Hugo Grenier and Moez Echargui will play each other in the semifinal of the Porto Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on EUPAGO. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hugo Grenier who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Hugo Grenier is the pick to win this match.
Hugo Grenier -> 1.84
Moez Echargui -> 1.88

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Prediction and head to head Hugo Grenier vs. Moez Echargui

This will be the 3^rd time that Hugo Grenier and Moez Echargui face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Grenier (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Grenier won 6-4 6-4 in the 2^nd round in the Alicante Challenger back in 2023.

Hugo Grenier

Ranked no. 192, the French player reached the semifinal after beating Pedro Araujo 6-0 7-6(4), Matias Soto 6-3 6-3 and Elias Ymer 3-6 6-1 6-4.

In the quarter against Ymer, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 6-4). During the match, Grenier scored 85 points vs Ymer’s 80. The French player was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Grenier fired 8 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Hugo Grenier lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Grenier put 60% of his first serves in, winning 74% (37/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (15/34) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Ymer 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Grenier has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Grenier has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (363-276). 15-10 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Grenier has a composed 199-102 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The French player best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Morelia Challenger.

Grenier has a compiled 23-23 win-loss record in 2025, 15-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Porto Challenger

Moez Echargui

Ranked no. 312, Echargui reached the semifinal after beating Thomas Braithwaite 6-2 6-2, Diogo Marques 6-1 6-4, Khumoun Sultanov 6-7(3) 6-4 6-4, Frederico Ferreira Silva 6-3 6-3 and Edas Butvilas 4-6 6-3 6-3.

In the quarter against Butvilas, Echargui recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-3). During the match Echargui scored 92 points vs Butvilas’s 82. Moez was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Echargui recorded 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Moez Echargui lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Echargui put 54% of his first serves in, winning 64% (30/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (24/40) on the 2nd serve. Moez broke Butvilas 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Moez started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Echargui’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir and M25 Monastir.

Moez has a compiled 49-14 win-loss record in 2025, 45-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Grenier	Echargui
Match played	3	5
Tot Set	7	12
Tot Games	63	112
Pts	213-173	377-306
Total Points	386	683
Winners	89	132
%Winners	42%	35%

Grenier played 3 matches while Echargui competed in 5 matches. Echargui started his run from the qualifications while Grenier had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Hugo Grenier dropped 1 set, while Moez Echargui surrendered 2 sets. Grenier has played 5 set(s) less than Echargui (7 vs 12). Therefore, Grenier played 49 games less than Echargui. Hugo scored 89 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Moez recorded 132 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Grenier	Echargui
Aces	24	27
Avg per match	8	5.4
1st in	112/198	185/343
%1st in	57%	54%
1st pts	89/112	132/185
%1st pts	79%	71%
2nd pts	40/86	86/158
%2nd pts	47%	54%

Grenier fired 24 aces (8 per match). Echargui struck 27 aces (5.4 per match). Grenier won 79% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Echargui won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Grenier	Echargui
Won	12	25
Converted	12/18	25/49
% Converted	67%	51%
Conceded	9	30
Saved	5	19
% Saved	56%	63%
Times Broken	4	11

The French player broke his opponents 12 times with a 67% conversion rate. Hugo dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Moez broke his opponents 25 times with a 51% conversion rate. Moez conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Grenier
	R1 Araujo	R2 Soto	1/4 Ymer	Total
Score	6-0 7-64	6-3 6-3	3-6 6-1 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	19	18	26	63
pts	65-40	63-53	85-80	213-173
Total points	105	116	165	386
Winners	23	29	37	89
%Winners	35%	46%	44%	42%
SERVE
Aces	8	8	8	24
Double Faults	5	8	11	24
1st in	28/54	34/60	50/84	112/198
% 1st in	52%	57%	60%	57%
1st pts	23/28	29/34	37/50	89/112
% 1st pts	82%	85%	74%	79%
2nd pts	16/26	9/26	15/34	40/86
% 2nd pts	62%	35%	44%	47%
Breaks
Won	4	4	4	12
Converted	4/4	4/8	4/6	12/18
Converted %	100%	50%	67%	67%
Conceded	1	3	5	9
Saved	0/1	2/3	3/5	5
Saved %	0%	67%	60%	42%
Times Broken	1	1	2	4

Echargui
	Q1 Braithwaite	Q3 Marques	R1 Sultanov	R2 Ferreira Silva	1/4 Butvilas	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	6-1 6-4	6-73 6-4 6-4	6-3 6-3	4-6 6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	3	12
Tot Games	16	17	33	18	28	112
pts	64-42	61-40	101-91	59-51	92-82	377-306
Total points	106	101	192	110	174	683
Winners	19	25	40	18	30	132
%Winners	30%	41%	40%	31%	33%	35%
SERVE
Aces	5	7	7	5	3	27
Double Faults	4	3	7	2	2	18
1st in	25/50	30/53	55/97	28/56	47/87	185/343
% 1st in	50%	57%	57%	50%	54%	54%
1st pts	19/25	25/30	40/55	18/28	30/47	132/185
% 1st pts	76%	83%	73%	64%	64%	71%
2nd pts	15/25	12/23	22/42	13/28	24/40	86/158
% 2nd pts	60%	52%	52%	46%	60%	54%
Breaks
Won	5	4	5	6	5	25
Converted	5/13	4/9	5/9	6/9	5/9	25/49
Converted %	38%	44%	56%	67%	56%	51%
Conceded	4	6	6	6	8	30
Saved	3/4	5/6	3/6	3/6	5/8	19
Saved %	75%	83%	50%	50%	63%	107%
Times Broken	1	1	3	3	3	11

Tennis Scores in Porto Challenger

• Hugo GrenierGrenier – Elias YmerYmer (3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Moez EcharguiEchargui – Edas ButvilasButvilas (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – Henrique RochaRocha (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Joshua Paris/Marcus WillisParis/Marcus Willis – Mircea-Alexandru Jecan/Bogdan PavelJecan/Bogdan Pavel (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Hugo GrenierGrenier – Elias YmerYmer (3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Moez EcharguiEchargui – Edas ButvilasButvilas (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Hugo GrenierGrenier – Moez EcharguiEchargui (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (1-1) – H2H and prediction