Francesco Maestrelli and Alejandro Moro Canas will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Porto Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on EUPAGO. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Maestrelli who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Francesco Maestrelli is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Maestrelli -> 1.86
Alejandro Moro Canas -> 1.86

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Prediction and head to head Francesco Maestrelli vs. Alejandro Moro Canas

This will be the 3^rd time that Francesco Maestrelli and Alejandro Moro Canas clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Maestrelli won 6-4 6-4 in the 2^nd round in the Sassuolo Challenger back in June 2025.

Francesco Maestrelli

Ranked no. 178, Maestrelli got to the semifinal after beating Tiago Torres 4-6 7-6(2) 6-3, George Loffhagen 6-3 6-2 and Antoine Escoffier 6-2 6-4.

In the quarter, Maestrelli had a good straight sets win against Escoffier (6-2 6-4). During the match, Maestrelli scored 69 points vs Escoffier’s 54. Maestrelli was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about the service games, Maestrelli scored 5 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Francesco Maestrelli was pretty efficient on serve to win 83% (20/24) of his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Escoffier 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.

Maestrelli has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 55% of his matches (178-146). 6-3 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Maestrelli has a composed42-31 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Francavilla Challenger where he overcame Valentin Vacherot in the final 6-4 6-4 and the Brasov Challenger where he beat Luka Pavlovic in the final 7-6(7) 6-4.

Maestrelli has an overall 29-18 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Porto Challenger

Maestrelli has never competed in this tournament before.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Ranked no. 257, Alejandro reached the semifinal after defeating Jie Cui 6-4 7-6(3), Martin Landaluce 4-6 7-6(4) 6-3 and Henrique Rocha 6-3 6-2.

In the quarter, Moro had a good straight sets win against Rocha (6-3 6-2). During the match Moro scored 60 points vs Rocha’s 47. Moro was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, Moro managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alejandro Moro Canas conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Moro put 67% of his first serves in, winning 79% (31/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. Alejandro broke Rocha 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Moro’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.

Moro has a compiled 19-22 win-loss record in 2025, 13-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Porto Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2024. See his history

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Maestrelli	Moro
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	7
Tot Games	67	72
Pts	226-178	269-242
Total Points	404	511
Winners	84	116
%Winners	37%	43%

Both Maestrelli and Moro played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Francesco Maestrelli lost 1 set, while Alejandro Moro Canas lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Maestrelli and Moro have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Maestrelli played 5 games less than Moro. Maestrelli scored 84 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Moro recorded 116 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Maestrelli	Moro
Aces	21	14
Avg per match	7	4.7
1st in	101/186	163/253
%1st in	54%	64%
1st pts	84/101	116/163
%1st pts	83%	71%
2nd pts	47/85	45/90
%2nd pts	55%	50%

Maestrelli made 21 aces (7 per match). Moro struck 14 aces (4.7 per match). Maestrelli won 83% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Moro won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Maestrelli	Moro
Won	12	10
Converted	12/29	10/26
% Converted	41%	38%
Conceded	9	30
Saved	4	25
% Saved	44%	83%
Times Broken	5	5

Francesco broke his opponents 12 times with a 41% conversion rate. Francesco conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. Moro broke his opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. Alejandro conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.

Maestrelli
	R1 Torres	R2 Loffhagen	1/4 Escoffier	Total
Score	4-6 7-62 6-3	6-3 6-2	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	32	17	18	67
pts	94-83	63-41	69-54	226-178
Total points	177	104	123	404
Winners	40	24	20	84
%Winners	43%	38%	29%	37%
SERVE
Aces	12	4	5	21
Double Faults	1	3	6	10
1st in	51/89	26/47	24/50	101/186
% 1st in	57%	55%	48%	54%
1st pts	40/51	24/26	20/24	84/101
% 1st pts	78%	92%	83%	83%
2nd pts	20/38	13/21	14/26	47/85
% 2nd pts	53%	62%	54%	55%
Breaks
Won	5	3	4	12
Converted	5/10	3/5	4/14	12/29
Converted %	50%	60%	29%	41%
Conceded	6	2	1	9
Saved	2/6	2/2	0/1	4
Saved %	33%	100%	0%	44%
Times Broken	4	0	1	5

Moro
	R1 Cui	R2 Landaluce	1/4 Rocha	Total
Score	6-4 7-63	4-6 7-64 6-3	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	23	32	17	72
pts	83-71	126-124	60-47	269-242
Total points	154	250	107	511
Winners	31	54	31	116
%Winners	37%	43%	52%	43%
SERVE
Aces	3	8	3	14
Double Faults	2	8	1	11
1st in	39/66	85/129	39/58	163/253
% 1st in	59%	66%	67%	64%
1st pts	31/39	54/85	31/39	116/163
% 1st pts	79%	64%	79%	71%
2nd pts	15/27	21/44	9/19	45/90
% 2nd pts	56%	48%	47%	50%
Breaks
Won	3	4	3	10
Converted	3/6	4/12	3/8	10/26
Converted %	50%	33%	38%	38%
Conceded	5	20	5	30
Saved	3/5	17/20	5/5	25
Saved %	60%	85%	100%	82%
Times Broken	2	3	0	5

Tennis Scores in Porto Challenger

• Hugo GrenierGrenier – Elias YmerYmer (3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Moez EcharguiEchargui – Edas ButvilasButvilas (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – Henrique RochaRocha (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Joshua Paris/Marcus WillisParis/Marcus Willis – Mircea-Alexandru Jecan/Bogdan PavelJecan/Bogdan Pavel (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Hugo GrenierGrenier – Elias YmerYmer (3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Moez EcharguiEchargui – Edas ButvilasButvilas (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Hugo GrenierGrenier – Moez EcharguiEchargui (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (1-1) – H2H and prediction