Elena Rybakina and Dayana Yastremska will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Omnium Banque Nationale for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.3
Dayana Yastremska -> 3.52

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Dayana Yastremska

This will be the 2nd time that Elena Rybakina and Dayana Yastremska face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Rybakina won 6-3 6-4 in the 3rd round in at the Australian Open back in January 2025.

Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Dayana Yastremska – Australian Open 18-January-2025

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina

35 - 14win/loss

Hard
19-8
I Hard
2-0
Clay
9-3
Grass
5-3
Rank
5
High
3
WWWWWWWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 59-19 37-13 9-3 8-0 5-3 0-0
2024 43-11 23-5 12-2 2-2 6-2 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 12, the Kazakhstani got to the 4th round after beating Hailey Baptiste 6-4 6-3 and Jaqueline Cristian 6-0 7-6(5).

In the 3rd round, Elena had a good straight sets win against Cristian (6-0 7-65). During the match, Rybakina scored 72 points vs Cristian’s 48. The Kazakhstani was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rybakina managed to score 8 aces and she was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Elena Rybakina was pretty efficient on serve to win 89% (25/28) of her 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Rybakina broke Cristian 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Kazakhstani hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 59% of the points she played.

Rybakina has a terrific record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (360-155). 19-8 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has a composed 168-78 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Strasbourg where she beat Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1.

The Kazakhstani has a composed 35-14 win-loss record in 2025, 19-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Montreal
Rybakina's Record

Dayana Yastremska

Dayana Yastremska

30 - 16win/loss

Hard
10-7
I Hard
4-1
Clay
8-5
Grass
8-3
Rank
27
High
21
LLWLLLWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-22 12-13 8-5 4-1 8-3 0-0
2024 22-22 12-12 5-5 2-2 3-3 0-0
2023 39-29 19-13 12-9 5-4 3-3 0-0
2022 21-25 7-11 5-4 7-6 2-4 0-0
2021 7-12 3-8 2-1 2-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 35, Yastremska reached the 4th round after defeating Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 3-6 7-6(5) 6-2 and Emma Navarro 7-5 6-4.

In the 3rd round, Yastremska had a good straight sets win against Navarro (7-5 6-4). During the match Yastremska scored 80 points vs Navarro’s 70. The Ukrainian was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Yastremska recorded 6 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Dayana Yastremska lost the serve 3 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Yastremska put 57% of her first serves in, winning 72% (34/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (15/35) on the 2nd serve. Dayana broke Navarro 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Dayana has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

Dayana’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Linz and Nottingham.

Yastremska has a compiled 30-16 win-loss record in 2025, 10-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See her history.

Montreal
Yastremska's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Rybakina
D.Yastremska
2h:35
2h:35
Time on court​
!
4h:04
4h:04
1h:23
1h:23
Last match​
1h:42
1h:42
2
2
Match played
2
2
38
38
Games Played​
52
52
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
133
133
Total points​
188
188
66.5
66.5
Avg point​
94
94
52
52
Winners
73
73
26
26
Avg Winners​
36.5
36.5
39%
39%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
19
19
Aces
9
9
9.5
9.5
Avg Aces
4.5
4.5
3
3
Double Faults
10
10
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
5
5
52/60
52/60
1st won total​
73/110
73/110
!
87%
87%
1st won %
66%
66%
31/49
31/49
2nd won total​
39/86
39/86
!
63%
63%
2nd won %
45%
45%
-- Break Points --
5/9
5/9
BP won
11/20
11/20
2.5/4.5
2.5/4.5
Avg BP won
5.5/10
5.5/10
!
56%
56%
Won
!
55%
55%
4
4
Conceded
28
28
2
2
Avg Conceded
14
14
0
0
Broken
9
9
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
4.5
4.5
4
4
Saved
19
19
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rybakina Yastremska
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 38 52
Pts 133-93 188-173
Total Points 226 361
Winners 52 73
%Winners 39% 39%

Both Rybakina and Yastremska played 2 matches. At the moment, Dayana Yastremska lost 1 set while Elena Rybakina hasn’t lost a set so far. Rybakina has played 1 set(s) less than Yastremska (4 vs 5). Therefore, Rybakina played 14 games less than Yastremska. Elena scored 52 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Dayana fired 73 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rybakina Yastremska
Aces 19 9
Avg per match 9.5 4.5
1st in 60/109 110/196
%1st in 55% 56%
1st pts 52/60 73/110
%1st pts 87% 66%
2nd pts 31/49 39/86
%2nd pts 63% 45%

Rybakina bagged 19 aces (9.5 per match). Yastremska struck 9 aces (4.5 per match). Rybakina won 87% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Yastremska won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rybakina Yastremska
Won 5 11
Converted 5/9 11/20
% Converted 56% 55%
Conceded 4 28
Saved 4 19
% Saved 100% 68%
Times Broken 0 9

The Kazakhstani broke her opponents 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani pretty solid on her serve as she has never surrendered a single service game after saving 4 break points. The Ukrainian broke her opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
R2
Baptiste		 R3
Cristian		 Total
Score 6-4 6-3 6-0 7-65
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 19 38
pts 61-45 72-48 133-93
Total points 106 120 226
Winners 27 25 52
%Winners 44% 35% 39%
SERVE
Aces 11 8 19
Double Faults 3 0 3
1st in 32/58 28/51 60/109
% 1st in 55% 55% 55%
1st pts 27/32 25/28 52/60
% 1st pts 84% 89% 87%
2nd pts 16/26 15/23 31/49
% 2nd pts 62% 65% 63%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/2 3/7 5/9
Converted % 100% 43% 56%
Conceded 3 1 4
Saved 3/3 1/1 4
Saved % 100% 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0 0
Yastremska
R2
Camila Osorio Serrano		 R3
Navarro		 Total
Score 3-6 7-65 6-2 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 30 22 52
pts 108-103 80-70 188-173
Total points 211 150 361
Winners 39 34 73
%Winners 36% 43% 39%
SERVE
Aces 3 6 9
Double Faults 6 4 10
1st in 63/114 47/82 110/196
% 1st in 55% 57% 56%
1st pts 39/63 34/47 73/110
% 1st pts 62% 72% 66%
2nd pts 24/51 15/35 39/86
% 2nd pts 47% 43% 45%
Breaks
Won 6 5 11
Converted 6/11 5/9 11/20
Converted % 55% 56% 55%
Conceded 16 12 28
Saved 10/16 9/12 19
Saved % 63% 75% 69%
Times Broken 6 3 9

Tennis Scores in Montreal

Upcoming matches in the draw

Rybakina
More Stats
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Yastremska

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