Ben Shelton and Brandon Nakashima will face off in the 3rd round of the National Bank Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 9:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ben Shelton who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ben Shelton is the pick to win this match.
Ben Shelton -> 1.39
Brandon Nakashima -> 3

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Prediction and head to head Ben Shelton vs. Brandon Nakashima

This will be the 5th time that Ben Shelton and Brandon Nakashima clash against each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Shelton (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Shelton won 7-6(6) 6-1 in the 4th round in Indian wells back in March 2025.

Highlights Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima – Indian wells 12-March-2025

Ben Shelton

Ben Shelton

27 - 16win/loss

Hard
13-6
I Hard
1-1
Clay
7-5
Grass
6-4
Rank
9
High
5
LLLLWWLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-24 23-9 7-5 4-6 6-4 0-0
2024 42-26 22-13 8-4 8-5 4-4 0-0
2023 28-26 21-13 4-8 1-2 2-3 0-0
2022 40-11 16-9 0-0 24-2 0-0 0-0
2021 18-7 7-3 5-2 6-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 7 (career-high), the American reached the 3rd round after defeating Adrian Mannarino 6-2 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Ben had a good straight sets win against Mannarino (6-2 6-3). During the match, Shelton scored 59 points vs Mannarino’s 39. The American was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, Shelton managed to score 16 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Ben Shelton was pretty efficient on serve to win 90% (28/31) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Shelton broke Mannarino 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Shelton has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 64% of his matches (155-86). 13-6 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Shelton has a composed79-44 match record in the last 5 years on hard.

Shelton’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Munich.

Shelton has a composed 27-16 win-loss record in 2025, 13-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Toronto
Shelton's Record

Brandon Nakashima

Brandon Nakashima

25 - 20win/loss

Hard
13-8
I Hard
0-1
Clay
6-8
Grass
6-3
Rank
33
High
29
LLLWLWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-30 19-14 6-8 2-5 6-3 0-0
2024 61-32 24-12 13-7 15-8 9-5 0-0
2023 21-26 9-15 3-4 8-3 1-4 0-0
2022 41-26 17-13 5-5 9-4 10-4 0-0
2021 45-25 17-10 4-7 20-5 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 32, the American got to the 3rd round after defeating Ethan Quinn 7-6(6) 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Quinn (7-66 6-4). During the match Nakashima scored 84 points vs Quinn’s 78. Brandon was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.

About the serving games, Nakashima scored 13 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Brandon Nakashima was pretty effective on serve to win 80% (36/45) of his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nakashima broke Quinn once after converting 8% of his break points (1/12).

The American’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Acapulco and Houston.

Nakashima has an overall 25-20 win-loss record in 2025, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2024. See his history.

Toronto
Nakashima's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

B.Shelton
B.Nakashima
1h:05
1h:05
Time on court​
!
1h:52
1h:52
1h:05
1h:05
Last match​
1h:52
1h:52
1
1
Match played
1
1
17
17
Games Played​
23
23
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
59
59
Total points​
84
84
59
59
Avg point​
84
84
28
28
Winners
36
36
28
28
Avg Winners​
36
36
47%
47%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
16
16
Aces
13
13
!
16
16
Avg Aces
!
13
13
4
4
Double Faults
0
0
4
4
Avg Double Faults
0
0
28/31
28/31
1st won total​
36/45
36/45
!
90%
90%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
12/19
12/19
2nd won total​
16/25
16/25
!
63%
63%
2nd won %
!
64%
64%
-- Break Points --
3/8
3/8
BP won
1/12
1/12
3/8
3/8
Avg BP won
1/12
1/12
38%
38%
Won
!
8%
8%
2
2
Conceded
2
2
2
2
Avg Conceded
2
2
0
0
Broken
0
0
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
0
0
2
2
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Shelton Nakashima
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 23
Pts 59-39 84-78
Total Points 98 162
Winners 28 36
%Winners 47% 43%

Both Shelton and Nakashima played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Shelton and Nakashima have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Shelton played 6 games less than Nakashima. The American scored 28 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The American managed to score 36 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Shelton Nakashima
Aces 16 13
Avg per match 16 13
1st in 31/50 45/70
%1st in 62% 64%
1st pts 28/31 36/45
%1st pts 90% 80%
2nd pts 12/19 16/25
%2nd pts 63% 64%

Shelton bagged 16 aces . Nakashima scored 13 aces . Shelton won 90% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Shelton Nakashima
Won 3 1
Converted 3/8 1/12
% Converted 38% 8%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2 2
% Saved 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The American very solid his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points. Nakashima broke his opponent once with a 8% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.

Shelton
R2
Mannarino
Total
Score 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 59-39 59-39
Total points 98 98
Winners 28 28
%Winners 47% 47%
SERVE
Aces 16 16
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 31/50 31/50
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 28/31 28/31
% 1st pts 90% 90%
2nd pts 12/19 12/19
% 2nd pts 63% 63%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/8 3/8
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Nakashima
R2
Quinn
Total
Score 7-66 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 23 23
pts 84-78 84-78
Total points 162 162
Winners 36 36
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 13 13
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 45/70 45/70
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 36/45 36/45
% 1st pts 80% 80%
2nd pts 16/25 16/25
% 2nd pts 64% 64%
Breaks
Won 1 1
Converted 1/12 1/12
Converted % 8% 8%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

Tennis Scores in Toronto

Upcoming matches in the draw