Andrey Rublev and Lorenzo Sonego will square off in the 3^rd round of the National Bank Open for the 6^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.35
Lorenzo Sonego -> 3.2

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Lorenzo Sonego

This will be the 6^th time that Andrey Rublev and Lorenzo Sonego face off. The head to head is 3-2 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Rublev won 7-6(3) 7-5 in the 2^nd round in Metz back in 2024.

Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Lorenzo Sonego – Metz 05-November-2024

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 11, the Russian reached the 3^rd round after defeating Hugo Gaston 6-2 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Gaston (6-2 6-3). During the match, Rublev scored 67 points vs Gaston’s 51. Rublev was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rublev managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 55% of his first serves in, winning 77% (27/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (13/29) on the 2nd serve. Rublev broke Gaston 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (429-239). 8-7 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rublev has a compiled 181-95 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Doha where he defeated Jack Draper in the final 7-5 5-7 6-1.

Rublev has an aggregate 24-17 win-loss record in 2025, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Lorenzo Sonego

Ranked no. 38, Sonego got to the 3^rd round after defeating Bu Yunchaokete 6-1 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Sonego had a good straight sets win against Yunchaokete (6-1 6-4). During the match Sonego scored 57 points vs Yunchaokete’s 38. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about serving, Sonego managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Sonego was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (22/28) of his 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sonego was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Yunchaokete 4 times.

Sonego has an aggregate 15-18 win-loss record in 2025, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rublev	Sonego
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	17	17
Pts	67-51	57-38
Total Points	118	95
Winners	27	22
%Winners	40%	39%

Both Rublev and Sonego played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rublev and Sonego have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (17). Andrey scored 27 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian fired 22 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rublev	Sonego
Aces	6	7
Avg per match	6	7
1st in	35/64	28/53
%1st in	55%	53%
1st pts	27/35	22/28
%1st pts	77%	79%
2nd pts	13/29	15/25
%2nd pts	45%	60%

Rublev struck 6 aces . Sonego fired 7 aces . Rublev won 77% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Sonego won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rublev	Sonego
Won	4	4
Converted	4/6	4/4
% Converted	67%	100%
Conceded	5	2
Saved	4	1
% Saved	80%	50%
Times Broken	1	1

Andrey broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Sonego broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Rublev
	R2 Gaston	Total
Score	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	17	17
pts	67-51	67-51
Total points	118	118
Winners	27	27
%Winners	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	6	6
Double Faults	6	6
1st in	35/64	35/64
% 1st in	55%	55%
1st pts	27/35	27/35
% 1st pts	77%	77%
2nd pts	13/29	13/29
% 2nd pts	45%	45%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/6	4/6
Converted %	67%	67%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	4/5	4
Saved %	80%	80%
Times Broken	1	1

Sonego
	R2 Yunchaokete	Total
Score	6-1 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	17	17
pts	57-38	57-38
Total points	95	95
Winners	22	22
%Winners	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	5	5
1st in	28/53	28/53
% 1st in	53%	53%
1st pts	22/28	22/28
% 1st pts	79%	79%
2nd pts	15/25	15/25
% 2nd pts	60%	60%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/4	4/4
Converted %	100%	100%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	1/2	1
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	1	1

Tennis Scores in Toronto

• Learner TienTien – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-6(3) 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (3-6 7-6⁴ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Emilio NavaNava (6-7⁶ 6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Casper RuudRuud – Nuno BorgesBorges (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Casper RuudRuud (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alexandre MullerMuller – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Aleksandar VukicVukic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – (0-4) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-1) – H2H and prediction