Henrique Rocha and Alejandro Moro Canas will face off in the quarter of the Porto Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on EUPAGO. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Henrique Rocha who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Henrique Rocha is the pick to win this match.
Henrique Rocha -> 1.63
Alejandro Moro Canas -> 2.17

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Prediction and head to head Henrique Rocha vs. Alejandro Moro Canas

This will be the 3^rd time that Henrique Rocha and Alejandro Moro Canas clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Moro (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Moro won 6-4 7-6(8) in the 1^st round in the Oeiras 4 Challenger back in April 2025.

Henrique Rocha

Ranked no. 176, Rocha got to the quarter after defeating Henry Searle 6-4 6-4 and Eliakim Coulibaly 7-6(6) 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The Portuguese had a good straight sets win against Coulibaly (7-6⁶ 6-4). During the match, Rocha scored 85 points vs Coulibaly’s 77. The Portuguese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rocha managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Henrique Rocha lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Rocha put 58% of his first serves in, winning 66% (33/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (20/36) on the 2nd serve. The Portuguese broke Coulibaly 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Portuguese hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.

Rocha has a winning record in the last 6 years having won 57% of his matches (144-108). 7-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rocha has a compiled75-37 match record in the last 6 years on hard.

Henrique’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.

The Portuguese has a compiled 18-18 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Porto Challenger

Alejandro Moro Canas

Ranked no. 257, the Spaniard got to the quarter after beating Jie Cui 6-4 7-6(3) and Martin Landaluce 4-6 7-6(4) 6-3.

In the 2^nd round against Landaluce, Alejandro recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-6⁴ 6-3). During the match Moro scored 126 points vs Landaluce’s 124. Moro was very aggressive to blast 54 winners.

About the serving games, Moro bagged 8 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Alejandro Moro Canas lost the serve 3 times and he saved 17 break points. Furthermore, Moro put 66% of his first serves in, winning 64% (54/85) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (21/44) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Landaluce 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Alejandro’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.

The Spaniard has a compiled 18-22 win-loss record in 2025, 12-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Porto Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rocha	Moro
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	5
Tot Games	43	55
Pts	151-135	209-195
Total Points	286	404
Winners	58	85
%Winners	38%	41%

Both Rocha and Moro played 2 matches. At the moment, Alejandro Moro Canas conceded 1 set while Henrique Rocha hasn’t conceded a set so far. Rocha has played 1 set(s) less than Moro (4 vs 5). Therefore, Rocha played 12 games less than Moro. Rocha scored 58 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard fired 85 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rocha	Moro
Aces	8	11
Avg per match	4	5.5
1st in	85/150	124/195
%1st in	57%	64%
1st pts	58/85	85/124
%1st pts	68%	69%
2nd pts	37/65	36/71
%2nd pts	57%	51%

Rocha fired 8 aces (4 per match). Moro fired 11 aces (5.5 per match). Rocha won 68% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Moro won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rocha	Moro
Won	6	7
Converted	6/15	7/18
% Converted	40%	39%
Conceded	8	25
Saved	5	20
% Saved	63%	80%
Times Broken	3	5

Rocha broke his opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Portuguese surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Alejandro broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Alejandro conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Rocha
	R1 Searle	R2 Coulibaly	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	7-66 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	20	23	43
pts	66-58	85-77	151-135
Total points	124	162	286
Winners	25	33	58
%Winners	38%	39%	38%
SERVE
Aces	3	5	8
Double Faults	6	1	7
1st in	35/64	50/86	85/150
% 1st in	55%	58%	57%
1st pts	25/35	33/50	58/85
% 1st pts	71%	66%	68%
2nd pts	17/29	20/36	37/65
% 2nd pts	59%	56%	57%
Breaks
Won	3	3	6
Converted	3/7	3/8	6/15
Converted %	43%	38%	40%
Conceded	3	5	8
Saved	2/3	3/5	5
Saved %	67%	60%	64%
Times Broken	1	2	3

Moro
	R1 Cui	R2 Landaluce	Total
Score	6-4 7-63	4-6 7-64 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	23	32	55
pts	83-71	126-124	209-195
Total points	154	250	404
Winners	31	54	85
%Winners	37%	43%	41%
SERVE
Aces	3	8	11
Double Faults	2	8	10
1st in	39/66	85/129	124/195
% 1st in	59%	66%	64%
1st pts	31/39	54/85	85/124
% 1st pts	79%	64%	69%
2nd pts	15/27	21/44	36/71
% 2nd pts	56%	48%	51%
Breaks
Won	3	4	7
Converted	3/6	4/12	7/18
Converted %	50%	33%	39%
Conceded	5	20	25
Saved	3/5	17/20	20
Saved %	60%	85%	73%
Times Broken	2	3	5

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