Ben Shelton and Brandon Nakashima will face off in the 3rd round of the National Bank Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 9:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ben Shelton who should win in 2 sets.
Ben Shelton -> 1.39
Brandon Nakashima -> 3
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Prediction and head to head Ben Shelton vs. Brandon Nakashima
This will be the 5th time that Ben Shelton and Brandon Nakashima clash against each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Shelton (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Shelton won 7-6(6) 6-1 in the 4th round in Indian wells back in March 2025.
Highlights Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima – Indian wells 12-March-2025
Ben Shelton
27 - 16win/loss
9
5
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-24 | 23-9 | 7-5 | 4-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-26 | 22-13 | 8-4 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-26 | 21-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-11 | 16-9 | 0-0 | 24-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-7 | 7-3 | 5-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7 (career-high), the American reached the 3rd round after defeating Adrian Mannarino 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Ben had a good straight sets win against Mannarino (6-2 6-3). During the match, Shelton scored 59 points vs Mannarino’s 39. The American was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Shelton managed to score 16 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Ben Shelton was pretty efficient on serve to win 90% (28/31) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Shelton broke Mannarino 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Shelton has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 64% of his matches (155-86). 13-6 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Shelton has a composed79-44 match record in the last 5 years on hard.
Shelton’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Munich.
Shelton has a composed 27-16 win-loss record in 2025, 13-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Brandon Nakashima
25 - 20win/loss
33
29
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-30 | 19-14 | 6-8 | 2-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, the American got to the 3rd round after defeating Ethan Quinn 7-6(6) 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Quinn (7-66 6-4). During the match Nakashima scored 84 points vs Quinn’s 78. Brandon was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Nakashima scored 13 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Brandon Nakashima was pretty effective on serve to win 80% (36/45) of his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nakashima broke Quinn once after converting 8% of his break points (1/12).
The American’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Acapulco and Houston.
Nakashima has an overall 25-20 win-loss record in 2025, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 23 |
| Pts | 59-39 | 84-78 |
| Total Points | 98 | 162 |
| Winners | 28 | 36 |
| %Winners | 47% | 43% |
Both Shelton and Nakashima played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Shelton and Nakashima have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Shelton played 6 games less than Nakashima. The American scored 28 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The American managed to score 36 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 16 | 13 |
| 1st in | 31/50 | 45/70 |
| %1st in | 62% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 28/31 | 36/45 |
| %1st pts | 90% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 16/25 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 64% |
Shelton bagged 16 aces . Nakashima scored 13 aces . Shelton won 90% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shelton | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 1 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 1/12 |
| % Converted | 38% | 8% |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 |
| Saved | 2 | 2 |
| % Saved | 100% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The American very solid his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points. Nakashima broke his opponent once with a 8% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Shelton | |||
| R2 Mannarino | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 59-39 | 59-39 | |
| Total points | 98 | 98 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 16 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 31/50 | 31/50 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 28/31 | 28/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 90% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 12/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Nakashima | |||
| R2 Quinn | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 84-78 | 84-78 | |
| Total points | 162 | 162 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 13 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 45/70 | 45/70 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 36/45 | 36/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/25 | 16/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/12 | 1/12 | |
| Converted % | 8% | 8% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores in Toronto
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Emilio NavaNava (6-76 6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Nuno BorgesBorges (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Learner TienTien – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-6(3) 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (3-6 7-64 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Casper RuudRuud (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Aleksandar VukicVukic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-1) – H2H and prediction