Francesco Maestrelli and Moez Echargui will clash against each other in the final of the Porto Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on EUPAGO. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Maestrelli who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Francesco Maestrelli is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Maestrelli -> 1.64
Moez Echargui -> 2.15

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Prediction and head to head Francesco Maestrelli vs. Moez Echargui

There is no head to head record between Francesco Maestrelli and Moez Echargui since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Francesco Maestrelli

Ranked no. 178, the Italian reached the final after defeating Tiago Torres 4-6 7-6(2) 6-3, George Loffhagen 6-3 6-2, Antoine Escoffier 6-2 6-4 and Alejandro Moro Canas 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Moro Canas (6-4 6-4). During the match, Maestrelli scored 76 points vs Moro Canas’s 61. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Maestrelli managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Francesco Maestrelli lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Maestrelli put 65% of his first serves in, winning 70% (35/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the 2nd serve. Francesco broke Moro Canas 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Francesco has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Maestrelli has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 55% of his matches (179-146). 7-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Maestrelli has a composed43-31 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Francavilla Challenger where he defeated Valentin Vacherot in the final 6-4 6-4 and the Brasov Challenger where he beat Luka Pavlovic in the final 7-6(7) 6-4.

The Italian has a composed 30-18 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Porto Challenger

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Moez Echargui

Ranked no. 312, the Tunisian reached the final after beating Thomas Braithwaite 6-2 6-2, Diogo Marques 6-1 6-4, Khumoun Sultanov 6-7(3) 6-4 6-4, Frederico Ferreira Silva 6-3 6-3, Edas Butvilas 4-6 6-3 6-3 and Hugo Grenier 7-6(6) 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Tunisian had a good straight sets win against Grenier (7-6⁶

6-4). During the match Echargui scored 82 points vs Grenier’s 74. Moez was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Echargui managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Moez Echargui was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (32/42) of his 1st serve and 52% (23/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Tunisian broke Grenier 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Tunisian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Moez’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Monastir and M25 Monastir.

Echargui has a compiled 50-14 win-loss record in 2025, 46-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Maestrelli	Echargui
Match played	4	6
Tot Set	9	14
Tot Games	87	135
Pts	302-239	459-380
Total Points	541	839
Winners	119	164
%Winners	39%	36%

Maestrelli played 4 matches while Echargui competed in 6 matches. Echargui started his run from the qualifications while Maestrelli had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Francesco Maestrelli lost 1 set, while Moez Echargui lost 2 sets. Maestrelli has played 5 set(s) less than Echargui (9 vs 14). Therefore, Maestrelli played 48 games less than Echargui. Maestrelli scored 119 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Tunisian managed to score 164 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Maestrelli	Echargui
Aces	31	31
Avg per match	7.8	5.2
1st in	151/263	227/429
%1st in	57%	53%
1st pts	119/151	164/227
%1st pts	79%	72%
2nd pts	63/112	109/202
%2nd pts	56%	54%

Maestrelli made 31 aces (7.8 per match). Echargui recorded 31 aces (5.2 per match). Maestrelli won 79% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Echargui won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Maestrelli	Echargui
Won	15	28
Converted	15/33	28/53
% Converted	45%	53%
Conceded	16	37
Saved	10	24
% Saved	63%	65%
Times Broken	6	13

Maestrelli broke his opponents 15 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Moez broke his opponents 28 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Tunisian conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

Maestrelli
	R1 Torres	R2 Loffhagen	1/4 Escoffier	1/2 Moro	Total
Score	4-6 7-62 6-3	6-3 6-2	6-2 6-4	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	2	2	9
Tot Games	32	17	18	20	87
pts	94-83	63-41	69-54	76-61	302-239
Total points	177	104	123	137	541
Winners	40	24	20	35	119
%Winners	43%	38%	29%	46%	39%
SERVE
Aces	12	4	5	10	31
Double Faults	1	3	6	2	12
1st in	51/89	26/47	24/50	50/77	151/263
% 1st in	57%	55%	48%	65%	57%
1st pts	40/51	24/26	20/24	35/50	119/151
% 1st pts	78%	92%	83%	70%	79%
2nd pts	20/38	13/21	14/26	16/27	63/112
% 2nd pts	53%	62%	54%	59%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	3	4	3	15
Converted	5/10	3/5	4/14	3/4	15/33
Converted %	50%	60%	29%	75%	45%
Conceded	6	2	1	7	16
Saved	2/6	2/2	0/1	6/7	10
Saved %	33%	100%	0%	86%	55%
Times Broken	4	0	1	1	6

Echargui
	Q1 Braithwaite	Q3 Marques	R1 Sultanov	R2 Ferreira Silva	1/4 Butvilas	1/2 Grenier	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	6-1 6-4	6-73 6-4 6-4	6-3 6-3	4-6 6-3 6-3	7-66 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	3	2	14
Tot Games	16	17	33	18	28	23	135
pts	64-42	61-40	101-91	59-51	92-82	82-74	459-380
Total points	106	101	192	110	174	156	839
Winners	19	25	40	18	30	32	164
%Winners	30%	41%	40%	31%	33%	39%	36%
SERVE
Aces	5	7	7	5	3	4	31
Double Faults	4	3	7	2	2	5	23
1st in	25/50	30/53	55/97	28/56	47/87	42/86	227/429
% 1st in	50%	57%	57%	50%	54%	49%	53%
1st pts	19/25	25/30	40/55	18/28	30/47	32/42	164/227
% 1st pts	76%	83%	73%	64%	64%	76%	72%
2nd pts	15/25	12/23	22/42	13/28	24/40	23/44	109/202
% 2nd pts	60%	52%	52%	46%	60%	52%	54%
Breaks
Won	5	4	5	6	5	3	28
Converted	5/13	4/9	5/9	6/9	5/9	3/4	28/53
Converted %	38%	44%	56%	67%	56%	75%	53%
Conceded	4	6	6	6	8	7	37
Saved	3/4	5/6	3/6	3/6	5/8	5/7	24
Saved %	75%	83%	50%	50%	63%	71%	98%
Times Broken	1	1	3	3	3	2	13

Tennis Scores in Porto Challenger

• George Goldhoff/Ray HoGoldhoff/Ray Ho – Nicolas Barrientos/Joran VliegenBarrientos/Joran Vliegen (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Moez EcharguiEchargui – Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction