Madison Keys and Caty McNally will face off in the 3^rd round of the Omnium Banque Nationale for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on ROGERS. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.27
Caty McNally -> 3.76

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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Caty McNally

There is no head to head record between Madison Keys and Caty McNally since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Madison Keys

Ranked no. 8, Madison reached the 3^rd round after beating Laura Siegemund 6-2 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Siegemund (6-2 6-1). During the match, Keys scored 52 points vs Siegemund’s 30. Keys was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Regarding the service games, Keys managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Madison Keys lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 77% of her first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (5/11) on the 2nd serve. Keys was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Siegemund 5 times.

Keys has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (260-133). 20-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Keys has an overall 153-76 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1 and at the Australian Open where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.

The American has an aggregate 33-10 win-loss record in 2025, 20-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Caty McNally

Ranked no. 116, McNally reached the 3^rd round after defeating Alycia Parks 6-4 5-7 7-6(7) and Rebecca Sramkova 6-2 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Caty had a good straight sets win against Sramkova (6-2 6-2). During the match McNally scored 66 points vs Sramkova’s 46. The American was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, McNally scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Caty McNally lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, McNally put 76% of her first serves in, winning 57% (25/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. McNally broke Sramkova 7 times after converting 54% of her break points (7/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

McNally has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title the Newport where she defeated Tatjana Maria in the final 2-6 6-4 6-2 and the W100 Evansville where she defeated Darja Vidmanova in the final 7-5 6-4.

Caty has a compiled 38-13 win-loss record in 2025, 13-4 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Toronto

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Keys	McNally
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	5
Tot Games	15	51
Pts	52-30	179-159
Total Points	82	338
Winners	25	78
%Winners	48%	44%

Keys played 1 match while McNally competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Caty McNally dropped 1 set while Madison Keys hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Keys has played 3 set(s) less than McNally (2 vs 5). Therefore, Keys played 36 games less than McNally. Keys scored 25 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, McNally made 78 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Keys	McNally
Aces	3	7
Avg per match	3	3.5
1st in	36/47	127/177
%1st in	77%	72%
1st pts	25/36	78/127
%1st pts	69%	61%
2nd pts	5/11	22/50
%2nd pts	45%	44%

Keys recorded 3 aces . McNally struck 7 aces (3.5 per match). Keys won 69% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, McNally won 61% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Keys	McNally
Won	5	13
Converted	5/5	13/26
% Converted	100%	50%
Conceded	4	25
Saved	3	16
% Saved	75%	64%
Times Broken	1	9

Madison broke her opponent 5 times with a 100% conversion rate. Keys surrendered her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. McNally broke her opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. McNally conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.

Keys
	R2 Siegemund	Total
Score	6-2 6-1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	15	15
pts	52-30	52-30
Total points	82	82
Winners	25	25
%Winners	48%	48%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	36/47	36/47
% 1st in	77%	77%
1st pts	25/36	25/36
% 1st pts	69%	69%
2nd pts	5/11	5/11
% 2nd pts	45%	45%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/5	5/5
Converted %	100%	100%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	3/4	3
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	1	1

McNally
	R1 Parks	R2 Sramkova	Total
Score	6-4 5-7 7-67	6-2 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	35	16	51
pts	113-113	66-46	179-159
Total points	226	112	338
Winners	53	25	78
%Winners	47%	38%	44%
SERVE
Aces	6	1	7
Double Faults	6	2	8
1st in	83/119	44/58	127/177
% 1st in	70%	76%	72%
1st pts	53/83	25/44	78/127
% 1st pts	64%	57%	61%
2nd pts	15/36	7/14	22/50
% 2nd pts	42%	50%	44%
Breaks
Won	6	7	13
Converted	6/13	7/13	13/26
Converted %	46%	54%	50%
Conceded	19	6	25
Saved	13/19	3/6	16
Saved %	68%	50%	118%
Times Broken	6	3	9

Tennis Scores in Montreal

• Mccartney KesslerKessler – Mirra AndreevaAndreeva (7-6⁵ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (3-6 6-3 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Cori GauffGauff – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (4-6 7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Lin ZhuZhu – Suzan LamensLamens (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ruben BemelmansBemelmans – Yannick MadenMaden (4-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dennis NovakNovak – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (7-6⁴ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-2 2-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy – Ivo KarlovicKarlovic (6-3 6-7⁷ 7-6⁶) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Daniel EvansEvans – Mikael YmerYmer (6-2 2-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Lukas RosolRosol – Tatsuma ItoIto (6-4 6-7⁰ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Go SoedaSoeda – James DuckworthDuckworth (7-6⁴ 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Antoine HoangHoang – Ryan PenistonPeniston (7-6³ 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Jaqueline CristianCristian (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Emma NavarroNavarro (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasija SevastovaSevastova – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Caty McNallyMcNally (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Belinda BencicBencic – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Clara TausonTauson – Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Eva LysLys – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Mccartney KesslerKessler – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-1) – H2H and prediction