3	13
Saved	8/10	2/3	10
Saved %	80%	67%	74%
Times Broken	2	1	3

Tennis Scores in Toronto

• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Learner TienTien (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alexander ZverevZverev – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (5-1) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – (2-1) – H2H and prediction