Eliot Spizzirri and Bernard Tomic will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Lexington Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Eliot Spizzirri who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Eliot Spizzirri is the pick to win this match.
Eliot Spizzirri -> 1.4
Bernard Tomic -> 2.77

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Prediction and head to head Eliot Spizzirri vs. Bernard Tomic

This will be the 3^rd time that Eliot Spizzirri and Bernard Tomic clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Spizzirri and Tomic (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Tomic won 7-5 6-7(3) 6-4 in the 2^nd round in the Las Vegas Challenger back in 2024.

Eliot Spizzirri

Ranked no. 124, Eliot got to the semifinal after beating Stefan Dostanic 6-3 6-2, Rei Sakamoto 7-6(5) 6-7(7) 4-3 ret. and Dhakshineswar Suresh 7-6(4) 6-4.

In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Suresh (7-6⁴ 6-4). During the match, Spizzirri scored 79 points vs Suresh’s 70. Eliot was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about the service games, Spizzirri managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Eliot Spizzirri was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (38/47) of his 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Spizzirri broke Suresh once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Spizzirri hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Spizzirri has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 61% of his matches (99-62). 19-9 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Spizzirri has an aggregate69-36 record in the last 5 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the San Diego Challenger where he overcame Mackenzie Mcdonald in the final 6-4 2-6 6-4.

The American has a compiled 35-22 win-loss record in 2025, 19-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lexington Challenger

Bernard Tomic

Ranked no. 211, Tomic got to the semifinal after defeating Samir Banerjee 6-4 6-4, Nicolas Mejia 7-6(4) 6-3 and Giles Hussey 7-6(5) 6-3.

In the quarter, Bernard had a good straight sets win against Hussey (7-6⁵ 6-3). During the match Tomic scored 77 points vs Hussey’s 66. Tomic was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Tomic fired 4 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Bernard Tomic conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Tomic put 59% of his first serves in, winning 69% (29/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (20/29) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Hussey twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The Australian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Nottingham.

Tomic has a compiled 25-21 win-loss record in 2025, 14-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lexington Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Spizzirri	Tomic
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	8	6
Tot Games	73	64
Pts	265-228	223-188
Total Points	493	411
Winners	118	83
%Winners	45%	37%

Both Spizzirri and Tomic played 3 matches. At the moment, Eliot Spizzirri conceded 1 set while Bernard Tomic hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Spizzirri has played 2 sets more than Tomic (8 vs 6). Therefore, Spizzirri played 9 games more than Tomic. Eliot scored 118 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian struck 83 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Spizzirri	Tomic
Aces	17	17
Avg per match	5.7	5.7
1st in	159/235	113/197
%1st in	68%	57%
1st pts	118/159	83/113
%1st pts	74%	73%
2nd pts	47/76	55/84
%2nd pts	62%	65%

Spizzirri made 17 aces (5.7 per match). Tomic fired 17 aces (5.7 per match). Spizzirri won 74% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Tomic won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Spizzirri	Tomic
Won	8	7
Converted	8/22	7/23
% Converted	36%	30%
Conceded	11	6
Saved	7	4
% Saved	64%	67%
Times Broken	4	2

Spizzirri broke his opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. Spizzirri conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 7 times with a 30% conversion rate. Tomic conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Spizzirri
	R1 Dostanic	R2 Sakamoto	1/4 Suresh	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	7-65 6-77 4-3 ret.	7-64 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	17	33	23	73
pts	77-56	109-102	79-70	265-228
Total points	133	211	149	493
Winners	30	50	38	118
%Winners	39%	46%	48%	45%
SERVE
Aces	5	5	7	17
Double Faults	0	4	1	5
1st in	43/53	69/113	47/69	159/235
% 1st in	81%	61%	68%	68%
1st pts	30/43	50/69	38/47	118/159
% 1st pts	70%	72%	81%	74%
2nd pts	5/10	27/44	15/22	47/76
% 2nd pts	50%	61%	68%	62%
Breaks
Won	5	2	1	8
Converted	5/14	2/4	1/4	8/22
Converted %	36%	50%	25%	36%
Conceded	3	7	1	11
Saved	1/3	5/7	1/1	7
Saved %	33%	71%	100%	68%
Times Broken	2	2	0	4

Tomic
	R1 Banerjee	R2 Mejia	1/4 Hussey	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	7-64 6-3	7-65 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	20	22	22	64
pts	65-52	81-70	77-66	223-188
Total points	117	151	143	411
Winners	20	34	29	83
%Winners	31%	42%	38%	37%
SERVE
Aces	3	10	4	17
Double Faults	3	0	0	3
1st in	26/52	45/74	42/71	113/197
% 1st in	50%	61%	59%	57%
1st pts	20/26	34/45	29/42	83/113
% 1st pts	77%	76%	69%	73%
2nd pts	18/26	17/29	20/29	55/84
% 2nd pts	69%	59%	69%	65%
Breaks
Won	3	2	2	7
Converted	3/12	2/7	2/4	7/23
Converted %	25%	29%	50%	30%
Conceded	1	3	2	6
Saved	0/1	2/3	2/2	4
Saved %	0%	67%	100%	56%
Times Broken	1	1	0	2

Tennis Scores in Lexington Challenger

• Anirudh Chandrasekar/Ramkumar RamanathanChandrasekar/Ramkumar Ramanathan – Pranav Kumar/Kody PearsonKumar/Kody Pearson (7-6³ 4-6 10-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Bernard TomicTomic – (1-1) – H2H and prediction