Alex De Minaur and Christopher O Connell will square off in the 3^rd round of the National Bank Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:00 pm on MOTOROLA RAZR GRANDSTAND COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.078
Christopher O Connell -> 8

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Christopher O Connell

There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and Christopher O Connell since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 8, the Australian got to the 3^rd round after beating Francisco Comesana 6-4 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Alex had a good straight sets win against Comesana (6-4 6-2). During the match, De Minaur scored 66 points vs Comesana’s 45. The Australian was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Regarding the service games, De Minaur struck 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alex De Minaur was exceptionally effective on serve to win 83% (19/23) of his 1st serve and 67% (20/30) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. De Minaur broke Comesana 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (395-218). 18-5 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has a composed 189-91 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Washington where he overcame Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).

De Minaur has a compiled 36-13 win-loss record in 2025, 18-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Montreal

Christopher O Connell

Ranked no. 78, the Australian got to the 3^rd round after defeating Chun Hsin Tseng 6-1 6-2 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 4-6 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, The Australian defeated Tsitsipas (6-4 4-6 6-2). During the match O Connell scored 89 points vs Tsitsipas’s 80. The Australian was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, O Connell blasted 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Christopher O Connell was quite effective on serve to win 74% (34/46) of his 1st serve and 51% (24/47) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. O Connell broke Tsitsipas 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Christopher has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

O Connell has a compiled 16-21 win-loss record in 2025, 12-8 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Montreal

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	De Minaur	O Connell
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	5
Tot Games	18	43
Pts	66-45	157-126
Total Points	111	283
Winners	19	55
%Winners	29%	35%

De Minaur played 1 match while O Connell competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Christopher O Connell dropped 1 set while Alex De Minaur hasn’t conceded a set so far. De Minaur has played 3 set(s) less than O Connell (2 vs 5). Therefore, De Minaur played 25 games less than O Connell. De Minaur scored 19 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Christopher managed to score 55 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	De Minaur	O Connell
Aces	2	13
Avg per match	2	6.5
1st in	23/53	74/144
%1st in	43%	51%
1st pts	19/23	55/74
%1st pts	83%	74%
2nd pts	20/30	36/70
%2nd pts	67%	51%

De Minaur made 2 aces . O Connell scored 13 aces (6.5 per match). De Minaur won 83% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, O Connell won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	De Minaur	O Connell
Won	3	9
Converted	3/6	9/22
% Converted	50%	41%
Conceded	1	10
Saved	1	7
% Saved	100%	70%
Times Broken	0	3

The Australian broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. De Minaur was rock solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 1 break points. Christopher broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
	R2 Comesana	Total
Score	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	66-45	66-45
Total points	111	111
Winners	19	19
%Winners	29%	29%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	23/53	23/53
% 1st in	43%	43%
1st pts	19/23	19/23
% 1st pts	83%	83%
2nd pts	20/30	20/30
% 2nd pts	67%	67%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/6	3/6
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	1/1	1
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

O Connell
	R1 Hsin Tseng	R2 Tsitsipas	Total
Score	6-1 6-2	6-4 4-6 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	15	28	43
pts	68-46	89-80	157-126
Total points	114	169	283
Winners	21	34	55
%Winners	31%	38%	35%
SERVE
Aces	6	7	13
Double Faults	2	5	7
1st in	28/51	46/93	74/144
% 1st in	55%	49%	51%
1st pts	21/28	34/46	55/74
% 1st pts	75%	74%	74%
2nd pts	12/23	24/47	36/70
% 2nd pts	52%	51%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/16	4/6	9/22
Converted %	31%	67%	41%
Conceded	2	8	10
Saved	1/2	6/8	7
Saved %	50%	75%	125%
Times Broken	1	2	3

Tennis Scores in Toronto

• Learner TienTien – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-6(3) 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (3-6 7-6⁴ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Emilio NavaNava (6-7⁶ 6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Casper RuudRuud – Nuno BorgesBorges (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Casper RuudRuud (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alexandre MullerMuller – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Aleksandar VukicVukic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – (0-4) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-1) – H2H and prediction